AI Model:

Kris Dunn▼

LAC · SG

PPG

7.7

RPG

3.3

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

6.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

7.7

6.8

RPG-0.7

3.3

2.6

APG-0.6

3.6

3.0

SPG+0.2

1.6

1.8

BPG+0.4

0.2

0.6

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

MEM

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MEM: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 5 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 5 pts

CHI

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CHI: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 5 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 9 pts

NOP

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs NOP: 6 pts

NOP

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs NOP: 8 pts

DAL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs DAL: 4 pts

MIL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MIL: 7 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

66%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

58%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

64%

3PM

OVER 1

52%

STL

OVER 1.5STAKE

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

63%

UNDER 2

70%

P+R

UNDER 10.5STAKE

62%

P+A

UNDER 10.5STAKE

59%

R+A

UNDER 5.5STAKE

67%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.7

7.6

RPG

4.5

4.0

APG

3.9

5.2

vs TOR (H2H)4 games

PPG

9.0

RPG

5.0

APG

5.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Anthony Edwards	4	24	42%	-11.4%	medium
Luka Dončić	4	22	57%	-1.5%	medium
Russell Westbrook	3	14	40%	-8.2%	medium
Amen Thompson	4	12	83%

Dunn’s defense keeps the floor high, but his scoring remains capped

Kris Dunn’s season line is modest at 7.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 3.6 APG, and his recent scoring has cooled to 6.8 over the last 5 and 5.7 over the last 10. The stronger part of his profile is defensive production, with 1.6 SPG season-long and 1.76 stocks per game, which has climbed to 2.7 stocks over the last 10. In this matchup, his head-to-head sample is solid at 9.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 5.5 APG across 4 games, but the current opponent defense also brings a 112.3 defensive rating and -0.703 scoring suppression. With his recent trends below season average and the prop market shading multiple unders, the most appealing angles lean away from points and toward his defensive counting stats.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.8(↓ from 7.7)

APG

3.0(↓ from 3.6)

SPG

1.8(↑ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is still not ideal for scoring, with a 112.3 defensive rating and -0.703 scoring suppression, while three-point suppression is also listed at -0.58.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kris Dunn▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	4	✗
Kris Dunn▼	3PM	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Kris Dunn▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	2	✓
Kris Dunn▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	90%	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%	1	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+R	10.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+A	10.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	4	✓
Kris Dunn▼	R+A	5.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	9	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5OVER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PRA12.5UNDER9%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

AST3.5OVER21%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R10OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

REB3.5UNDER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

STL2UNDER40%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

3PM1UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

3PA2UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Kris Dunn

Steals OVER 1.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 1.6 steals and his last 5 is 1.8, both supporting the over. Unlike his points and assists, the defensive stat is backed by a steadier profile and does not rely as heavily on shot-making.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Ingram	2	10	11	56%	61%
Jamal Shead	2	3	7	60%	70%
Scottie Barnes	2	2	2	100%	100%
RJ Barrett	1	2	2	0%	0%
Collin Murray-Boyles	2	1	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 7.566%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.7, but the last 5 is down to 6.8 and the last 10 is 5.7. The line is close to his average, but the recent downturn and opponent scoring suppression make the under slightly preferable.

reboundsOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He averages 3.3 rebounds for the season and 3.5 over the last 10, both above this line. The volatility is moderate, but the number is low enough to justify a small lean over.

assistsUNDER 3.564%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 3.6, but the last 5 has slipped to 3.0 and the line is priced with plus money on the over. With recent form below the threshold, the under is the safer side.

threesOVER 152%MEDIUM

He averages 1.03 made threes this season and exactly 1.0 over the last 10. This is a thin edge, but the projected line matches his baseline volume closely.

stealsOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 steals per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, which supports the over. Defensive activity is one of his most stable fantasy paths.

stocksOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.76 and the last 10 is 2.7, showing strong defensive event volume. Even with some variance, his baseline clears this projected line.

turnoversUNDER 270%HIGH

He has been efficient handling the ball, with 1.2 turnovers per game over the season and 0.9 over the last 10. Against a conservative possession line, the under is the better read.

prUNDER 10.562%MEDIUM

His season P+R sits at 11.0, but the recent scoring drop pulls this combo closer to the line than season-only numbers suggest. Combo props add variance, so the under is the safer lean.

paUNDER 10.559%MEDIUM

He averages 11.3 combined points and assists on the season, but recent form is weaker at 9.7 over the last 5. The price is not offering enough cushion for a higher-variance combo.

raUNDER 5.567%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists average is 6.9, but his last 5 is only 5.6 and his recent assist trend is softer. With combo volatility, the under is still the more conservative side.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS