AI Model:

Onyeka Okongwu▼

ATL · C

PPG

15.5

RPG

7.7

APG

3.2

L5 PPG

11.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.5

15.5

11.0

RPG-0.9

7.7

6.8

APG+0.4

3.2

3.6

SPG-0.5

1.1

0.6

BPG-0.1

1.1

1.0

UNDER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

15.5

MIL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MIL: 21 pts

PHI

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs PHI: 10 pts

DAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DAL: 18 pts

BKN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BKN: 13 pts

MIL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIL: 4 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 15 pts

DAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DAL: 12 pts

HOU

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs HOU: 6 pts

GSW

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs GSW: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MEM: 16 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 15.5STAKE

61%

REB

UNDER 8.5STAKE

64%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5STAKE

57%

STL

OVER 0.5

60%

BLK

OVER 0.5

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

62%

P+A

OVER 18.5STAKE

56%

P+R

UNDER 24.5STAKE

63%

R+A

OVER 11.5STAKE

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.7

RPG

7.4

7.0

APG

3.4

2.3

vs DET (H2H)17 games

PPG

11.1

RPG

5.9

APG

1.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Duren	4	25	65%	+17.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	19	71%	+18.8%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	3	19	75%	+27.1%	medium
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	18	93%

Okongwu’s usage is solid, but recent scoring dip points to a cautious points lean

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 15.5 PPG, 7.7 RPG, and 3.2 APG for the season across 31 MPG, but his recent scoring has cooled to 11.0 PPG over the last 5 and 12.1 over the last 10. His matchup history against Detroit is notably lower than season form, with 11.06 PPG, 5.88 RPG, and 1.94 APG in 17 games. The market still shows value on his lower point and assist lines, but the broader trend is down and his last-5 minutes have slipped to 27.2, so overs beyond modest thresholds deserve caution.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.0(↓ from 15.5)

RPG

6.8(↓ from 7.7)

APG

3.6(→ from 3.2)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data can be inferred beyond the provided key defenders. Detroit’s opponent profile shows a 109.54 defensive rating and 100 pace, with scoring suppression of -1.324 and three suppression of -1.21, which slightly tempers ceiling outcomes.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Points	15.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		11	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%		1	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		2	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1.5→1.95	3	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		2	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		0	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	60%	1.5→2.21	2	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	P+A	18.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	FLIP	13	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	P+R	24.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	80%		12	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	R+A	11.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	10%	—	3	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R21UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Onyeka Okongwu

Rebounds UNDER 8.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 7.7 RPG and his last 5 are 6.8 RPG, both clearly below the 8.5 line. The opponent-specific sample is also only 5.88 RPG across 17 games, which reinforces the under without needing any guesswork.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Duren	4	25	34	65%	65%
Isaiah Stewart	3	10	12	60%	60%
Cade Cunningham	3	4	9	44%	50%
Tobias Harris	3	2	5	40%	50%
Daniss Jenkins	4	2	10	83%	83%

pointsUNDER 15.561%MEDIUM

His last 5 are only 11.0 PPG and his last 10 are 12.1, both below the 15.5 line. He also averages just 11.06 PPG in 17 games vs this opponent, which supports a slight under lean.

reboundsUNDER 8.564%MEDIUM

Season rebounding is 7.7 RPG and his last 5 are 6.8 RPG, both under 8.5. The opponent sample is also softer at 5.88 RPG across 17 games.

assistsOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He averages 3.2 APG on the season and 3.6 APG over the last 5, with a recent mean of 3.0. The assist line is modest enough to support the over despite the overall downtrend.

threesUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season threes are 1.95, but the last 5 drop to 1.0 and the last 10 are 1.2. That recent dip makes the under playable at 1.5.

stealsOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals per game on the season, with 0.6 in the last 5 and 1.2 in the last 10. The season baseline still clears the 0.5 threshold.

blocksOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 blocks per game on the season and 1.0 over the last 5. That volume gives the over a reasonable floor at 0.5.

stocksOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.21 and his last 10 are 2.7, both comfortably above 1.5. The only caution is that the last 5 fell to 1.6, so this is not elite-confidence.

paOVER 18.556%MEDIUM

He averages 18.7 points plus assists on the season and 14.6 over the last 5, so the season profile is the main support. This is a thinner combo prop because recent scoring has been weaker.

prUNDER 24.563%MEDIUM

Season points plus rebounds is 23.2, while the last 5 are 17.8, both below 24.5. The recent trend is clearly not supporting an over.

raOVER 11.555%MEDIUM

He averages 11.0 rebounds plus assists on the season and 10.4 over the last 5, so this is close to the line. It is a modest over only because his season number is right near the threshold.

timelineUNDER 15.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Okongwu’s usage is solid, but recent scoring dip points to a cautious points lean

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 15.5 PTS