AI Model:
G
Blake Wesley▲
POR · G
PPG
5.2
RPG
1.3
APG
2.4
L5 PPG
3.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.2
5.2
3.0
RPG-0.5
1.3
0.8
APG-0.4
2.4
2.0
SPG-0.6
0.6
0.0
BPG-0.1
0.1
0.0
UNDER 5.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
5.5
10
CHI
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHI: 10 pts
2
CHA
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs CHA: 2 pts
12
ATL
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs ATL: 12 pts
6
MEM
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MEM: 6 pts
7
HOU
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs HOU: 7 pts
0
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 0 pts
0
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 0 pts
4
BKN
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs BKN: 4 pts
2
DEN
2026-03-22
2026-03-22 vs DEN: 2 pts
9
BKN
2026-03-23
2026-03-23 vs BKN: 9 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 5.5
66%
REB
UNDER 1.5
74%
AST
UNDER 2.5
58%
3PM
UNDER 0.5
72%
STL+BLK
UNDER 0.5
60%
TO
OVER 1.5
55%
P+A
UNDER 7.5
63%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
5.1
4.9
RPG
1.0
0.9
APG
2.4
2.0
vs MIL (H2H)4 games
PPG
2.0
RPG
2.0
APG
2.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 4 | 5 | 50% | +4.2% | medium |
| Javon Small | 3 | 4 | 125% | +54.2% | medium |
| Keyonte George | 1 | 3 | 0% | -45.8% | low |
| GG Jackson | 3 | 3 | 0% |
Usage should be there, but the production ceiling is still limited
Blake Wesley’s season line sits at 5.2 PPG, 1.3 RPG, and 2.4 APG in 13.4 MPG, and his last 10 games are basically in line at 5.2 PPG and 2.1 APG. The recent minute trend is actually softer, with 11.8 MPG over the last 10 and just 8.8 MPG over the last 5, so the current form does not point to a major spike. Portland’s teammate absences could keep him involved, but his own recent scoring has been volatile and the matchup data does not suggest a clear efficiency boost. The safest angle is to lean on his modest season baseline rather than chase an over off a small sample.
Stat Trends
PPG
3.0(↓ from 5.2)
APG
2.0(↓ from 2.4)
MPG
8.8(↓ from 13.4)
Key Matchup
Jrue Holiday, Ryan Rollins, and Bobby Portis are listed as key defenders, but there is no specific defender matchup data to isolate a true one-on-one edge. Milwaukee’s opponent defense shows a 116.39 defensive rating with 0.218 scoring suppression and 1.403 three suppression, which does not point to an easy shooting environment.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Wesley▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 7 | ✗ |
Blake Wesley▼ | Rebounds | 1.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Blake Wesley▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Blake Wesley▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Blake Wesley▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Blake Wesley▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Blake Wesley▼ | P+A | 7.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 8 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
AST2.5UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)6/1250%▼
P+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)4/1233%▼
PTS5UNDER7%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x6/1250%▼
R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)3/1225%▼
P+R7.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x5/1242%▼
FTM0.5UNDER10%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x6/1250%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
FTA2OVER4%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x6/1250%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
PRA8OVER13%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x5/1242%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
REB1UNDER5%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x5/1242%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
Featured Pick
Blake Wesley
Rebounds UNDER 1.5HIGH
This is the cleanest angle because Wesley’s rebound production is consistently low: 1.3 RPG on the season, 0.7 over the last 10, and 0.8 over the last 5. The minute trend is also down, which reduces the chance he gets enough opportunities to clear a small rebound line.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.