AI Model:

Collin Murray-Boyles▼

TOR · C

PPG

7.8

RPG

4.9

APG

2.0

L5 PPG

7.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.6

7.8

7.2

RPG-0.3

4.9

4.6

APG-1.0

2.0

1.0

SPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

BPG+0.6

1.0

1.6

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

ORL

2026-01-30

2026-01-30 vs ORL: 12 pts

UTA

2026-02-01

2026-02-01 vs UTA: 4 pts

MIN

2026-02-04

2026-02-04 vs MIN: 13 pts

CHI

2026-02-05

2026-02-05 vs CHI: 17 pts

IND

2026-02-08

2026-02-08 vs IND: 2 pts

CHI

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs CHI: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs MIL: 8 pts

OKC

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs OKC: 4 pts

SAS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs SAS: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs UTA: 9 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

63%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

67%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

74%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

69%

P+R

UNDER 15.5STAKE

61%

R+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

64%

UNDER 0.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.2

9.0

RPG

5.3

6.8

APG

3.0

2.2

vs LAC (H2H)1 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

4.0

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ivica Zubac	1	10	100%	+42.7%	low
Wendell Carter Jr.	2	10	79%	+14.1%	low
Joel Embiid	2	10	60%	-7.3%	low
Andre Drummond	2	9	33%

Absences create a solid rebound and stocks floor for Murray-Boyles

Collin Murray-Boyles is in a modest form dip overall, with his season averages at 7.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 2.0 APG, while his last 5 sits at 7.2 PPG and 4.6 RPG. The main boost comes from role context: Immanuel Quickley is doubtful, and the opponent is missing Ivica Zubac, which helps create more rebound and interior activity chances. His recent defensive production is still strong, with 2.8 stocks over the last 5 and 2.9 over the last 10, giving him a usable floor even if the scoring stays modest. The biggest caution is variance, especially on combo props, since his scoring trend is down and his assist rate remains volatile.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.2(↓ from 7.8)

RPG

4.6(↓ from 4.9)

APG

1.0(↓ from 2.0)

Stocks

2.8(↑ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent defense context shows a 112.87 defensive rating, pace of 100, and Ivica Zubac is out, which improves interior opportunities, but there is no detailed defender data to isolate.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	10	✗
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	5	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	74%HIGH	1/2	80%	1	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	90%	1	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	15	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	5	✓
Collin Murray-Boyles▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11UNDER28%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x7/1937%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

REB5UNDER23%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x5/1926%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA18UNDER7%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+R16OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/1953%▼

FTM2UNDER32%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)6/1932%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/1937%▼

P+A12.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x10/1953%▼

AST2UNDER31%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

BLK1UNDER26%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x7/1937%▼

FTA2OVER7%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x9/1947%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Collin Murray-Boyles

Blocks OVER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest threshold on the board because his season mean is 1.0 BPG and his last 5 is 1.6 BPG. Unlike his points or rebounds, this prop aligns with both season production and recent form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ivica Zubac	1	10	4	100%	100%
Brook Lopez	2	2	2	100%	100%
Kawhi Leonard	1	2	8	40%	40%
James Harden	1	2	4	25%	38%
Isaiah Jackson	1	1	4	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 8.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.81 PPG and the last 5 is 7.2, both below this line. The recent form does not support needing an over, and the scoring trend is down.

reboundsUNDER 6.558%MEDIUM

He averages 4.94 RPG for the season and 4.6 over the last 5, both well below 6.5. While Ivica Zubac being out helps the interior matchup, the rebounding baseline is still short of this number.

assistsUNDER 2.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.96 APG and his last 5 is only 1.0 APG. Even with Immanuel Quickley doubtful, his assist production has not been consistent enough to trust the over at 2.5.

blocksOVER 0.574%HIGH

He averages 1.0 BPG on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is well within range. This is one of the cleaner volume-based overs on his board.

stealsOVER 0.572%HIGH

He averages 0.9 SPG for the season and 1.2 over the last 5. The steal line is low enough that his recent defensive activity supports the over.

stocksOVER 1.569%MEDIUM

His season stock production is 1.9 and his last 10 is 2.9, which is comfortably above this threshold. The combined blocks and steals floor is stronger than his scoring floor.

prUNDER 15.561%MEDIUM

His season P+R baseline is 12.71 using the provided season means, and his recent scoring/rebounding has not pushed him near 15.5 consistently. Combo variance makes the under safer here.

raUNDER 9.564%MEDIUM

He averages 4.94 rebounds and 1.96 assists on the season, which totals well below 9.5. Even with a few favorable absences, this remains a tough over to justify.

double_doubleUNDER 0.570%HIGH

His season averages are 7.8 points and 4.9 rebounds, so he is not close to a typical double-double profile. The role and scoring volume do not point to a DD night.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS