AI Model:

Andrew Wiggins▼

MIA · PF

PPG

15.8

RPG

5.1

APG

2.8

L5 PPG

12.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.8

15.8

12.0

RPG-0.7

5.1

4.4

APG-0.4

2.8

2.4

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG+0.5

1.1

1.6

OVER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

WAS

2026-02-08

2026-02-08 vs WAS: 11 pts

UTA

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs UTA: 26 pts

ATL

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs ATL: 13 pts

MEM

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs MEM: 28 pts

MIL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs MIL: 16 pts

PHI

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs PHI: 18 pts

HOU

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs HOU: 12 pts

BKN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs BKN: 13 pts

BKN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs BKN: 8 pts

SAS

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs SAS: 9 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

53%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

STL

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

BLK

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

P+R

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

P+A

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.8

RPG

4.6

6.0

APG

2.8

2.5

vs CLE (H2H)11 games

PPG

14.8

RPG

3.9

APG

2.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaylen Brown	3	17	52%	-3.2%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	16	44%	-5.9%	medium
Mikal Bridges	4	14	66%	+2.4%	medium
Michael Porter Jr.	2	14	47%

Wiggins’ three-point prop stands out, but scoring is more of a coin flip

Andrew Wiggins is sitting at 15.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 2.8 APG for the season, but his last-5 form has cooled to 12.0 PPG and 4.4 RPG with a reduced 27.2 MPG. The matchup is not a simple boost spot: Cleveland has a 114.92 defensive rating and the game environment shows the Cavaliers on a back-to-back, while Wiggins has produced 14.8 PPG in 11 games versus this opponent. The strongest statistical angle is his threes volume and efficiency, with 1.98 made threes per game on the season and 2.3 over his last 10, while his points and combo props carry more variance.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.0(↓ from 15.8)

RPG

4.4(↓ from 5.1)

APG

2.4(↓ from 2.8)

3PM

1.0(↓ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders. Cleveland’s opponent defense shows a 114.92 defensive rating and 100 pace, while the back-to-back for the Cavaliers could affect team legs more than creating a guaranteed individual boost.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Andrew Wiggins▼	Points	12.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	FLIP	12	✗
Andrew Wiggins▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	FLIP	3	✗
Andrew Wiggins▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	2/2	40%		2	✗
Andrew Wiggins▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		2	✓
Andrew Wiggins▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%		2	✓
Andrew Wiggins▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	80%		0	✗
Andrew Wiggins▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%		2	✓
Andrew Wiggins▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	18.5→19.5	15	✓
Andrew Wiggins▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	—	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5UNDER10%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 6x14/2070%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Value edge shifted -0.266▼

P+R20UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

REB4.5UNDER22%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA20.5UNDER1%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)13/2065%▼

P+A17.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

AST2.5UNDER28%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

BLK1.5UNDER57%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Andrew Wiggins

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data set, with value_props showing a 27.4% edge at DraftKings and strong positive EV. Wiggins is averaging 1.98 made threes per game on the season and 2.3 over his last 10, so 1.5 is a favorable number even with some recent volatility.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Evan Mobley	3	8	12	56%	67%
De'Andre Hunter	2	7	10	44%	50%
Sam Merrill	4	6	9	38%	56%
Donovan Mitchell	3	5	11	36%	36%
James Harden	2	4	3	0%	0%

pointsOVER 12.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 15.79 PPG and his last-10 is 15.4, both above this line. That said, the last-5 dip to 12.0 and a 27.2 MPG recent workload keep this only moderately appealing.

reboundsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

He averages 5.05 RPG on the season and 5.9 over the last 10, with a 5.63 away split. The recent trend is supportive, but the variance is meaningful.

assistsOVER 2.553%MEDIUM

Wiggins is at 2.75 APG for the season and 2.6 over the last 10, which is slightly above this number. The edge is modest, so this is more of a lean than a strong play.

threesOVER 1.568%MEDIUM

This is the best quantified edge in the data: value_props show a 27.4% best edge at DraftKings with 55.38 EV over 100 on the OVER. He averages 1.98 threes per game on the season and 2.3 over the last 10, making 1.5 the clearest threshold.

stealsOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 SPG on the season and 0.9 over the last 20, so clearing 0.5 is realistic. The floor is decent, but the stat is volatile.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

Wiggins averages 1.1 BPG on the season and 1.0 over the last 20, with 1.4 over the last 10. That makes 0.5 a favorable number despite some game-to-game volatility.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.16 and last-10 is 2.2, both well above 1.5. The combo stat has more variance, but his recent production supports the OVER.

prUNDER 18.557%MEDIUM

His season P+R comes out to 20.84, but the last-5 scoring drop to 12.0 and rebound drop to 4.4 makes this less secure than the season average suggests. With the OVER bias warning, this is a cautious UNDER lean on a higher combo line.

paOVER 16.554%MEDIUM

His season P+A is 18.55 and his last-10 is 18.0, both above this number. The margin is not huge, so confidence stays modest.

timelineOVER 12.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Wiggins’ three-point prop stands out, but scoring is more of a coin flip

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 12.5 PTS