AI Model:

Ivica Zubac▲

IND · C

PPG

14.0

RPG

10.4

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

11.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.4

14.0

11.6

RPG-3.2

10.4

7.2

APG-0.4

2.2

1.8

SPG0.0

0.4

BPG-0.1

0.9

0.8

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

BKN

2026-01-25

2026-01-25 vs BKN: 11 pts

UTA

2026-01-27

2026-01-27 vs UTA: 9 pts

DEN

2026-01-30

2026-01-30 vs DEN: 13 pts

PHX

2026-02-01

2026-02-01 vs PHX: 14 pts

PHI

2026-02-02

2026-02-02 vs PHI: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHX: 8 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 11 pts

MIL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIL: 10 pts

NYK

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs NYK: 11 pts

POR

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs POR: 18 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5STAKE

68%

REB

UNDER 9.5STAKE

72%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

61%

P+R

UNDER 22.5STAKE

67%

P+A

OVER 14.5STAKE

60%

R+A

UNDER 10.5STAKE

66%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

54%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.3

13.0

RPG

8.0

9.8

APG

1.8

vs LAL (H2H)18 games

PPG

12.6

RPG

10.3

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Mark Williams	4	23	60%	+0.1%	medium
Zach Edey	2	18	33%	-26.6%	low
Mitchell Robinson	3	14	30%	-29.9%	medium
Bam Adebayo	2	12	64%

Zubac’s role and recent dip point to a cautious under lean

Ivica Zubac is carrying a season line of 14.0 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 2.2 APG, but his recent production has cooled to 11.6 PPG, 7.2 RPG, and 1.8 APG over the last 5. His minutes have also fallen from 30.2 MPG on the season to 23.6 MPG in the last 5, which matters more than the positive away splits. Against this opponent, he has averaged 12.61111111111111 PPG and 10.277777777777779 RPG across 18 games, so the matchup is workable, but the current usage and minutes trend keep most overs in check.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.6(↓ from 14.0)

RPG

7.2(↓ from 10.4)

APG

1.8(↓ from 2.2)

Key Matchup

Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, and Jarred Vanderbilt are listed as key defenders, so there is no specific defender matchup data beyond those names. The opponent profile shows a 114.96 defensive rating and 100 pace, which is not a major pace boost for counting stats.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Ivica Zubac▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Ivica Zubac▼	Rebounds	9.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	80%
Ivica Zubac▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Ivica Zubac▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Ivica Zubac▼	P+A	14.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	30%
Ivica Zubac▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Ivica Zubac▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	30%
Ivica Zubac▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11UNDER18%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

AST2UNDER21%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)4/2020%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA22UNDER19%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A13UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼

REB8UNDER19%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x9/2045%▼

FTM1.5UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x7/2035%▼

FTA2UNDER14%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

Featured Pick

Ivica Zubac

Rebounds UNDER 9.5HIGH

This is the cleanest play because the season average is 10.43, but the last 5 have fallen to 7.2 and the last 10 to 8.9. With minutes down from 30.2 to 23.6, the under has the strongest support among the listed props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jaxson Hayes	3	12	6	50%	50%
Deandre Ayton	1	5	4	50%	50%
Maxi Kleber	2	3	2	33%	33%
LeBron James	3	3	21	62%	65%
Luka Dončić	3	3	12	38%	42%

pointsUNDER 12.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 14.02, but the last 5 have dropped to 11.6 with minutes down to 23.6. That makes 12.5 a reachable number, but the recent usage dip and the over-bias warning favor the under.

reboundsUNDER 9.572%HIGH

He is averaging 10.43 rebounds on the season, but only 7.2 over the last 5 and 8.9 over the last 10. With recent minutes down and the line set at 9.5, the under is the safer side.

assistsOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.23 APG and his last 5 are 1.8 APG, both comfortably above 1.5. The line is low enough that even with reduced minutes, he can clear it.

prUNDER 22.567%MEDIUM

His season PR profile is 24.45 using 14.02 points and 10.43 rebounds, but recent form is much lower at 18.8 combined over the last 5. Because combo props are higher-variance, the under is preferred.

paOVER 14.560%MEDIUM

He averages 16.25 points plus assists on the season, and 13.4 over the last 5. The line is only slightly above his recent pace, but the season baseline supports a narrow over lean.

raUNDER 10.566%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists average is 12.63, but the last 5 drop to 9.0. With his minutes recently sitting at 23.6 MPG, 10.5 is a tougher number to reach.

stealsOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 steals on the season and 0.4 over the last 5, so this is only a marginal look. The line is low, but the projection is still volatile.

blocksOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 blocks on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, which is strong for a 0.5 line. The recent block rate still supports a slight over lean.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS