AI Model:

Donovan Clingan▲

POR · C

PPG

12.5

RPG

11.7

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

18.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.9

12.5

18.4

RPG+1.1

11.7

12.8

APG+0.6

2.2

2.8

SPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

BPG0.0

1.6

UNDER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

15.5

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 7 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 18 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 9 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 21 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 28 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 21 pts

DEN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs DEN: 18 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

82%

REB

OVER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

AST

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

BLK

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

61%

PRA

OVER 27.5FANDUEL

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.4

16.1

RPG

13.1

12.4

APG

2.6

2.8

vs BKN (H2H)3 games

PPG

10.0

RPG

10.7

APG

2.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	4	32	50%	-1.8%	medium
Maxime Raynaud	3	17	48%	-6.3%	medium
Steven Adams	3	15	80%	+28.2%	medium
Nikola Jokić	4	15	70%

Clingan’s rebound floor is strong, but points are overpriced

Donovan Clingan is trending up overall, with season averages of 12.5 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 2.2 assists, while his last 5 jumps to 18.4 points and 12.8 rebounds. The recent scoring spike is well above his season baseline, and his value props already flag the points under at 15.5 as the best side with a 14.6% edge at DraftKings. Rebounding remains his most stable path, supported by a 12.3 last-10 average and strong home production of 13.1 RPG. His 3-point volume is real for a center at 1.09 made threes per game, but the 1.5 line is still a tougher ask than rebounds.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.4(↑ from 12.5)

RPG

12.8(↑ from 11.7)

APG

2.8(↑ from 2.2)

Key Matchup

The provided key defenders data lists no specific defender matchup data beyond names and brief allowance notes, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Brooklyn's team defense context is mixed: a 115.49 defensive rating with a pace of 100, which does not strongly suppress production.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Donovan Clingan▼	Points	15.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	50%	7	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	Rebounds	12.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	15	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	0	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	7	✓
Donovan Clingan▼	PRA	27.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	22	✗

ML Scout Analysis

R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Donovan Clingan

Points UNDER 15.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the data, with the value board showing a 14.6% edge at DraftKings and an expected under probability of 0.677. His season scoring average is only 12.5, so the current run to 18.4 over the last 5 looks more like a short-term spike than a new baseline.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nic Claxton	1	7	10	40%	40%
Chaney Johnson	2	4	10	67%	75%
E.J. Liddell	1	1	0	0%	0%
Danny Wolf	1	1	0	0%	0%
Ben Saraf	2	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 15.582%HIGH

Season mean is 12.5 points, and the value data shows a 14.6% edge on the under with our_prob_under at 0.677. The last 5 at 18.4 is hot, but it is well above season average and a regression spot.

reboundsOVER 12.566%MEDIUM

He averages 11.7 rebounds on the season and 12.3 over the last 10, with 13.1 RPG at home. The line is close, but the recent consistency and home split support a slight lean over.

assistsUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 2.2 and last 10 is 2.3, both below the 2.5 line. The recent move up is modest, so the under is the safer side in a lower-variance role.

threesUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.09 made threes on the season and 1.1 over the last 20, which is below this threshold. The profile supports some attempts, but not enough made volume to make over attractive.

blocksOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.6 blocks, and his last 10 rises to 2.3. Even with normal variance, the line sits below his baseline shot-blocking production.

praOVER 27.555%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 26.4, and his last 10 form is stronger across scoring and rebounding. This is playable, but combo props carry more variance, so confidence stays moderate.

timelineUNDER 15.5 PTS