AI Model:

Jonathan Kuminga▲

ATL · PF

PPG

12.6

RPG

6.3

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

8.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.0

12.6

8.6

RPG-0.1

6.3

6.2

APG-0.4

2.6

2.2

SPG+0.1

0.5

0.6

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

PHX

2025-12-18

2025-12-18 vs PHX: 2 pts

TOR

2026-01-20

2026-01-20 vs TOR: 20 pts

WAS

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs WAS: 27 pts

WAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs WAS: 17 pts

POR

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs POR: 20 pts

BKN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BKN: 2 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 7 pts

DAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DAL: 16 pts

GSW

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs GSW: 2 pts

MEM

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MEM: 16 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5

68%

REB

UNDER 6.5

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5

60%

3PM

OVER 1

54%

STL

OVER 0.5

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

64%

OVER 2

57%

PRA

UNDER 21.5

59%

P+R

UNDER 19

61%

UNDER 0.5

76%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.9

9.2

RPG

6.2

5.6

APG

2.2

2.4

vs DET (H2H)5 games

PPG

8.6

RPG

4.4

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Luka Dončić	1	8	63%	+12.6%	low
Aaron Gordon	2	7	78%	+9.9%	low
Josh Minott	2	6	70%	+14.3%	low
Christian Braun	2	5	63%

Kuminga’s usage looks steady, but the scoring ceiling is capped

Jonathan Kuminga has a season line of 12.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.6 assists in 23.9 MPG, but his last-5 scoring has dipped to 8.6 PPG while minutes fell to 19.6. His last-10 points are still 12.9, so the overall form is not broken, yet the recent sample suggests a lower-usage role than his season baseline. The matchup is neutral-to-slightly favorable on paper, but Detroit’s opponent context and Kuminga’s 5-game history vs this opponent at just 8.6 PPG and 4.4 RPG push this toward a conservative projection. With the Hawks as the away team and no injury boost listed on his side, the safest angle is leaning under on a higher scoring line.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.6(↓ from 12.6)

RPG

6.2(→ from 6.3)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, and the provided key defender data does not include meaningful points-allowed context. The opponent profile is slightly favorable overall, but Kuminga’s vs-opponent averages of 8.6 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 1.4 APG are the more important indicators here.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	8	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	3PM	1	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	30%	1	✗
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	20%	2	✗
Jonathan Kuminga▼	PRA	21.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	14	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	P+R	19	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	13	✓
Jonathan Kuminga▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS9.5UNDER18%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

3PA3UNDER39%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%▼

PRA15.5UNDER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R15.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

P+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

REB5UNDER44%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

AST2UNDER26%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 6x6/2030%▼

3PM1UNDER24%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM1.5UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

FTA2UNDER12%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A7OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Jonathan Kuminga

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

His season scoring mean is 12.56, but the last-5 has fallen to 8.6 with minutes down to 19.6 MPG. The 5-game vs-opponent mark of 8.6 PPG reinforces the under, making this the cleanest angle in the profile.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Javonte Green	1	2	3	33%	50%
Ausar Thompson	1	1	0	0%	0%
Caris LeVert	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jalen Duren	1	1	0	0%	0%
Kevin Huerter	1	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 12.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.56, but last-5 is only 8.6 and his recent minutes are down to 19.6 MPG. The regression risk is clear, and his 5-game vs-opponent scoring mark of 8.6 also supports the under.

reboundsUNDER 6.558%MEDIUM

He averages 6.3 rebounds on the season, but last-5 is 6.2 and he has just 4.4 RPG across 5 games vs this opponent. The number is close enough that the under is preferred, but with moderate confidence.

assistsUNDER 2.560%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.56 APG and recent mean is 2.4, so a 2.5 line is right on the edge. Given the reduced recent minutes and 1.4 APG in the vs-opponent sample, the under is slightly better.

threesOVER 154%MEDIUM

He averages 1.04 threes per game and has 1.2 recent, with 1.1 at home and 1.08 away. The edge is thin, so this is a low-confidence over.

stealsOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

His season steal rate is 0.5, but the last-10 mark is 0.9 and recent game logs show multiple 1-steal outings. The floor is not high, but the recent defensive activity supports a slight over lean.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages only 0.3 blocks on the season and 0.0 over the last 5 games. That makes an over unlikely unless he spikes well above his normal range.

stocksUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.78 and recent mean is 1.0, both below a 1.5 line. Even with some recent activity, the combined defensive production is not strong enough for the over.

turnoversOVER 257%MEDIUM

He is at 2.2 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 1.8 over the last 10, with several recent games at 2+ turnovers. A 2.0 line is playable to the over, though not strongly.

praUNDER 21.559%MEDIUM

His season-based projection sits around 21.4 PRA, but the last-5 scoring dip and lower minutes reduce the ceiling. Combo props carry more variance, so the under is the safer side.

prUNDER 1961%MEDIUM

Points plus rebounds roughly track near 18.9 using season means, and his last-5 scoring slump makes exceeding 19 tougher. This is still a volatile combo, so confidence stays moderate.

double_doubleUNDER 0.576%HIGH

He has solid rebound volume but only 2.6 assists and 12.6 points seasonally, which makes two categories reaching double digits less likely. With reduced recent minutes, the under is the clearer side.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS