Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 32 | 50% | -1.8% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 17 | 48% | -6.3% | medium |
| Steven Adams | 3 | 15 | 80% | +28.2% | medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 4 | 15 | 70% |
Donovan Clingan is trending up overall, with season averages of 12.5 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 2.2 assists, while his last 5 jumps to 18.4 points and 12.8 rebounds. The recent scoring spike is well above his season baseline, and his value props already flag the points under at 15.5 as the best side with a 14.6% edge at DraftKings. Rebounding remains his most stable path, supported by a 12.3 last-10 average and strong home production of 13.1 RPG. His 3-point volume is real for a center at 1.09 made threes per game, but the 1.5 line is still a tougher ask than rebounds.
The provided key defenders data lists no specific defender matchup data beyond names and brief allowance notes, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Brooklyn's team defense context is mixed: a 115.49 defensive rating with a pace of 100, which does not strongly suppress production.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donovan Clingan▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 7 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Rebounds | 12.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 15 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 7 | ✓ |
Donovan Clingan▼ | PRA | 27.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 22 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest edge in the data, with the value board showing a 14.6% edge at DraftKings and an expected under probability of 0.677. His season scoring average is only 12.5, so the current run to 18.4 over the last 5 looks more like a short-term spike than a new baseline.
| medium |
| Draymond Green | 4 | 14 | 50% | -10.6% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Claxton | 1 | 7 | 10 | 40% | 40% |
| Chaney Johnson | 2 | 4 | 10 | 67% | 75% |
| E.J. Liddell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Danny Wolf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Ben Saraf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Season mean is 12.5 points, and the value data shows a 14.6% edge on the under with our_prob_under at 0.677. The last 5 at 18.4 is hot, but it is well above season average and a regression spot.
He averages 11.7 rebounds on the season and 12.3 over the last 10, with 13.1 RPG at home. The line is close, but the recent consistency and home split support a slight lean over.
His season assist average is 2.2 and last 10 is 2.3, both below the 2.5 line. The recent move up is modest, so the under is the safer side in a lower-variance role.
He averages 1.09 made threes on the season and 1.1 over the last 20, which is below this threshold. The profile supports some attempts, but not enough made volume to make over attractive.
His season average is 1.6 blocks, and his last 10 rises to 2.3. Even with normal variance, the line sits below his baseline shot-blocking production.
His season PRA is 26.4, and his last 10 form is stronger across scoring and rebounding. This is playable, but combo props carry more variance, so confidence stays moderate.