AI Model:

Kevin Huerter▲

DET · SG

PPG

9.8

RPG

3.6

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

7.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.0

9.8

7.8

RPG-0.4

3.6

3.2

APG-0.3

2.5

2.2

SPG+0.6

0.8

1.4

BPG-0.4

0.6

0.2

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 8 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 4 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 12 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 11 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 3 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 4 pts

WAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs WAS: 14 pts

LAL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs LAL: 7 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5STAKE

71%

REB

UNDER 3.5STAKE

66%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

70%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

62%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

P+R

UNDER 15.5STAKE

68%

P+A

UNDER 14.5STAKE

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.3

6.1

RPG

2.8

3.9

APG

1.9

2.6

vs ATL (H2H)9 games

PPG

12.3

RPG

3.0

APG

3.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Quentin Grimes	4	12	0%	-45.2%	medium
Tristan da Silva	4	10	72%	+21.5%	medium
Herbert Jones	2	7	57%	-2.3%	low
Ronald Holland II	3	7	38%

Huerter’s scoring ceiling is capped, but absences keep him in play

Kevin Huerter comes in with a season line of 9.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 2.5 APG, while his last 5 games have dipped to 7.8 PPG on 20.6 MPG. The key boost is role-driven: Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, and Jaden Ivey are all out, with Marcus Sasser doubtful, which should keep Huerter’s minutes and shot attempts relevant. However, the recent trend is still modest, and his season and last-10 scoring form both sit below the listed 12.5 points line. With the game at home and his season home scoring at 7.3 PPG, the profile leans more toward a controlled contribution than a breakout.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.8(↓ from 9.8)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 3.6)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.5)

STL+BLK

1.6(↑ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent defense shows a 116.39 defensive rating with 100 pace. The opponent’s scoring suppression of 0.217 is a mild drag on scoring, though the three suppression figure is negative at -0.218.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kevin Huerter▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	90%	8	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	80%	0	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Kevin Huerter▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	10	✓
Kevin Huerter▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	10	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A12.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)7/1937%▼

P+R13UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)7/1937%▼

R+A6OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/1953%▼

Featured Pick

Kevin Huerter

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the clearest edge because his season scoring is 9.8 PPG, last-10 is 7.7, and last-5 is 7.8. Even with a usage bump from teammate absences, the current production profile still sits well below 12.5.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	6	15	42%	54%
Vít Krejčí	2	5	14	100%	150%
Luke Kennard	3	5	2	0%	0%
Zaccharie Risacher	4	4	7	75%	88%
Dyson Daniels	3	4	2	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 12.571%HIGH

His season mean is 9.8 PPG and last-10 is 7.7 PPG, both below 12.5. The recent 7.8 PPG form and 7.3 home PPG also point to an under lean.

reboundsUNDER 3.566%MEDIUM

He averages 3.6 RPG for the season and 3.2 over the last 5, so this is very close to the line. With modest variance and only 20.4 recent MPG, the under is slightly safer.

assistsUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

Season mean is 2.5 APG and last-5 is 2.2 APG, which is not strong enough to trust an over at a short line. Even with teammate absences, this remains a near-fair number.

threesUNDER 1.570%HIGH

His season threes mean is 1.36 and last-5 is just 0.8, with away mean at 0.89. Since the line is above both the season and recent production, the under is the cleaner side.

stealsOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10. The 0.5 line is modest relative to his usual defensive activity.

blocksOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.6 blocks per game, which is slightly above the line. This is a volatile category, but the baseline supports a narrow over lean.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.38 stocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 5. The recent defensive activity makes 1.5 reachable, though variance keeps confidence moderate.

prUNDER 15.568%MEDIUM

Points plus rebounds season average is 13.39, and recent form is even lower. That leaves a notable gap to 15.5 despite teammate absences.

paUNDER 14.564%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists average is 12.3, and last-10 is 10.3. The line sits above both the season and recent baseline.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS