AI Model:

Kris Murray▼

POR · SG

PPG

5.9

RPG

3.7

APG

1.3

L5 PPG

8.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.1

5.9

8.0

RPG-0.5

3.7

3.2

APG+1.5

1.3

2.8

SPG-0.6

1.0

0.4

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 3 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 0 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 8 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 0 pts

DEN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs DEN: 2 pts

BKN

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs BKN: 16 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5

61%

REB

UNDER 3.5

55%

AST

OVER 1.5

58%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

56%

STL

OVER 0.5

57%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 0.5

54%

PRA

UNDER 10.5

52%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.1

5.8

RPG

4.0

2.9

APG

1.8

1.6

vs MIL (H2H)3 games

PPG

2.0

RPG

2.7

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kawhi Leonard	3	10	33%	-12.4%	medium
Derik Queen	3	8	67%	+21.0%	medium
Keegan Murray	2	6	29%	-17.1%	low
Chaney Johnson	2	6	100%

Minutes opportunity bumps Murray’s floor, but scoring remains volatile

Kris Murray’s season line is modest at 5.9 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 1.3 APG across 23.7 MPG, but his role is getting extra usage with Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe both out. His last 5 games show a small scoring spike at 8.0 PPG, though the last 10 and last 20 trends are lower at 4.5 and 6.0, so the recent uptick looks fragile. This matchup also comes with a tough opponent profile for perimeter scoring, as Milwaukee carries a 0.218 scoring suppression mark and a 1.403 three-point suppression figure. With variance still high and his recent minutes dipping to 17.3 MPG in the last 10, the safer angle leans under on the main scoring and volume props unless the minutes climb again.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.0(↑ from 5.9)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 3.7)

APG

2.8(↑ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data to target beyond the listed key defenders, and no clear one-on-one coverage edge stands out. Milwaukee's opponent profile is the bigger factor, with a 116.39 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.218 scoring suppression, and 1.403 three suppression that can limit Murray's efficiency.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kris Murray▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓
Kris Murray▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✓
Kris Murray▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✓
Kris Murray▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗
Kris Murray▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Kris Murray▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Kris Murray▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Kris Murray▼	Turnovers	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✓
Kris Murray▼	PRA	10.5	UNDER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	10	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1833%▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

Featured Pick

Kris Murray

Points UNDER 5.5MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.94 PPG, the last 10 is 4.5, and the recent minutes profile has slipped to 17.3 MPG. Even with teammate absences helping his role, Milwaukee's scoring suppression makes the under the better risk-adjusted play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Bobby Portis	1	3	0	0%	0%
Kyle Kuzma	1	2	0	0%	0%
Gary Trent Jr.	1	2	0	0%	0%
AJ Green	2	2	0	0%	0%
Myles Turner	1	1	5	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 5.561%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.94 PPG and the last 10 is only 4.5 PPG, so the recent 8.0 PPG surge is not enough to override the longer sample. Milwaukee's 0.218 scoring suppression also makes an under more attractive.

reboundsUNDER 3.555%MEDIUM

Murray averages 3.73 RPG on the season, but just 3.0 over the last 10 and 3.2 over the last 5. This is a close call, but the lower recent minutes make the under slightly preferable.

assistsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He has 1.6 APG over the last 10 and 2.8 APG over the last 5, both above his 1.31 season mean. With teammate absences increasing ball-handling opportunities, the over has a workable path.

threesUNDER 0.556%MEDIUM

Murray is at just 0.6 made threes per game on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, with a low 27.4% three-point rate. Milwaukee's 1.403 three suppression adds extra pressure on this prop.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 SPG on the season and 0.8 over the last 20, which keeps this category in play. Even with low recent game-to-game volume, the season baseline supports a slight over lean.

blocksUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season average is only 0.4 BPG, and the last 5 and last 10 are both 0.2. That makes 0.5 a strong under candidate.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Murray's combined season average is 1.35 stocks, below a typical 1.5 threshold, and his last 5 is only 0.6. The recent trend is clearly weaker than the season baseline.

turnoversOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He has 0.5 turnovers over the last 10 but 0.6 over the last 20, and added usage can push him above a low line. This is still a thin edge, so confidence stays modest.

praUNDER 10.552%MEDIUM

His season averages sum to 10.9 PRA, but the last 10 profile is lower and the combo prop carries extra variance. With no strong recent scoring or passing run, the under is the safer side.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS