AI Model:

Dean Wade▼

CLE · PF

PPG

5.8

RPG

4.2

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

6.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.2

5.8

6.0

RPG-0.2

4.2

4.0

APG-0.1

1.5

1.4

SPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

BPG-0.4

0.4

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 0 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 0 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIL: 9 pts

CHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CHI: 0 pts

NOP

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs NOP: 7 pts

ORL

2026-03-24

2026-03-24 vs ORL: 2 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

68%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

69%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

74%

3PM

OVER 0.5

64%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

71%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

66%

UNDER 2

80%

P+R

UNDER 13.5STAKE

67%

P+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

72%

R+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

73%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.1

4.2

RPG

5.5

3.6

APG

1.2

1.4

vs MIA (H2H)10 games

PPG

7.4

RPG

3.5

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	12	54%	-1.5%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	11	25%	-18.2%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	7%	-36.5%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	75%

Home split helps Wade, but scoring ceiling stays capped

Dean Wade’s production is modest overall, with season averages of 5.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 1.5 assists in 22.5 MPG. His home split is noticeably better than his away split, especially for points (9.1 at home vs 4.2 away) and rebounds (5.5 at home vs 3.6 away), which supports a slightly stronger projection in Cleveland. That said, his recent trend is down and the last-5 scoring output at 6.0 points is still below the 7.5-point line, so the safer lean is toward the under on scoring and combo props. Miami’s defense context also points to a slower, more suppressed scoring environment, which keeps his ceiling limited.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.0(→ from 5.8)

RPG

4.0(→ from 4.2)

APG

1.4(→ from 1.5)

3PM

0.8(↓ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. Miami’s opponent defense context shows a 117.34 defensive rating with a 0.43 scoring suppression mark, which supports a lower-end scoring projection for Wade.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution
Dean Wade▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Dean Wade▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	80%
Dean Wade▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	1/2	80%
Dean Wade▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	FLIP
Dean Wade▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	30%	FLIP
Dean Wade▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	—	80%
Dean Wade▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	90%
Dean Wade▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	100%
Dean Wade▼	P+R	13.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	80%
Dean Wade▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%
Dean Wade▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

P+R10.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Dean Wade

Rebounds UNDER 5.5HIGH

Wade’s season rebound average is 4.21 and his last-5 is 4.0, both comfortably below 5.5. Even with a stronger home split, the baseline production and recent form still point to the under.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Norman Powell	2	5	11	57%	64%
Nikola Jović	2	3	0	0%	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	2	3	1	0%	0%
Andrew Wiggins	2	2	2	33%	33%
Kel'el Ware	2	1	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 7.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.81 points and his last-10 is 5.3, both below 7.5. Even with a better home split, the recent trend is down and the under is the more conservative side.

reboundsUNDER 5.569%MEDIUM

He averages 4.21 rebounds on the season and 4.2 over the last 5, well short of 5.5. Home rebound average is 5.5, but the broader sample and recent form still point under.

assistsUNDER 2.574%HIGH

Wade’s season mean is 1.51 assists and recent mean is 1.4, both below 2.5. His assist output has not shown enough volume to justify the over.

threesOVER 0.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.19 threes per game this season and 0.9 over the last 10, which still supports clearing 0.5. The recent dip lowers confidence, but the volume remains meaningful.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 0.8 and his last-20 is 0.8, both above the 0.5 line. The last-5 is only 0.4, so this is viable but not a high-confidence play.

blocksUNDER 0.571%HIGH

He averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.0 over the last 5. That makes the under the clear lean at a 0.5 line.

stocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.14 and recent mean is 0.6, both below 1.5. With volatility in the category and recent dip, the under is favored.

turnoversUNDER 280%HIGH

Recent game logs show extremely low turnover volume, with last-5 topg at 0.2. He has not reached the kind of usage that would support 2+ turnovers regularly.

prUNDER 13.567%MEDIUM

His season averages sum to 10.0 points and rebounds, and his recent combined form is still below 13.5. This is a combo prop, so the conservative under is preferred.

paUNDER 9.572%HIGH

Season averages of 5.8 points and 1.5 assists combine to just 7.3, well below 9.5. Recent play does not show enough upside to push this over.

raUNDER 7.573%HIGH

His season rebounds plus assists average is 5.7, and the last-10 is 5.6, both far below 7.5. This is the strongest combo under among the listed options.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS