Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adem Bona | 3 | 7 | 100% | +59.5% | medium |
| Matas Buzelis | 4 | 7 | 25% | -15.5% | medium |
| Tobias Harris | 3 | 6 | 0% | -40.5% | medium |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 1 | 6 | 0% |
Danny Wolf is averaging 8.9 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 2.2 APG on 20.9 MPG this season, with his last-5 line sitting at 9.2/5.8/2.0 on 21.8 MPG. The recent form is mixed: points are stable, rebounds are slightly up, but the overall trend is down and his most recent game was only 9 points in 12 minutes. Against Portland, his only prior meeting came with 8 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists in 24 minutes, so the production baseline is familiar but not explosive.
Portland’s opponent defense data shows a 117.34 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.455 scoring suppression, and 0.818 three suppression. Key defender matchup data exists, but the minutes listed are minimal, so there is no clear single defender edge to project from.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Danny Wolf▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% |
Danny Wolf▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
Danny Wolf▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Danny Wolf▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
Danny Wolf▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 30% |
Danny Wolf▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 50% |
Danny Wolf▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Danny Wolf▼ | Turnovers | 2 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 40% |
Danny Wolf▼ | P+R | 20.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% |
Danny Wolf▼ | P+A | 16.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% |
This is the cleanest number on the board versus his season average of 8.9 PPG and last-10 average of 8.9. The recent trend is down, and his one prior game against Portland was only 8 points, so 13.5 is a substantial ask.
| low |
| Bobby Portis | 2 | 5 | 67% | +9.5% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Deni Avdija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Kris Murray | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 8.9 PPG and last-10 is 8.9, well below 13.5. Even with the last-5 at 9.2, the recent output does not support an over on this number.
He averages 4.9 RPG for the season and 6.0 over the last 10, which is still only a modest push toward this line. The volatility is moderate, but the season baseline sits below 6.5.
Season assists are 2.2 and the last-5 is 2.0, so 2.5 asks for a bit more than his typical output. His recent game logs show multiple 2-assist or lower outings, keeping the under in play.
He averages 1.19 threes per game this season and 1.1 over the last 10, so 1.5 is slightly above his norm. Portland’s three suppression also points against a stronger shooting night.
His season average is 0.5 steals and his last-20 is 0.5, so clearing 0.5 is reasonable if he gets normal minutes. Confidence stays modest because his recent steal rate is only 0.4 over the last 5.
He averages 0.6 blocks on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, which supports a slight over lean. The margin is thin, so this is more of a coin-flip than a strong edge.
His season stocks average is 1.09 and last-5 is 1.0, both below 1.5. With a standard deviation of 1.05, this combo is still too volatile to trust the over.
He is averaging 1.8 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.8 over the last 5, close to this threshold. The recent game logs include several 3- and 4-turnover outings, making 2.0 live.
His season baseline of 13.8 combined points and rebounds is far below 20.5, and the last-5 is only 15.0. Combo props are volatile, and this line is too rich relative to his normal production.
He averages 11.1 points plus assists on the season and 11.2 over the last 5, both well short of 16.5. This requires a clear outlier scoring or playmaking game that is not supported by the data.