AI Model:

Andre Drummond▼

PHI · C

PPG

6.6

RPG

8.6

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

7.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.0

6.6

7.6

RPG+1.4

8.6

10.0

APG+1.8

1.2

3.0

SPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

BPG+0.6

0.8

1.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

6.5

BOS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BOS: 10 pts

SAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAS: 2 pts

UTA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs UTA: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ATL: 2 pts

CLE

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs CLE: 4 pts

POR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs POR: 6 pts

DEN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DEN: 9 pts

SAC

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAC: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs UTA: 4 pts

OKC

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs OKC: 6 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

68%

REB

UNDER 8.5

60%

AST

OVER 1.5

55%

3PM

OVER 0.5

56%

BLK

OVER 0.5

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 1.5

58%

PRA

UNDER 15.5

64%

R+A

UNDER 17

61%

UNDER 0.5

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.5

6.8

RPG

7.5

8.8

APG

1.4

2.2

vs CHI (H2H)6 games

PPG

3.8

RPG

5.7

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Neemias Queta	4	15	67%	+19.7%	medium
Jalen Duren	2	14	88%	+40.5%	low
Nic Claxton	3	13	86%	+38.7%	medium
Donovan Clingan	2	11	44%

Drummond’s rebound floor is solid, but scoring and combo upside look capped

Andre Drummond is trending down overall, with season marks of 6.6 points and 8.6 rebounds, while his last 10 games sit at 5.8 points and 8.2 rebounds. The rebound profile is still the most stable piece, but his recent scoring has been inconsistent and his season-to-recent minutes are only modestly higher at 21.1 vs 20.04. He has also underwhelmed in the head-to-head sample against Chicago, averaging 3.83 points and 5.67 rebounds across 6 games, which is a meaningful drag on aggressive overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.6(↑ from 6.6)

RPG

10.0(↑ from 8.6)

APG

3.0(↑ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond Jalen Smith and Matas Buzelis, with very limited minutes listed for both. Chicago’s opponent defense shows a 120.34 defensive rating and 100 pace, which supports an ordinary-to-slightly-slower environment rather than a big ceiling game.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Andre Drummond▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	0	✓
Andre Drummond▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Andre Drummond▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✗
Andre Drummond▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Andre Drummond▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	20%	0	✗
Andre Drummond▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Andre Drummond▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	30%	1	✗
Andre Drummond▼	PRA	15.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Andre Drummond▼	R+A	17	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	2	✓
Andre Drummond▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

P+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)6/1540%▼

PTS6UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x4/1527%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PA2UNDER44%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x3/1520%▼

PRA17UNDER30%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)7/1547%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/1547%▼

REB9UNDER15%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x6/1540%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

AST2UNDER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)6/1540%▼

P+R14.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)8/1553%▼

Featured Pick

Andre Drummond

Double-double UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his matchup history against Chicago is weak, with 3.83 points and 5.67 rebounds in 6 games and only 12.17 MPG in that sample. Even though his recent rebounds have improved, the combo of limited historical ceiling and volatile minute profile makes the under the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nikola Vučević	1	1	0	0%	0%
Lachlan Olbrich	1	1	2	100%	100%
Zach Collins	1	1	2	100%	100%
Leonard Miller	1	0	2	50%	50%
Ayo Dosunmu	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 6.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.61, but the last 10 games are only 5.8 and the vs-opponent sample is just 3.83 points in 6 games. With the over bias warning and Chicago holding his usage in prior meetings, the under is slightly safer.

reboundsUNDER 8.560%MEDIUM

The season mean is 8.59, but recent form is 8.2 over the last 10 and his vs-opponent rebound average is only 5.67. Home splits are better at 9.33 RPG, but the historical matchup pull keeps this close to the under.

assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.17, but the last 5 jump to 3.0 and the last 10 are 2.3, showing a clear recent uptick. Variance is high, so confidence stays moderate, but the recent role suggests some assist upside.

threesOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.52 threes per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, with multiple recent games showing made threes. The volume is still low, but the line is modest and his recent activity supports a slight over lean.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 blocks on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, which clears this modest line often enough. Recent games also show pop with 4 blocks vs UTA and a 1.4 block average over the last 5.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.41 and the last 10 are 1.3, both below this threshold. Since the combined stat adds volatility and the standard deviation is meaningful, the under is the cleaner side.

turnoversOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.4 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.4 over the last 20, which sits near this line. With minutes around 20-21 and recent games reaching 2-3 turnovers, the over is playable but not strong.

praUNDER 15.564%MEDIUM

His season PRA projects to 16.37, but the last 10 are only 16.3 and the matchup history against Chicago is much lower at 11.0 combined on points and rebounds plus assists. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is preferred.

raUNDER 1761%MEDIUM

He averages 8.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists on the season, and the recent bump in assists does not fully offset the weaker matchup history. Given his 5.67 rebound average vs Chicago and combo-prop caution, the under is reasonable.

double_doubleUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He has double-double potential, but the recent profile is uneven and the head-to-head production versus Chicago is well below DD pace. With rebounds and points both capped in the matchup sample, the under is the safer side.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS