AI Model:

Scoot Henderson—

POR · PG

PPG

13.5

RPG

2.8

APG

3.9

L5 PPG

12.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.1

13.5

12.4

RPG-0.2

2.8

2.6

APG-0.5

3.9

3.4

SPG+0.7

0.7

1.4

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 28 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 9 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 11 pts

DEN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs DEN: 13 pts

BKN

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs BKN: 13 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

AST

UNDER 4.5BETMGM

57%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

78%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.9

11.3

RPG

3.0

2.5

APG

4.1

3.3

vs MIL (H2H)4 games

PPG

11.8

RPG

3.8

APG

3.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Christian Braun	3	10	58%	+8.2%	medium
Ayo Dosunmu	3	8	75%	+24.9%	medium
VJ Edgecombe	2	7	20%	-21.8%	low
Javon Small	2	5	50%

Scoot’s role is stable, but the market is still pricing him above his recent scoring output

Scoot Henderson is averaging 13.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, and 3.9 APG on 23.6 MPG this season, with his last 5 at 12.4 PPG and his last 10 at 14.7 PPG. His home split is much stronger than his away split, with 17.9 PPG at home versus 11.3 away, and tonight is in Portland. The matchup data does not provide a specific defender matchup, but Milwaukee has a 116.39 defensive rating and the prop market is offering a points line that sits above his season mean. With Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe out, Scoot should keep a steady workload, but the safest edge still looks like points under rather than chasing a scoring spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.4(↓ from 13.5)

APG

3.4(↓ from 3.9)

RPG

2.6(↓ from 2.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is provided. The opponent context shows Milwaukee with a 116.39 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of 0.218, which does not point to an easy scoring environment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Scoot Henderson▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	23	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	3	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	4	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	78%HIGH	2/2	60%	3	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A17.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Scoot Henderson

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the clearest edge on the board: Scoot averages 1.76 threes per game this season and 2.3 over his last 10, both above the 1.5 line. The value data also shows a 25.0% best edge on the DraftKings number, making this the strongest play versus the book.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
AJ Green	1	3	3	50%	75%
Andre Jackson Jr.	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.5 PPG and his last 5 is 12.4 PPG, while the available book line is right at that range. The away split is only 11.3 PPG, and his recent scoring has not clearly outpaced the season baseline.

reboundsOVER 2.561%MEDIUM

Scoot averages 2.8 RPG on the season and 2.7 RPG over the last 10, which sits above the 2.5 line. His home rebound mark is 3.25 RPG, giving a modest edge in Portland.

assistsUNDER 4.557%MEDIUM

He is at 3.9 APG for the season and 3.1 APG over the last 10, both below 4.5. Even with teammate absences, the provided data does not show a strong enough assist surge to justify the over.

threesOVER 1.578%HIGH

He averages 1.76 made threes per game on the season and 2.3 over the last 10, both above 1.5. The value data also shows a strong over edge at this line.

stocksUNDER 1.556%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.0 and last 10 is 1.4, both below 1.5. The home split is 1.1 stocks, so the production is solid but still not enough to make the over a comfortable play.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Scoot’s role is stable, but the market is still pricing him above his recent scoring output

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 13.5 PTS