Josh Green is a 41.1% three-point shooter who has cleared this line in 3 of his last 5 games. Despite a reduced role of 14.5 minutes recently, the value calculator shows a significant 27.4% edge for the OVER at +205 odds, and his season average of 1.04 makes this a high-probability outcome for a 0.5 line.

Green's scoring is trending down, averaging only 3.0 PPG over his last 10 games compared to a 4.65 season average. He faces a Boston defense with an elite 106.92 rating and a -1.892 scoring suppression factor, making it unlikely he exceeds this line in his projected 13-15 minute rotation role.

While his season average is 1.96, Green has recorded zero rebounds in each of his last three games, and his recent average has dipped to 1.4 RPG. With his minutes dropping from 16.3 on the season to 13.4 over the last 5 games, he lacks the volume to reliably clear this line against a disciplined Boston team.

Green's combined PRA average over the last 10 games is only 4.9, which is significantly below this 5.5 line. Although he has cleared this in 3 of his last 5, his two most recent performances (3 and 0 PRA) reflect a diminishing role that is unlikely to rebound against an elite Celtics defense.