Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 4 | 24 | 42% | -11.4% | medium |
| Luka Dončić | 4 | 22 | 57% | -1.5% | medium |
| Russell Westbrook | 3 | 14 | 40% | -8.2% | medium |
| Amen Thompson | 4 | 12 | 83% |
Kris Dunn’s season line is modest at 7.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 3.6 APG, and his recent scoring has cooled to 6.8 over the last 5 and 5.7 over the last 10. The stronger part of his profile is defensive production, with 1.6 SPG season-long and 1.76 stocks per game, which has climbed to 2.7 stocks over the last 10. In this matchup, his head-to-head sample is solid at 9.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 5.5 APG across 4 games, but the current opponent defense also brings a 112.3 defensive rating and -0.703 scoring suppression. With his recent trends below season average and the prop market shading multiple unders, the most appealing angles lean away from points and toward his defensive counting stats.
No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is still not ideal for scoring, with a 112.3 defensive rating and -0.703 scoring suppression, while three-point suppression is also listed at -0.58.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kris Dunn▼ | Points | 7.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 5 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 4 | ✗ |
Kris Dunn▼ | 3PM | 1 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Kris Dunn▼ | Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 3 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | — | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | P+R | 10.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 5 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | P+A | 10.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 4 | ✓ |
Kris Dunn▼ | R+A | 5.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 9 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 1.6 steals and his last 5 is 1.8, both supporting the over. Unlike his points and assists, the defensive stat is backed by a steadier profile and does not rely as heavily on shot-making.
| medium |
| Tyrese Maxey | 2 | 12 | 60% | +1.8% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 2 | 10 | 11 | 56% | 61% |
| Jamal Shead | 2 | 3 | 7 | 60% | 70% |
| Scottie Barnes | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| RJ Barrett | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 2 | 1 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
His season mean is 7.7, but the last 5 is down to 6.8 and the last 10 is 5.7. The line is close to his average, but the recent downturn and opponent scoring suppression make the under slightly preferable.
He averages 3.3 rebounds for the season and 3.5 over the last 10, both above this line. The volatility is moderate, but the number is low enough to justify a small lean over.
His season assist average is 3.6, but the last 5 has slipped to 3.0 and the line is priced with plus money on the over. With recent form below the threshold, the under is the safer side.
He averages 1.03 made threes this season and exactly 1.0 over the last 10. This is a thin edge, but the projected line matches his baseline volume closely.
He averages 1.6 steals per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, which supports the over. Defensive activity is one of his most stable fantasy paths.
His season stocks average is 1.76 and the last 10 is 2.7, showing strong defensive event volume. Even with some variance, his baseline clears this projected line.
He has been efficient handling the ball, with 1.2 turnovers per game over the season and 0.9 over the last 10. Against a conservative possession line, the under is the better read.
His season P+R sits at 11.0, but the recent scoring drop pulls this combo closer to the line than season-only numbers suggest. Combo props add variance, so the under is the safer lean.
He averages 11.3 combined points and assists on the season, but recent form is weaker at 9.7 over the last 5. The price is not offering enough cushion for a higher-variance combo.
His season rebounds plus assists average is 6.9, but his last 5 is only 5.6 and his recent assist trend is softer. With combo volatility, the under is still the more conservative side.