Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 4 | 12 | 0% | -45.2% | medium |
| Tristan da Silva | 4 | 10 | 72% | +21.5% | medium |
| Herbert Jones | 2 | 7 | 57% | -2.3% | low |
| Ronald Holland II | 3 | 7 | 38% |
Kevin Huerter comes in with a season line of 9.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 2.5 APG, while his last 5 games have dipped to 7.8 PPG on 20.6 MPG. The key boost is role-driven: Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, and Jaden Ivey are all out, with Marcus Sasser doubtful, which should keep Huerter’s minutes and shot attempts relevant. However, the recent trend is still modest, and his season and last-10 scoring form both sit below the listed 12.5 points line. With the game at home and his season home scoring at 7.3 PPG, the profile leans more toward a controlled contribution than a breakout.
There is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent defense shows a 116.39 defensive rating with 100 pace. The opponent’s scoring suppression of 0.217 is a mild drag on scoring, though the three suppression figure is negative at -0.218.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Huerter▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 8 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 10 | ✓ |
Kevin Huerter▼ | P+A | 14.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 10 | ✓ |
This is the clearest edge because his season scoring is 9.8 PPG, last-10 is 7.7, and last-5 is 7.8. Even with a usage bump from teammate absences, the current production profile still sits well below 12.5.
| medium |
| Luke Kennard | 4 | 7 | 0% | -45.2% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 4 | 6 | 15 | 42% | 54% |
| Vít Krejčí | 2 | 5 | 14 | 100% | 150% |
| Luke Kennard | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 4 | 4 | 7 | 75% | 88% |
| Dyson Daniels | 3 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
His season mean is 9.8 PPG and last-10 is 7.7 PPG, both below 12.5. The recent 7.8 PPG form and 7.3 home PPG also point to an under lean.
He averages 3.6 RPG for the season and 3.2 over the last 5, so this is very close to the line. With modest variance and only 20.4 recent MPG, the under is slightly safer.
Season mean is 2.5 APG and last-5 is 2.2 APG, which is not strong enough to trust an over at a short line. Even with teammate absences, this remains a near-fair number.
His season threes mean is 1.36 and last-5 is just 0.8, with away mean at 0.89. Since the line is above both the season and recent production, the under is the cleaner side.
He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10. The 0.5 line is modest relative to his usual defensive activity.
His season average is 0.6 blocks per game, which is slightly above the line. This is a volatile category, but the baseline supports a narrow over lean.
He averages 1.38 stocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 5. The recent defensive activity makes 1.5 reachable, though variance keeps confidence moderate.
Points plus rebounds season average is 13.39, and recent form is even lower. That leaves a notable gap to 15.5 despite teammate absences.
His season points plus assists average is 12.3, and last-10 is 10.3. The line sits above both the season and recent baseline.