AI Model:

Immanuel Quickley▲

TOR · PG

PPG

16.9

RPG

4.1

APG

6.0

L5 PPG

11.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.1

16.9

11.8

RPG-1.3

4.1

2.8

APG-1.2

6.0

4.8

SPG+0.7

1.3

2.0

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

16.5

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 12 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 25 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 10 pts

DEN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs DEN: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs PHX: 11 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 16.5STAKE

68%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

71%

AST

OVER 5.5STAKE

59%

3PM

OVER 2.5

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

62%

UNDER 1.5

60%

P+A

OVER 22.5STAKE

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.2

18.2

RPG

3.2

APG

5.5

6.1

vs LAC (H2H)10 games

PPG

16.4

RPG

4.1

APG

4.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	4	19	64%	+1.0%	medium
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	16	61%	-0.1%	medium
Anfernee Simons	5	14	43%	-11.2%	medium
Ryan Rollins	3	14	44%

Quickley’s minutes are steady, but the scoring ceiling looks capped

Immanuel Quickley is playing 32.5 MPG on the season, but his recent scoring has cooled to 11.8 PPG over the last 5 and 13.7 over the last 10 versus 16.9 season-long. His assists remain playable at 6.0 APG for the season and 6.0 over the last 10, while his steals have been a strong source of value at 1.3 season and 1.9 over the last 10. Against the Clippers, his prior sample is solid but not explosive at 16.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 4.5 APG over 10 games, which points more toward a balanced line than a ceiling game. With opponent absences creating some positional softness, the best angle is still to lean conservative on points and trust peripherals more than an inflated scoring projection.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.8(↓ from 16.9)

APG

4.8(↓ from 6.0)

RPG

2.8(↓ from 4.1)

SPG

2.0(↑ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

The only specific defender matchup data provided is no specific defender matchup data. Opponent absences matter here: Bradley Beal is out and Ivica Zubac is out, which can soften the defensive environment and reduce interior resistance.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Immanuel Quickley▼	Points	16.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Immanuel Quickley▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	90%
Immanuel Quickley▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	70%
Immanuel Quickley▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Immanuel Quickley▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	30%
Immanuel Quickley▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%
Immanuel Quickley▼	P+A	22.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5OVER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)13/2065%+8.9% edge▼

PRA21.5OVER13%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)15/2075%+21.7% edge▼

3PM2.5OVER1%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%+14.3% edge▼

REB3.5UNDER33%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

AST5.5UNDER13%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

3PA6.5UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER27%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

FTM2UNDER34%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

FTA2UNDER18%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Immanuel Quickley

Points UNDER 16.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest read because the season mean is 16.9, but the last 5 has dropped to 11.8 and the last 10 to 13.7. The under also aligns with the broader trend toward lower recent scoring rather than chasing the season average.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

pointsUNDER 16.568%MEDIUM

Season average is 16.9 PPG, but the last 5 has fallen to 11.8 and the last 10 is 13.7. That makes the 16.5 line slightly inflated unless efficiency rebounds sharply.

reboundsUNDER 4.571%HIGH

He is at 4.1 RPG for the season and only 2.8 over the last 5. The 4.5 line sits above both his season and recent production.

assistsOVER 5.559%MEDIUM

Quickley is exactly 6.0 APG on both the season and last 10, with 5.8 over the last 20. The 5.5 line is reachable, though the recent 4.8 last-5 keeps confidence moderate.

threesOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.6 threes per game on the season and 2.1 over the last 5. That supports a slight lean over, but the recent dip and 1.58 season standard deviation limit confidence.

stealsUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

Even with strong recent defensive counting stats, his season average is 1.3 SPG and the market line is 1.5. The recent overperformance raises regression risk.

turnoversUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He is at 1.1 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 5, both below a 1.5 projection. His season-long ball security also supports the under.

paOVER 22.556%MEDIUM

He combines 16.9 PPG and 6.0 APG on the season, which gives him a baseline around this range. The recent scoring dip is the main risk, so this is only a moderate lean.

timelineUNDER 16.5 PTS