Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard | 3 | 10 | 95% | +30.9% | medium |
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 10 | 50% | +2.6% | medium |
| Anfernee Simons | 4 | 8 | 50% | +8.2% | medium |
| Kon Knueppel | 3 | 7 | 0% |
Drake Powell is coming in with increased minutes recently, going from a 19.7 season average to 22.5 over the last 10 and 23.8 over the last 5, but his production has not surged with it. He is averaging 6.02 points on the season and 5.8 over the last 10, which sits well below the 8.5 points line available at multiple books. This is a back-to-back for Brooklyn, and Powell’s own B2B marks are modest across the board, so the environment does not clearly point to an upside spike. The strongest angle is still the under on his scoring and threes, especially with his season 1.5 APG and 0.74 made threes showing limited consistent volume.
The opponent defense data shows a 117.34 defensive rating, pace of 100, scoring suppression of 0.455, and three suppression of 0.818. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed names, so the safest read is to lean on the team-level suppression rather than guessing a one-on-one edge.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drake Powell▼ | Points | 8.5 | UNDER | 84%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% |
Drake Powell▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% |
Drake Powell▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Drake Powell▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 81%HIGH | — | 80% |
Drake Powell▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | — | 80% |
Drake Powell▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | — | 80% |
Drake Powell▼ | P+A | 8.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
This is the cleanest play because his season average is 6.02 points, his last 10 is 5.8, and his last 5 is 5.2. The value props are aligned as well, with the UNDER showing a 22.9% edge and 44.04 EV per 100 at DraftKings.
| medium |
| CJ McCollum | 5 | 7 | 50% | +8.2% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
| Deni Avdija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan | 1 | 1 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Kris Murray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 6.02 points and his last 10 is 5.8, both below 8.5. The value props also show a strong UNDER with a 22.9% edge and 44.04 EV per 100.
Powell averages only 1.69 rebounds on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so 2.5 is a tough reach. The value data lists UNDER as the best side with a 23.5% edge and 45.3 EV per 100.
He is at 1.48 assists per game for the season and 1.3 over the last 10, so this is close to fair but still slightly below the line. The variance is high, so this stays a moderate-confidence under.
He averages just 0.74 made threes on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, far short of 1.5. His recent efficiency does not indicate enough volume to clear this often.
He only averages 0.2 blocks per game on the season, so needing a block is not a strong expectation. The last 5 at 0.6 shows some recent pop, but the season baseline remains low.
His season stocks average is 0.65 and his last 10 is 0.5, well below a 1.5 threshold. This is a high-variance category, but the production profile does not support an over.
Powell averages 6.02 points and 1.48 assists, which totals 7.50 on the season and sits under 8.5. Combo props add variance, so confidence is kept in check.