AI Model:

Drake Powell▼

BKN · SG

PPG

6.0

RPG

1.7

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

5.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.8

6.0

5.2

RPG-0.1

1.7

1.6

APG+0.1

1.5

1.6

SPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

BPG+0.4

0.2

0.6

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

ATL

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs ATL: 7 pts

DAL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs DAL: 2 pts

SAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs SAS: 4 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 10 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 11 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 2 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 3 pts

NYK

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs NYK: 2 pts

SAC

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs SAC: 8 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

84%

REB

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

82%

AST

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

81%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

67%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

69%

P+A

UNDER 8.5BETMGM

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.2

6.6

RPG

1.8

2.0

APG

0.8

1.6

vs POR (H2H)1 games

PPG

2.0

RPG

1.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Payton Pritchard	3	10	95%	+30.9%	medium
Jalen Brunson	4	10	50%	+2.6%	medium
Anfernee Simons	4	8	50%	+8.2%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	7	0%

Powell’s role has grown, but the scoring ceiling still looks capped

Drake Powell is coming in with increased minutes recently, going from a 19.7 season average to 22.5 over the last 10 and 23.8 over the last 5, but his production has not surged with it. He is averaging 6.02 points on the season and 5.8 over the last 10, which sits well below the 8.5 points line available at multiple books. This is a back-to-back for Brooklyn, and Powell’s own B2B marks are modest across the board, so the environment does not clearly point to an upside spike. The strongest angle is still the under on his scoring and threes, especially with his season 1.5 APG and 0.74 made threes showing limited consistent volume.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.2(↓ from 6.0)

RPG

1.6(→ from 1.7)

APG

1.6(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 117.34 defensive rating, pace of 100, scoring suppression of 0.455, and three suppression of 0.818. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed names, so the safest read is to lean on the team-level suppression rather than guessing a one-on-one edge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Drake Powell▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	1/2	70%
Drake Powell▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	70%
Drake Powell▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Drake Powell▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	81%HIGH	—	80%
Drake Powell▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	80%
Drake Powell▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	—	80%
Drake Powell▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

PRA15.5UNDER25%gbt_praDecent Leg (15/20)4/2020%+28.8% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PTS10.5UNDER25%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)4/2020%+25.9% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB2.5UNDER46%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%+24.5% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

3PM1.5UNDER20%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

P+A8.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

R+A3UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Drake Powell

Points UNDER 8.5HIGH

This is the cleanest play because his season average is 6.02 points, his last 10 is 5.8, and his last 5 is 5.2. The value props are aligned as well, with the UNDER showing a 22.9% edge and 44.04 EV per 100 at DraftKings.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jerami Grant	1	2	2	100%	100%
Jrue Holiday	1	1	3	100%	150%
Deni Avdija	1	1	0	0%	0%
Donovan Clingan	1	1	4	100%	100%
Kris Murray	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 8.584%HIGH

His season mean is 6.02 points and his last 10 is 5.8, both below 8.5. The value props also show a strong UNDER with a 22.9% edge and 44.04 EV per 100.

reboundsUNDER 2.582%HIGH

Powell averages only 1.69 rebounds on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so 2.5 is a tough reach. The value data lists UNDER as the best side with a 23.5% edge and 45.3 EV per 100.

assistsUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He is at 1.48 assists per game for the season and 1.3 over the last 10, so this is close to fair but still slightly below the line. The variance is high, so this stays a moderate-confidence under.

threesUNDER 1.581%HIGH

He averages just 0.74 made threes on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, far short of 1.5. His recent efficiency does not indicate enough volume to clear this often.

blocksUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

He only averages 0.2 blocks per game on the season, so needing a block is not a strong expectation. The last 5 at 0.6 shows some recent pop, but the season baseline remains low.

stocksUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.65 and his last 10 is 0.5, well below a 1.5 threshold. This is a high-variance category, but the production profile does not support an over.

paUNDER 8.563%MEDIUM

Powell averages 6.02 points and 1.48 assists, which totals 7.50 on the season and sits under 8.5. Combo props add variance, so confidence is kept in check.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS