Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 20 | 62% | +15.3% | medium |
| Norman Powell | 5 | 12 | 65% | +9.6% | medium |
| De'Aaron Fox | 2 | 11 | 32% | -14.7% | low |
| Donovan Mitchell | 3 | 11 | 44% |
Jalen Suggs is at 13.8 PPG, 5.3 APG, and 3.8 RPG on the season, and his minutes have climbed to 30.1 in his last 10 games. With Anthony Black (15.5 PPG, 3.8 APG), Franz Wagner (21.3 PPG, 3.6 APG), and Jonathan Isaac out, Suggs should continue to absorb extra usage and creation responsibilities. The matchup is also workable: Indiana has a 120.44 defensive rating and his home splits are stronger than his away numbers, especially for assists and stocks. His recent scoring has been mixed, so the best angle is to lean on the minutes/role bump rather than chasing an inflated points ceiling.
Indiana’s defensive rating is 120.44, and no specific defender matchup data is available beyond the listed key defenders. Orlando’s home splits are stronger than his away splits, which supports his points, assists, and stocks outlook.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Suggs▼ | Points | 14.5 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Assists | 5.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | STL+BLK | 3 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 100% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Turnovers | 2.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 50% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | P+A | 19.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Jalen Suggs▼ | P+R | 18.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
This is the strongest blend of role, minutes, and pricing. He is averaging 13.83 PPG on the season and 15.0 over the last 10, while Orlando’s teammate absences should keep his usage elevated.
| medium |
| CJ McCollum | 3 | 10 | 50% | -0.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin | 1 | 3 | 7 | 100% | 150% |
| Ben Sheppard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| T.J. McConnell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Aaron Nesmith | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Andrew Nembhard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Season mean is 13.83 and last 10 is 15.0, while teammate absences create a clear usage bump. The 14.5 line is reachable, but recent last-5 scoring at 11.8 keeps this from being a high-confidence over.
He averages 3.79 rebounds for the season and 4.0 at home, with 4.2 in the last 5. The edge is modest, so this is a lower-confidence over.
His season assist mean is 5.26 and last 10 is 4.9, both below the 5.5 line. Even with extra minutes, the current pricing is a little high relative to his average distribution.
He averages 2.0 made threes on the season and 2.3 over the last 10, with 2.3 at home. The line is slightly above his mean, but the recent volume supports a cautious over.
He averages 1.9 steals on the season and 1.7 over the last 10, which is well above a 1.5 line. His defensive event production makes this one of the cleaner overs.
He averages 0.7 blocks on the season and 0.5 over the last 10. This is playable, but the volatility is high for a blocks prop.
His season stocks average is 2.6 and last 10 is 2.2, both below 3.0. The prop is inflated relative to his typical combined steal/block output.
He averages 2.6 turnovers in both the recent and season samples. With added ball-handling due to absences, turnover risk stays elevated.
His season points plus assists profile sits right around this range, and the minutes increase helps. Still, combo props carry higher variance, so confidence stays moderate.
He averages 13.8 points and 3.8 rebounds, which already puts him near the line before any usage boost. Home production and extra minutes make this a better combo look than PA.