AI Model:
C
Donovan Clingan▼
POR · C
PPG
12.4
RPG
11.8
APG
2.2
L5 PPG
17.6
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.2
12.4
17.6
RPG+1.0
11.8
12.8
APG-0.4
2.2
1.8
SPG-0.2
0.6
0.4
BPG+0.7
1.7
2.4
UNDER 14.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
14.5
18
HOU
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs HOU: 18 pts
9
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 9 pts
11
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts
21
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 21 pts
11
PHI
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts
14
BKN
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts
28
IND
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs IND: 28 pts
21
MIN
2026-03-20
2026-03-20 vs MIN: 21 pts
18
DEN
2026-03-22
2026-03-22 vs DEN: 18 pts
7
BKN
2026-03-23
2026-03-23 vs BKN: 7 pts
Over 14.5
Under 14.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 14.5DRAFTKINGS
86%
REB
UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS
57%
AST
UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS
52%
3PM
OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS
54%
BLK
OVER 1.5
58%
STL+BLK
UNDER 2.5
56%
TO
OVER 1.5
55%
PRA
UNDER 26.5
60%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
13.6
16.1
RPG
12.9
12.4
APG
2.6
2.8
vs MIL (H2H)3 games
PPG
7.3
RPG
7.3
APG
1.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 32 | 50% | -1.8% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 17 | 48% | -6.3% | medium |
| Steven Adams | 3 | 15 | 80% | +28.2% | medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 4 | 15 | 70% |
Clingan’s rebounding floor stays strong, but points face regression risk
Donovan Clingan is producing well across the board, with season averages of 12.4 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists, and his recent rebounding has held steady at 12.8 over the last 5 and 12.9 over the last 10. The scoring surge is harder to trust: his 17.6 PPG last 5 sits well above his season mean, and the provided value data shows a strong UNDER lean on points at 14.5. With Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe out, usage can remain concentrated, but the matchup context and season baseline still make his points line vulnerable to regression. Rebounds look more stable than scoring, while his 3-point volume has been enough to keep threes in play.
Stat Trends
PPG
17.6(↑ from 12.4)
RPG
12.8(→ from 11.8)
APG
1.8(↓ from 2.2)
Key Matchup
No specific defender matchup data. The opponent profile shows a 116.39 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 0.218 scoring suppression, while his prior head-to-head sample is only 7.33 points and 7.33 rebounds across 3 games in 17.33 minutes.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donovan Clingan▼ | Points | 14.5 | UNDER | 86%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 12.5→14.5 | 14 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Rebounds | 12.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | FLIP | 15 | ✗ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 52%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ | |
Donovan Clingan▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | FLIP | 1 | ✗ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ | |
Donovan Clingan▼ | STL+BLK | 2.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 40% | FLIP | 6 | ✗ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 2 | ✓ | |
Donovan Clingan▼ | PRA | 26.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 32 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼
P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼
Featured Pick
Donovan Clingan
Points UNDER 14.5HIGH
This is the clearest edge in the data: multiple books show UNDER as the best side, and the value set pegs the under at 0.754 probability at 14.5. His season average is only 12.4 points, so the recent 17.6 PPG run looks overextended relative to baseline.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.