Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 6 | 16 | 30% | -25.1% | medium |
| James Harden | 2 | 12 | 50% | -6.8% | low |
| Cade Cunningham | 3 | 12 | 38% | -20.4% | medium |
| Tyrese Maxey | 2 | 7 | 10% |
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Walsh▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% | 7 | ✗ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | P+R | 9.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 10 | ✗ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | PRA | 12.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 12 | ✓ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | R+A | 5.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 9 | ✗ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Jordan Walsh▼ | P+A | 7.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 5 | ✓ |
| low |
| Pascal Siakam | 3 | 7 | 88% | +23.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball | 2 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 28% |
| Brandon Miller | 2 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Coby White | 2 | 3 | 5 | 67% | 67% |
| Kon Knueppel | 2 | 1 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Josh Green | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Projected for ~25 minutes as a starter, Walsh faces a high-pace Charlotte team (100.6), yet the value calculator shows a dominant 28.4% edge for UNDER 3.5. While sharps moved the line up from 2.5 (opposing this pick), his last 10-game trend (3.0 RPG) and H2H history vs Charlotte (2.67) are both below the line. His away split (3.84) is lower than his home production, and he recorded only 3 rebounds in 27 minutes in his most recent game.
The value calculator identifies a 13.4% edge for the UNDER 5.5, supported by a recent trend of 3.7 PPG over the last 10 games. Although sharps moved the line up from 4.5, Walsh's H2H average vs Charlotte (4.33) and season away average (5.03) remain below the line. Despite a projected 25-minute starting role in Mazzulla's deep rotation, his low usage was evident in his last game where he scored only 5 points in 27 minutes.
Walsh's combined season average (9.38) and last 10-game trend (6.7) are both below the 9.5 line. Even with ~25 minutes expected as a starter, his low usage and 7.0 H2H average against Charlotte make the UNDER a high-probability play. His away splits (5.03 PPG, 3.84 RPG) further suggest he will struggle to reach double digits in these categories against a Charlotte defense allowing -0.787 scoring suppression.
The 12.5 line is significantly higher than Walsh's season average (10.13) and his recent 10-game average (7.0). His H2H history vs Charlotte is a meager 7.17 PRA, and his away splits (5.03 PPG, 3.84 RPG, 0.66 APG) do not support a breakout performance. While Charlotte plays at a high pace (100.6), Walsh's 0.3 APG over the last 10 games limits his ability to clear this high combo total.
With a season average of 4.82 and a recent 10-game average of 3.3, Walsh is trending well below the 5.5 line. His H2H history against Charlotte is particularly poor (2.84 RA), and his away splits (3.84 RPG, 0.66 APG) are lower than his home averages. The value calculator's strong 28.4% edge for the rebound UNDER reinforces that he is unlikely to contribute enough in these categories to clear the line.
Walsh averages 0.5 blocks on the season and 0.4 over his last 10 games, making the 0.5 line a coin flip that favors the UNDER structurally (71.4% historical hit rate). While he recorded 3 blocks in 27 minutes last game, his H2H data and season-long consistency suggest that was an outlier. In a deep 12-man rotation with ~25 minutes, he is unlikely to maintain high rim-protection volume against a Charlotte team with a 115.5 ORTG.
Walsh's season average of 6.06 PA and last 10-game average of 4.0 are both significantly lower than the 7.5 line. Even with ~25 minutes as a starter, his H2H average vs Charlotte (4.5 PA) and away splits (5.03 PPG, 0.66 APG) indicate he is not a primary offensive focal point. The value calculator's 13.4% edge for the points UNDER makes this combo a strong candidate for the UNDER tonight.