Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 20 | 71% | +19.9% | medium |
| Derik Queen | 4 | 19 | 57% | +5.6% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 13 | 63% | +11.0% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 2 | 11 | 63% |
Jock Landale is averaging 10.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 1.7 APG on the season, but his last 5 have dipped to 7.4 PPG and 1.6 RPG on just 18.0 MPG. His recent scoring is well below season level, and his last 10 is even lower at 6.6 PPG with 17.0 MPG, which supports a more conservative projection. The matchup is not especially inviting for volume growth, since Detroit’s defense profile shows a 109.54 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression, while Landale’s head-to-head line is only 7.857 PPG across 7 games vs this opponent. With no injury-driven usage boost in the data, the strongest angle is to stay cautious on his primary counting stats.
No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed opponents and limited minutes, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Detroit’s defense context is average-to-slightly suppressive with a 109.54 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression, which does not add a strong boost to Landale’s overs.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jock Landale▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 5 | ✓ | |
Jock Landale▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | UNDER | 77%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 10 | ✗ | |
Jock Landale▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ | |
Jock Landale▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 1→1.5 | 1 | ✓ |
Jock Landale▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 20% | 0 | ✗ | |
Jock Landale▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ | |
Jock Landale▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 30% | FLIP | 0 | ✗ |
Jock Landale▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | — | 100% | — | 1 | ✓ |
Jock Landale▼ | P+A | 14.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 7 | ✓ | |
Jock Landale▼ | P+R | 20.5 | UNDER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 15 | ✓ | |
Jock Landale▼ | R+A | 9.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 1/2 | 100% | 12 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest angle because the gap between his season 5.6 RPG and last 5 at 1.6 RPG is massive, and his last 10 at 2.1 RPG confirms the downturn. The 7.5 line is far above both his season baseline and recent output, making the under the strongest play.
| low |
| Ivica Zubac | 3 | 11 | 60% | +8.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren | 2 | 11 | 10 | 63% | 63% |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 4 | 4 | 33% | 33% |
| Isaiah Stewart | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson | 2 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
He’s averaging 10.6 PPG on the season but only 7.4 over the last 5 and 6.6 over the last 10. That recent scoring is below the 12.5 line, and the volatility in his scoring profile makes the under more attractive.
Landale’s season average is 5.6 RPG, but his last 5 are just 1.6 and his last 10 are 2.1. With recent minutes down to 17.0 and no clear role expansion noted, 7.5 is too high.
His season average is 1.7 APG and his last 5 are 2.6 APG, so the 1.5 line is reachable. Confidence stays modest because his season standard deviation is 1.26 and recent standard deviation is 1.47, which is fairly volatile.
He averages 1.08 made threes on the season and 0.7 over the last 5, both below a 1.5 threshold. The recent trend and his 1.07 season standard deviation support a cautious under.
His season steals average is 0.5 and he has reached 1.0 in the last 5. This is a low line, but the profile is still swingy, so confidence is only moderate.
He averages 0.5 blocks on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, which clears the line more often than not. The recent form is supportive, though the sample remains volatile.
His season stocks average is 1.06 and last 5 are 1.8, so he is capable of getting there when the defensive stats pop. Still, the combined volatility makes this only a mild lean.
He is only at 0.6 turnovers in the last 5 and 0.4 in the last 10, far below a 2.0 line. Even with his season usage, the recent ball-security trend points under.
His season points-plus-assists profile is modest given 10.6 PPG and 1.7 APG, and his recent scoring has dropped sharply. Combo props are higher-variance, so the safer read is under.
His season points and rebounds combine to 16.2 on average, and recent form is well below that level with 7.4 PPG and 1.6 RPG in the last 5. The 20.5 line is inflated relative to both season and recent production.
Landale averages 5.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists on the season, but his recent rebound numbers have cratered. With 1.6 RPG over the last 5, the combo line looks tough to clear.