AI Model:

Sion James▲

CHA · PF

PPG

5.4

RPG

3.5

APG

2.0

L5 PPG

4.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

5.4

4.0

RPG-0.7

3.5

2.8

APG+0.6

2.0

2.6

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 13 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 6 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 3 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 11 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 4 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 2 pts

ORL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs ORL: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MEM: 8 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5STAKE

68%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

61%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

64%

3PM

OVER 1

58%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

70%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

66%

UNDER 2

72%

P+R

UNDER 8.5STAKE

63%

P+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

65%

R+A

OVER 4.5STAKE

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.7

3.5

RPG

3.1

3.5

APG

2.3

2.0

vs SAC (H2H)1 games

PPG

4.0

RPG

3.0

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Rollins	4	15	75%	+24.8%	medium
James Harden	3	13	53%	+9.7%	medium
Brandon Ingram	4	12	56%	+12.3%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	54%

Home role keeps Sion James in the mix, but scoring volume stays modest

Sion James has been a low-usage rotation piece all season at 5.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, and 2.0 APG in 23 MPG, with his recent scoring sitting at 4.0 PPG over the last 5. His home split is a little better than away at 5.7 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and 2.3 APG, but the recent minutes trend is still down at 19.2 MPG, which limits upside. The matchup environment is mixed: the Kings are missing multiple bodies, but the opponent defense data still shows a 121 defensive rating and strong scoring suppression, while James' own prop lines are mostly shaded toward the under. With no blowout-specific information and a relatively small role, his safest looks lean conservative.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.0(↓ from 5.4)

RPG

2.8(↓ from 3.5)

APG

2.6(↑ from 2.0)

3PM

1.0(→ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the key team context is that the Kings are missing several rotation pieces. The opponent also shows a 121 defensive rating and strong scoring suppression, which supports a cautious stance on scoring overs.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Sion James▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%		8	✗
Sion James▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		4	✓
Sion James▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		1	✓
Sion James▼	3PM	1	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%		2	✓
Sion James▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%		1	✓
Sion James▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%		0	✓
Sion James▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	80%	—	1	✓
Sion James▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	100%	—	1	✓
Sion James▼	P+R	8.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%		12	✗
Sion James▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	FLIP	9	✗
Sion James▼	R+A	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%		5	✓

ML Scout Analysis

REB4UNDER27%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x6/1932%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM1UNDER42%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)7/1937%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

PRA11UNDER5%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x8/1942%▼

PTS5UNDER17%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

AST2UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x7/1937%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x11/1958%▼

3PA3UNDER9%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x9/1947%▼

R+A5.5OVER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)OVER 5x12/1963%▼

Featured Pick

Sion James

Turnovers UNDER 2.0HIGH

His turnover profile is consistently low, with 0.6 over the last 10 and 0.7 over the last 20, making 2.0 a wide gap from normal production. Unlike combo or scoring props, this does not require a usage spike or hot shooting to beat the number.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
DeMar DeRozan	2	6	14	88%	88%
Daeqwon Plowden	2	4	2	33%	33%
Doug McDermott	2	3	2	50%	50%
Nique Clifford	1	2	0	0%	0%
Devin Carter	1	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 5.568%MEDIUM

He averages 5.4 PPG on the season and just 4.0 PPG over the last 5, so 5.5 is a thin over threshold. His recent minutes are only 19.8 MPG, which makes the under the more stable side.

reboundsOVER 2.561%MEDIUM

James averages 3.5 RPG for the season and 2.8 RPG over the last 5, both above this line. Even with modest minutes, 2.5 is a reachable number for his current role.

assistsUNDER 2.564%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.0 APG and last 5 is 2.6 APG, but the season baseline is lower and the line is still above his typical output. The variance is meaningful, so the under is slightly safer than paying for a recent spike.

threesOVER 158%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 1.0 made threes per game on the season and 1.3 over the last 5, with 1.5 at home. The edge is not huge, but the home split and recent attempt volume support a cautious over lean.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He is at 0.6 SPG on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, which clears this line. The recent defensive activity gives this a modest over case.

blocksUNDER 0.570%HIGH

He averages only 0.3 BPG on the season and 0.0 over the last 5. That makes 0.5 blocks an inefficient over target.

stocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.87 and last 5 is 0.8, well below 1.5. The combined steal/block ceiling is too low to trust the over.

turnoversUNDER 272%HIGH

He averages just 0.6 turnovers over the last 10 and 0.7 over the last 20, so this is far above his normal range. The under is strongly supported by his low-usage profile.

prUNDER 8.563%MEDIUM

His season averages project to 8.9 PR in a simple sum, but the last 5 scoring and rebounding trend is weaker and the line is priced near his median outcome. Given combo-prop variance, the under is the more conservative side.

paUNDER 7.565%MEDIUM

He averages 5.4 points plus 2.0 assists for 7.4 PA on the season, which sits just below the line. Recent assists are up, but the scoring dip keeps this slightly under.

raOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

His season rebounding plus assist output is 5.5 per game, and the last 5 combination is 5.4. This is a reasonable over, but combo volatility keeps confidence moderate.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS