AI Model:

Noah Clowney▼

BKN · SF

PPG

12.5

RPG

4.1

APG

1.7

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.1

12.5

7.4

RPG-0.5

4.1

3.6

APG-0.5

1.7

1.2

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 10 pts

CLE

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CLE: 5 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 17 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 16 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 10 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 9 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 10 pts

PHI

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs PHI: 5 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 3 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5

69%

REB

UNDER 4.5

63%

AST

OVER 1.5

54%

3PM

UNDER 2

66%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

58%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 1.5

56%

P+A

UNDER 11.5BETMGM

65%

P+R

UNDER 14.5BETMGM

64%

R+A

UNDER 4.5BETMGM

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.1

10.3

RPG

3.7

4.5

APG

1.1

1.4

vs POR (H2H)1 games

PPG

20.0

RPG

5.0

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaylen Brown	4	19	63%	+10.4%	medium
Jalen Johnson	4	12	53%	+10.4%	medium
Paolo Banchero	2	9	100%	+60.4%	low
Naji Marshall	3	9	100%

Clowney’s volume is sliding, and the under profile is stronger than the season line suggests

Noah Clowney’s season scoring average is 12.5 PPG, but his last 5 have dropped to 7.4 PPG with minutes falling to 17.0, well below his season 27.4 MPG. His last 10 and last 20 point averages of 10.2 and 11.2 also sit below the season number, which supports a cooler current form. This matchup comes against a Trail Blazers defense with a 117.34 defensive rating and a 0.455 scoring suppression mark, but the biggest issue is Clowney’s reduced recent usage and minute load on a back-to-back. With no teammate or opponent absence boost shown, the safer angle is to lean under on his higher-volume props and keep confidence modest.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↓ from 12.5)

RPG

3.6(↓ from 4.1)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.7)

3PM

1.5(↓ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the game context does not provide a clear one-on-one assignment. Portland’s team defense shows a 117.34 defensive rating with 0.455 scoring suppression, which supports a more cautious scoring outlook.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Noah Clowney▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Noah Clowney▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Noah Clowney▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Noah Clowney▼	3PM	2	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	90%
Noah Clowney▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%
Noah Clowney▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%
Noah Clowney▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	20%
Noah Clowney▼	P+A	11.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Noah Clowney▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Noah Clowney▼	R+A	4.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	30%

ML Scout Analysis

P+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%▼

P+R15.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/1947%▼

PTS10UNDER13%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

AST1OVER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/1932%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

3PM1UNDER4%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PA4UNDER10%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/1947%▼

FTM2UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%▼

FTA2UNDER9%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

PRA16OVER18%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/1947%▼

REB4OVER5%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

Featured Pick

Noah Clowney

Points UNDER 12.5MEDIUM

His season average is 12.5, but the last 5 have fallen to 7.4 and his recent minutes are down to 17.0 from 27.4 season-long. With a back-to-back context and no injury-driven usage boost in the data, the under is the strongest angle.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

pointsUNDER 12.569%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.5, but the last 5 are just 7.4 and the last 10 are 10.2, while recent minutes are only 17.0 versus 27.4 season-long. That combination points to a lower scoring expectation than the season average.

reboundsUNDER 4.563%MEDIUM

He averages 4.1 rebounds on the season and 3.6 over the last 5, with away and home splits both staying below 5.0. The recent playing-time drop makes it harder to clear a mid-4s rebound line.

assistsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.68 and the last 10 are 1.5, so this is close to a fair line rather than a strong edge. The spread in assist production is moderate, so confidence stays limited.

threesUNDER 266%MEDIUM

He averages 2.02 threes per game, but the last 5 are down to 1.0 and the last 10 are 1.5. With recent minutes and attempts both falling, the under is slightly preferred.

blocksUNDER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 blocks on the season, but the last 5 are only 0.2 and the last 10 are 0.3. Because his recent block rate has cooled, the 0.5 line is playable on the under despite the low threshold.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.4 and the last 5 are 0.8, with recent form clearly below season baseline. The combination of lower steals and blocks makes clearing 1.5 less likely.

turnoversOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He is at 2.0+ meaningful turnover territory based on a 1.1 season average and 1.2 over the last 5, but recent logs include multiple 1-3 turnover games. The recent usage is lower, so this is only a slight lean if a 1.5 line is posted.

paUNDER 11.565%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is 14.2, but recent minutes and scoring are down, with the last 5 at 8.6 combined points and assists. On a back-to-back, the under is safer than trusting season output.

prUNDER 14.564%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 16.6, but last 5 production is only 11.0 and last 10 is 14.1. With current minutes at 17.0 in the last 5, he is not projecting like a clear over candidate.

raUNDER 4.562%MEDIUM

He averages 5.8 rebounds plus assists on the season, but the last 5 are only 4.8 and the last 10 are 5.4. That puts the 4.5 line close, but the recent minute drop favors the under.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Clowney’s volume is sliding, and the under profile is stronger than the season line suggests

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 12.5 PTS