Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 8 | 13% | -30.3% | low |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 2 | 5 | 100% | +40.5% | low |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 2 | 5 | 50% | -2.8% | low |
| Bam Adebayo | 1 | 4 | 0% |
Grant Williams is sitting at 7.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG, and 1.7 APG on the season while playing 19.5 MPG, but his last 5 have dipped to 4.4 PPG and 2.6 RPG. The home split is a bit better than his overall line at 8.6 PPG and 4.9 RPG, and the matchup environment is boosted by multiple Kings absences, including Sabonis and Westbrook. Still, his recent minutes and production trend down, and his season scoring base is low enough that overs need strong efficiency to cash. This looks more like a conservative role-player spot than a ceiling game.
The matchup data shows a team defense profile with a 121 defensive rating allowed, pace of 100, and no specific defender matchup data beyond Malik Monk listed with just 3.9 minutes. Opponent absences are significant, including Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, and Russell Westbrook, which improves the environment but does not fully erase Grant Williams' recent dip in usage and production.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grant Williams▼ | Points | 7 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 0 | ✓ | |
Grant Williams▼ | Rebounds | 4 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 3 | ✓ | |
Grant Williams▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | FLIP | 2 | ✓ |
Grant Williams▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | FLIP | 0 | ✓ |
Grant Williams▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ | |
Grant Williams▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 20% | FLIP | 1 | ✓ |
Grant Williams▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 1 | ✓ | |
Grant Williams▼ | Turnovers | 1 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 20% | 1→1.5 | 0 | ✗ |
Grant Williams▼ | PRA | 12.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 5 | ✓ | |
Grant Williams▼ | P+A | 8.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
His season scoring average is 7.1, but the last 5 are only 4.4 and his last 10 sit at 6.5, both below this type of line. With recent minutes at 18.2 MPG and a clear downtrend, the under is the most stable angle.
| low |
| Royce O'Neale | 1 | 3 | 0% | -42.8% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Devin Carter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Doug McDermott | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Dylan Cardwell | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 7.1 PPG, but his last 5 are only 4.4 and his recent minutes have been 18.2 MPG. With scoring form trending down and only a modest home lift to 8.6 PPG, the under is the cleaner side.
He averages 3.9 RPG on the season and just 2.6 RPG over the last 5. Even with a home split of 4.9 RPG, the recent rebound trend is too soft to trust the over.
His season assist mean is 1.7 and his last 10 are 1.6, which is close enough to support a modest over if minutes hold near 19-20. The line would need to stay low because his recent 5-game output has slipped to 0.8 APG.
He averages 1.41 made threes per game, but the last 5 are down to 0.8 with recent shot volume softening. A 1.5 line is slightly above his season rate, making the under the safer side.
His season steals average is only 0.4, so he is below the meaningful-volume threshold for a reliable over. The last 5 are also just 0.4, keeping this under lean intact.
He averages 0.4 blocks on the season but has 0.8 over the last 5 and 0.5 over the last 10. That recent spike is enough to justify a small over lean at a 0.5 line.
His season stocks average is 0.81 and his recent form is around 1.0, which is still below a 1.5 threshold. This combo category is volatile, so the under is preferable.
He is at 1.1 turnovers per game on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so the baseline is already around this number. A 1.0 line is close enough to support a slight over lean.
His season PRA is 12.7, but the last 5 trend down to about 7.8 combined points-rebounds-assists. Given the historical caution on combo props and his recent decline, the under is favored.
He combines for 8.8 points and assists on the season, but the last 5 fall to 5.2 when those categories are blended. The downward trend makes the under the better play.