Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | 3 | 10 | 33% | -12.4% | medium |
| Derik Queen | 3 | 8 | 67% | +21.0% | medium |
| Keegan Murray | 2 | 6 | 29% | -17.1% | low |
| Chaney Johnson | 2 | 6 | 100% |
Kris Murray’s season line is modest at 5.9 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 1.3 APG across 23.7 MPG, but his role is getting extra usage with Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe both out. His last 5 games show a small scoring spike at 8.0 PPG, though the last 10 and last 20 trends are lower at 4.5 and 6.0, so the recent uptick looks fragile. This matchup also comes with a tough opponent profile for perimeter scoring, as Milwaukee carries a 0.218 scoring suppression mark and a 1.403 three-point suppression figure. With variance still high and his recent minutes dipping to 17.3 MPG in the last 10, the safer angle leans under on the main scoring and volume props unless the minutes climb again.
There is no specific defender matchup data to target beyond the listed key defenders, and no clear one-on-one coverage edge stands out. Milwaukee's opponent profile is the bigger factor, with a 116.39 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.218 scoring suppression, and 1.403 three suppression that can limit Murray's efficiency.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kris Murray▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 5 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | Turnovers | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Kris Murray▼ | PRA | 10.5 | UNDER | 52%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 10 | ✓ |
His season mean is 5.94 PPG, the last 10 is 4.5, and the recent minutes profile has slipped to 17.3 MPG. Even with teammate absences helping his role, Milwaukee's scoring suppression makes the under the better risk-adjusted play.
| low |
| Jalen Williams | 2 | 6 | 50% | +4.3% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Kyle Kuzma | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| AJ Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Myles Turner | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100% | 150% |
His season mean is 5.94 PPG and the last 10 is only 4.5 PPG, so the recent 8.0 PPG surge is not enough to override the longer sample. Milwaukee's 0.218 scoring suppression also makes an under more attractive.
Murray averages 3.73 RPG on the season, but just 3.0 over the last 10 and 3.2 over the last 5. This is a close call, but the lower recent minutes make the under slightly preferable.
He has 1.6 APG over the last 10 and 2.8 APG over the last 5, both above his 1.31 season mean. With teammate absences increasing ball-handling opportunities, the over has a workable path.
Murray is at just 0.6 made threes per game on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, with a low 27.4% three-point rate. Milwaukee's 1.403 three suppression adds extra pressure on this prop.
He averages 1.0 SPG on the season and 0.8 over the last 20, which keeps this category in play. Even with low recent game-to-game volume, the season baseline supports a slight over lean.
His season average is only 0.4 BPG, and the last 5 and last 10 are both 0.2. That makes 0.5 a strong under candidate.
Murray's combined season average is 1.35 stocks, below a typical 1.5 threshold, and his last 5 is only 0.6. The recent trend is clearly weaker than the season baseline.
He has 0.5 turnovers over the last 10 but 0.6 over the last 20, and added usage can push him above a low line. This is still a thin edge, so confidence stays modest.
His season averages sum to 10.9 PRA, but the last 10 profile is lower and the combo prop carries extra variance. With no strong recent scoring or passing run, the under is the safer side.