AI Model:

Jock Landale▲

ATL · C

PPG

10.6

RPG

5.6

APG

1.7

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.2

10.6

7.4

RPG-4.0

5.6

1.6

APG+0.9

1.7

2.6

SPG+0.5

0.5

1.0

BPG+0.3

0.5

0.8

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

MIL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MIL: 8 pts

PHI

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs PHI: 7 pts

DAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DAL: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BKN: 4 pts

MIL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIL: 10 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 8 pts

DAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DAL: 5 pts

HOU

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs HOU: 6 pts

GSW

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs GSW: 7 pts

MEM

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs MEM: 11 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5STAKE

74%

REB

UNDER 7.5STAKE

77%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

66%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

55%

UNDER 2

70%

P+A

UNDER 14.5STAKE

69%

P+R

UNDER 20.5STAKE

78%

R+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.1

8.3

RPG

3.7

3.2

APG

1.4

2.2

vs DET (H2H)7 games

PPG

7.9

RPG

4.0

APG

0.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	4	20	71%	+19.9%	medium
Derik Queen	4	19	57%	+5.6%	medium
Maxime Raynaud	3	13	63%	+11.0%	medium
Jalen Duren	2	11	63%

Landale’s recent scoring dip points to an under lean

Jock Landale is averaging 10.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 1.7 APG on the season, but his last 5 have dipped to 7.4 PPG and 1.6 RPG on just 18.0 MPG. His recent scoring is well below season level, and his last 10 is even lower at 6.6 PPG with 17.0 MPG, which supports a more conservative projection. The matchup is not especially inviting for volume growth, since Detroit’s defense profile shows a 109.54 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression, while Landale’s head-to-head line is only 7.857 PPG across 7 games vs this opponent. With no injury-driven usage boost in the data, the strongest angle is to stay cautious on his primary counting stats.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↓ from 10.6)

RPG

1.6(↓ from 5.6)

APG

2.6(↑ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed opponents and limited minutes, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Detroit’s defense context is average-to-slightly suppressive with a 109.54 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression, which does not add a strong boost to Landale’s overs.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Jock Landale▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	100%		5	✓
Jock Landale▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	77%HIGH	2/2	100%		10	✗
Jock Landale▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%		2	✓
Jock Landale▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	1→1.5	1	✓
Jock Landale▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	20%		0	✗
Jock Landale▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	30%		0	✗
Jock Landale▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	30%	FLIP	0	✗
Jock Landale▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	100%	—	1	✓
Jock Landale▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	100%		7	✓
Jock Landale▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	100%		15	✓
Jock Landale▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	1/2	100%		12	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

R+A5.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Jock Landale

Rebounds UNDER 7.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because the gap between his season 5.6 RPG and last 5 at 1.6 RPG is massive, and his last 10 at 2.1 RPG confirms the downturn. The 7.5 line is far above both his season baseline and recent output, making the under the strongest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Duren	2	11	10	63%	63%
Paul Reed	2	4	4	33%	33%
Isaiah Stewart	1	2	2	50%	50%
Ausar Thompson	2	1	2	50%	50%
Duncan Robinson	2	1	2	25%	25%

pointsUNDER 12.574%HIGH

He’s averaging 10.6 PPG on the season but only 7.4 over the last 5 and 6.6 over the last 10. That recent scoring is below the 12.5 line, and the volatility in his scoring profile makes the under more attractive.

reboundsUNDER 7.577%HIGH

Landale’s season average is 5.6 RPG, but his last 5 are just 1.6 and his last 10 are 2.1. With recent minutes down to 17.0 and no clear role expansion noted, 7.5 is too high.

assistsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.7 APG and his last 5 are 2.6 APG, so the 1.5 line is reachable. Confidence stays modest because his season standard deviation is 1.26 and recent standard deviation is 1.47, which is fairly volatile.

threesUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.08 made threes on the season and 0.7 over the last 5, both below a 1.5 threshold. The recent trend and his 1.07 season standard deviation support a cautious under.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 0.5 and he has reached 1.0 in the last 5. This is a low line, but the profile is still swingy, so confidence is only moderate.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.5 blocks on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, which clears the line more often than not. The recent form is supportive, though the sample remains volatile.

stocksOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.06 and last 5 are 1.8, so he is capable of getting there when the defensive stats pop. Still, the combined volatility makes this only a mild lean.

turnoversUNDER 270%HIGH

He is only at 0.6 turnovers in the last 5 and 0.4 in the last 10, far below a 2.0 line. Even with his season usage, the recent ball-security trend points under.

paUNDER 14.569%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists profile is modest given 10.6 PPG and 1.7 APG, and his recent scoring has dropped sharply. Combo props are higher-variance, so the safer read is under.

prUNDER 20.578%HIGH

His season points and rebounds combine to 16.2 on average, and recent form is well below that level with 7.4 PPG and 1.6 RPG in the last 5. The 20.5 line is inflated relative to both season and recent production.

raUNDER 9.571%HIGH

Landale averages 5.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists on the season, but his recent rebound numbers have cratered. With 1.6 RPG over the last 5, the combo line looks tough to clear.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS