AI Model:
PG
Andrew Nembhard—
IND · PG
PPG
17.1
RPG
2.9
APG
7.4
L5 PPG
16.6
Last 10 GamesAST
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.5
17.1
16.6
RPG+0.1
2.9
3.0
APG+0.4
7.4
7.8
SPG+0.3
0.9
1.2
BPG-0.1
0.1
0.0
UNDER 7.5 AST
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
7.5
11
DAL
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs DAL: 11 ast
3
PHI
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs PHI: 3 ast
7
CHA
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHA: 7 ast
5
LAC
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs LAC: 5 ast
8
LAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs LAL: 8 ast
9
POR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs POR: 9 ast
2
PHX
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs PHX: 2 ast
7
NYK
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NYK: 7 ast
7
SAS
2026-03-21
2026-03-21 vs SAS: 7 ast
14
ORL
2026-03-23
2026-03-23 vs ORL: 14 ast
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
AST
UNDER 7.5BETMGM
72%
REB
OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS
66%
PTS
OVER 15.5FANDUEL
58%
3PM
OVER 1.5BETMGM
60%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
64%
P+A
UNDER 25.5STAKE
57%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
18.4
14.8
RPG
2.9
3.5
APG
7.1
8.3
vs LAL (H2H)7 games
PPG
11.3
RPG
3.1
APG
4.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 21 | 56% | +5.8% | medium |
| Payton Pritchard | 4 | 19 | 38% | -6.7% | medium |
| Jalen Brunson | 3 | 17 | 63% | +14.1% | medium |
| Jaylen Brown | 3 | 15 | 53% |
Stable creator spot, but assists lean under at inflated lines
Andrew Nembhard is producing a steady all-around line, with season marks of 17.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 7.4 APG and recent averages that stay close to that level. His last 5 games show 16.6 points and 7.8 assists in 28.0 MPG, while his home splits are slightly stronger in scoring at 18.4 PPG and 7.1 APG. The matchup context is mixed: Indiana plays at home and he has a 2-game rest edge, but his 7-game vs-opponent sample drops to 11.3 PPG and 4.0 APG against this opponent. With available value data, the clearest edge is on assists under 7.5, while rebounds over 2.5 also rates positively.
Stat Trends
PPG
16.6(→ from 17.1)
RPG
3.0(→ from 2.9)
APG
7.8(↑ from 7.4)
Key Matchup
no specific defender matchup data. The opponent profile shows a 114.96 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a -0.455 three suppression, while his 7-game history vs this opponent is well below his season line at 11.3 PPG and 4.0 APG.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Assists | 7.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 19 | ✗ | |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | FLIP | 2 | ✗ |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Points | 15.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | FLIP | 14 | ✗ |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ | |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ | |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | P+A | 25.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 33 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R19OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
P+A24.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)13/2065%▼
R+A11UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Andrew Nembhard
Assists UNDER 7.5HIGH
This is the strongest value on the board: the value data gives the UNDER a 10.2% edge and +20.48 EV per 100 at betmgm. His season average is 7.37 APG, and his vs-opponent average falls to 4.0 APG over 7 games, making the under the cleanest lean despite stable recent form.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.