AI Model:

Jay Huff▼

IND · C

PPG

9.4

RPG

3.8

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

9.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.2

9.4

9.6

RPG-1.8

3.8

2.0

APG0.0

1.4

SPG-0.1

0.5

0.4

BPG-0.7

1.9

1.2

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

LAC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs LAC: 18 pts

LAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAL: 16 pts

POR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs POR: 16 pts

SAC

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAC: 12 pts

PHX

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHX: 10 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 9 pts

MIL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIL: 16 pts

NYK

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs NYK: 6 pts

POR

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs POR: 11 pts

SAS

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs SAS: 6 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

64%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

68%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

72%

BLK

UNDER 2.5STAKE

57%

3PM

OVER 1.5

58%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

55%

P+R

UNDER 13.5STAKE

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.1

12.9

RPG

3.0

4.1

APG

1.3

1.8

vs ORL (H2H)3 games

PPG

9.7

RPG

2.3

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Moussa Diabaté	3	21	36%	-10.8%	medium
Neemias Queta	4	19	62%	+14.3%	medium
Jaxson Hayes	2	17	50%	+2.8%	low
Maxime Raynaud	2	15	57%

Huff’s scoring looks capped despite steady defensive production

Jay Huff’s season line of 9.4 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 1.9 BPG shows a strong blocks profile, but his recent scoring trend is mixed: 12.0 PPG over the last 10 games versus 9.6 over the last 5, with a true minutes rise only to 22.3 MPG. The matchup is not ideal for an aggressive points forecast because Orlando’s team defense context shows a 114.14 defensive rating and a strong three-point suppression number, which can limit his perimeter scoring. With Bennedict Mathurin out boosting usage on Indiana’s side and Orlando missing multiple rotation pieces, the best angle is still to lean on Huff’s steadier categories rather than chase an inflated scoring ceiling.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.6(→ from 9.4)

RPG

2.0(↓ from 3.8)

APG

1.4(→ from 1.4)

BPG

1.2(↓ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so there is no specific defender matchup data to project against. Orlando’s opponent defense context is still relevant: the team has a 114.14 defensive rating and a strong three-point suppression profile, which can limit Huff’s scoring output.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jay Huff▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	7	✓
Jay Huff▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	6	✗
Jay Huff▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	80%	0	✓
Jay Huff▼	Blocks	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✓
Jay Huff▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✗
Jay Huff▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	30%	1	✗
Jay Huff▼	P+R	13.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	13	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R14.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A12.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A6UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Jay Huff

Rebounds UNDER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 3.8 RPG, his last 10 is 3.6, and his last 5 is only 2.0. The 4.5 line requires a clear outlier rebound game, and his home split of 3.0 RPG makes that less likely.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	12	16	55%	55%
Goga Bitadze	3	4	1	0%	0%
Paolo Banchero	3	3	7	50%	58%
Desmond Bane	3	1	3	50%	50%
Anthony Black	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 8.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 9.4, but the last 5 are only 9.6 and the home split is 9.1 PPG. With Orlando’s opponent defense context and his head-to-head average of 9.67 PPG in 3 games, the under is the safer side at this number.

reboundsUNDER 4.568%MEDIUM

Huff averages just 3.8 RPG on the season and 3.6 over the last 10, while his home split is 3.0 RPG. The 4.5 line asks for an above-average rebounding night that he has not consistently shown.

assistsUNDER 2.572%HIGH

He is a low-assist center with a 1.4 APG season mean and 1.4 over the last 5. Even with some playmaking upside, the 2.5 threshold is well above his typical output.

blocksUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

Blocks are his best counting stat at 1.9 BPG for the season, but the line is set high at 2.5 and his last 5 average is only 1.2 BPG. Variance is meaningful here, so this is playable only as a cautious under.

threesOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.44 made threes per game for the season and 1.9 over the last 10, with 1.6 attempts per game in the last 5. This is close to his baseline, so the over is viable but not high confidence.

stocksOVER 255%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.42 and last 20 is 2.4, which is above a 2.0 benchmark. The caveat is his last 5 dropped to 1.6, so this is a moderate rather than strong over.

prUNDER 13.569%MEDIUM

He averages 9.4 points and 3.8 rebounds for a combined 13.2 PR on the season, below this line. Given the recent rebound dip to 2.0 RPG, the under has the cleaner profile.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS