AI Model:

Nic Claxton▲

BKN · C

PPG

11.8

RPG

7.1

APG

3.8

L5 PPG

6.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.0

11.8

6.8

RPG-0.7

7.1

6.4

APG-2.2

3.8

1.6

SPG-0.7

0.7

0.0

BPG-0.6

1.2

0.6

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 12 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 4 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 16 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 2 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 4 pts

NYK

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs NYK: 8 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

68%

REB

UNDER 8.5STAKE

70%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

67%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

66%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

PTS

UNDER 11.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 7.5STAKE

57%

P+R

UNDER 21.5STAKE

62%

P+A

UNDER 16.5STAKE

61%

R+A

UNDER 11.5STAKE

59%

UNDER 0.5

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.2

9.7

RPG

6.7

6.0

APG

3.3

3.1

vs POR (H2H)9 games

PPG

11.6

RPG

7.8

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Karl-Anthony Towns	4	21	52%	-14.2%	medium
Jalen Duren	4	18	69%	+11.7%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	16	50%	-7.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	15	43%

Claxton’s minutes dip makes his overs risky despite a soft matchup

Nic Claxton’s season line of 11.8 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 3.8 assists is much stronger than his recent form, but his last 5 games have fallen to 6.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 1.6 assists in just 21.4 MPG. The matchup is favorable in name only: Portland owns a 117.34 defensive rating, but Brooklyn is on a back-to-back and Claxton’s own b2b means are lower at 9.7 points and 5.9 rebounds. His prior game vs Portland was productive at 12 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 blocks, yet the current minute trend points more toward a capped role than a spike. With his recent production well below season averages, the safer angle is to lean under on inflated lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.8(↓ from 11.8)

RPG

6.4(↓ from 7.1)

APG

1.6(↓ from 3.8)

Key Matchup

Portland’s defense profile is available, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so no specific defender matchup data. The main factor is the opponent’s 117.34 defensive rating, though Brooklyn’s back-to-back spot and Claxton’s recent minute decline matter more than the matchup itself.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Nic Claxton▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	10	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	90%	4	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	2	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Nic Claxton▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✗
Nic Claxton▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	10	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	4	✓
Nic Claxton▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	14	✓
Nic Claxton▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	12	✓
Nic Claxton▼	R+A	11.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	6	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

P+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Nic Claxton

Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

Claxton is averaging 11.8 points on the season but only 6.8 over his last 5, with minutes down to 21.4 MPG. On a back-to-back, his b2b scoring mean is 9.7, which is well below 13.5 and gives the under the cleanest edge among his listed props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donovan Clingan	2	10	5	33%	33%
Deni Avdija	2	1	6	40%	40%
Jrue Holiday	2	1	0	0%	0%
Kris Murray	2	1	0	0%	0%
Matisse Thybulle	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.568%MEDIUM

Claxton is averaging 11.8 PPG on the season but only 6.8 PPG over his last 5, and his recent minutes are down to 21.4 MPG. On a back-to-back, his b2b scoring mean is 9.7, well below this line.

reboundsUNDER 8.570%HIGH

His season rebound average is 7.1 and his last 5 is 6.4, so 8.5 asks for a clear outlier. His b2b rebound mean is only 5.9, adding more concern.

assistsUNDER 3.567%MEDIUM

Claxton’s season APG is 3.8, but his last 10 has dropped to 2.3 and his last 5 to 1.6. With reduced recent minutes and a lower-usage profile lately, the under is the safer side.

blocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 blocks per game for the season, but the last 5 is 0.6 and the last 10 is 1.0. Asking for 2+ blocks is a higher-variance outcome than his recent form supports.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.84, but his last 5 is only 0.6 and last 10 is 1.3. The recent dip in defensive event volume makes the under more appealing at a 1.5-style threshold.

pointsUNDER 11.558%MEDIUM

This is closer to his season mean of 11.8, but his last 5 and recent minutes both sit well below that level. With b2b context and muted recent usage, the under still has a slight edge.

reboundsUNDER 7.557%MEDIUM

He’s at 7.1 rebounds per game for the season and 6.4 over the last 5, so this is not an easy over. The back-to-back split of 5.9 rebounds pushes toward the under.

prUNDER 21.562%MEDIUM

Claxton’s points and rebounds recent form both point down, and combo props carry extra variance. His recent production does not support clearing 21.5 consistently.

paUNDER 16.561%MEDIUM

He averages 11.8 points and 3.8 assists season-long, but both categories are tracking below that lately. The combined line is still above what his recent role has produced.

raUNDER 11.559%MEDIUM

Claxton’s season rebounds-plus-assists profile is 10.9, while recent form has been much lower due to the assist dip. That makes 11.5 a fragile over target.

double_doubleUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

He has double-double potential, but his last 5 averages of 6.8 points and 6.4 rebounds show he’s not sustaining two near-double-digit categories right now. The reduced minutes make a double-double less likely.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS