AI Model:

Dejounte Murray▼

NOP · PG

PPG

18.7

RPG

5.1

APG

6.2

L5 PPG

22.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.3

18.7

22.0

RPG-0.1

5.1

5.0

APG+0.2

6.2

6.4

SPG-0.2

1.6

1.4

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 18.7 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

18.7

GSW

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs GSW: 13 pts

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 15 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 19 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 27 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 35 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 17 pts

CLE

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs CLE: 12 pts

Over 18.7

Under 18.7

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.7

61%

REB

UNDER 5.1

58%

AST

OVER 6.2

57%

3PM

OVER 1.7

55%

STL

UNDER 1.6

56%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.8

54%

OVER 3.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 30

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.3

20.4

RPG

5.1

7.0

APG

6.1

6.7

vs NYK (H2H)13 games

PPG

16.8

RPG

6.1

APG

5.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	2	9	60%	-8.4%	low
Amen Thompson	2	7	43%	-5.5%	low
Jalen Brunson	1	6	40%	-8.4%	low
Kris Dunn	2	6	63%	+1.6%

Murray’s recent scoring pop meets a tougher road spot

Dejounte Murray is trending up offensively over his last 5 games at 22.0 PPG, well above his 18.7 season average, while also holding steady across assists at 6.4 APG. The caution flag is matchup context: his career average vs this opponent is only 16.85 PPG and the Knicks profile as a lower-scoring environment with a 110.38 defensive rating and 100 pace. With no B2B concern and several opposing guard minutes unavailable, his playmaking floor is solid, but the stronger season-long scoring baseline still points to a modest projection rather than a ceiling game.

Stat Trends

PPG

22.0(↑ from 18.7)

APG

6.4(→ from 6.2)

RPG

5.0(→ from 5.1)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed Knicks defenders, and the opponent profile is generally favorable for suppression with a 110.38 defensive rating and 100 pace. His own history vs this opponent is also lighter at 16.846153846153847 PPG, 6.076923076923077 RPG, and 5.846153846153846 APG across 13 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Dejounte Murray▼	Points	18.7	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	18.5→18.7	7	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	Rebounds	5.1	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	FLIP	5	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	Assists	6.2	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	6→6.2	12	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	3PM	1.7	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1.5→1.7	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Steals	1.6	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	FLIP	1	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	STL+BLK	1.8	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	1.5→1.8	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Turnovers	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	40%	3→3.5	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	PRA	30	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	30→30.5	24	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA31.5UNDER10%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 5x3/1421%+24.0% edgeScorecard changed +3.0▼

3PM1.5UNDER10%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 5x5/1436%+10.0% edgeScorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A11.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)7/1450%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R22UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)6/1443%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A23UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)5/1436%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

PTS18.5OVER7%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)4/1429%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

REB6.5UNDER6%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)5/1436%Line moved +1.0; Value edge changed -0.065; Odds moved materially▼

AST6.5OVER6%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.302; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Dejounte Murray

Points UNDER 18.7MEDIUM

This is the cleanest lean because the season average is 18.7 PPG, the head-to-head mark is only 16.846153846153847 PPG, and the Knicks’ slower, more suppressive profile points toward a tighter scoring outcome. The recent 22.0 PPG form is real, but it sits well above his season level and creates regression risk rather than a stable over signal.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Brunson	1	6	6	40%	40%
Josh Hart	1	2	2	33%	33%
Mikal Bridges	1	1	0	0%	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns	1	1	2	50%	50%
Jordan Clarkson	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 18.761%MEDIUM

His season mean is 18.7 PPG, but the matchup has a 110.38 defensive rating, 100 pace, and his 13-game history vs this opponent is just 16.846153846153847 PPG. The recent 22.0 last-5 is above season by 17.6%, so regression risk is real.

reboundsUNDER 5.158%MEDIUM

He averages 5.1 RPG on the season and 5.0 over the last 5, with home rebounding at 4.0 and away at 6.2. That split creates some upside, but the season baseline is still the cleaner anchor.

assistsOVER 6.257%MEDIUM

Murray’s season mean is 6.2 APG and his last 5 sit at 6.4 APG, with 6.2 over the last 10 and 6.4 over the last 20. Opponent guard absences can help the ball-handling load, but the edge is modest because his assist profile is already the season norm.

threesOVER 1.755%MEDIUM

He averages 1.7 threes per game with 2.0 over the last 20 and 2.0 in away splits, so the volume is stable enough to lean over. The 1.1 standard deviation keeps confidence capped.

stealsUNDER 1.656%MEDIUM

His season mark is 1.6 SPG, but the last 5 are 1.4 and the home split drops to 1.3. With volatility in the steals market, the season baseline is not strong enough to chase the over.

stocksOVER 1.854%MEDIUM

He averages 1.8 stocks with a 1.6 last-20 and 2.2 in away splits, so there is a path to clearing this number. Variance is meaningful, so this stays a lower-confidence lean.

turnoversOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

He’s at 3.5 turnovers per game over the last 10 and 3.2 over the last 5, so the ball-security pressure is real. Higher playmaking workload should keep this number in play.

praUNDER 3055%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 30.0 exactly from 18.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 6.2 assists, but combo props are higher-variance and hit rates are weaker. The recent scoring spike does not outweigh the season anchor enough to prefer the over.

timelineUNDER 18.7 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Murray’s recent scoring pop meets a tougher road spot

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 18.7 PTS