Sandro Mamukelashvili▲

TOR · C

PPG

10.7

RPG

4.8

APG

1.9

L5 PPG

9.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.5

10.7

9.2

RPG0.0

4.8

APG-0.1

1.9

1.8

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 7 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 4 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 13 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 8 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 8 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs DEN: 4 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

62%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

57%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

60%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

64%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

59%

UNDER 2

63%

P+R

UNDER 16.5STAKE

58%

P+A

UNDER 11.5STAKE

61%

R+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.4

9.4

RPG

4.9

3.4

APG

1.0

2.3

vs PHX (H2H)5 games

PPG

10.4

RPG

5.8

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Onyeka Okongwu	4	14	45%	-6.8%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	11	71%	+4.8%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	4	11	33%	-19.0%	medium
Alperen Sengun	2	10	30%

Rebounds look like the cleanest path for Mamukelashvili

Sandro Mamukelashvili is averaging 10.7 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 1.9 APG on the season, but his recent scoring has cooled to 9.2 PPG over the last 5 and 8.9 over the last 10. His rebound profile is steadier than his points, with 4.8 RPG last 5 and 4.4 last 10, and the market numbers show a soft rebound opportunity compared with his season baseline. The matchup is not driving a strong fade, but Phoenix is on a back-to-back, while Toronto is on 2 days rest, which supports a stable role and minutes floor. Because his recent usage has not spiked enough to justify the higher combo lines, the best angle is staying conservative and leaning on rebounds rather than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.2(↓ from 10.7)

RPG

4.8(→ from 4.8)

APG

1.8(→ from 1.9)

3PM

(↓ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Phoenix has a 111.17 defensive rating and a pace of 100, with three-point suppression listed at -1.55, so the environment is not especially friendly for an efficient scoring spike.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	3	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	100%	0	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	8	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	P+A	11.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	7	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	R+A	8.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	5	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS9.5OVER35%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 8x11/2055%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Line moved -1.0; Value edge changed +0.043▼

REB4.5OVER26%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R16UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A13UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

3PM1.5OVER2%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%+10.3% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.261▼

R+A6.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Rebounds UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the cleanest fade because his season average is 4.8 RPG, his last 10 is 4.4 RPG, and his last 5 is 4.8 RPG. The line is more than a full rebound above his normal output, and nothing in the provided data suggests a strong reason to expect a major rebounding jump.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Oso Ighodaro	2	4	2	100%	100%
Khaman Maluach	2	3	0	0%	0%
Rasheer Fleming	2	3	3	100%	150%
Devin Booker	2	1	8	75%	75%
Jordan Goodwin	2	1	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 10.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 10.7 PPG, but the last 5 is down to 9.2 and last 10 is 8.9, so the under on 10.5 is slightly safer than chasing a bounce. The recent minute trend is also down to 17.6 MPG last 5 from 21.8 season.

reboundsUNDER 6.562%MEDIUM

He averages 4.8 RPG on the season and 4.4 over the last 10, which is well below 6.5. His rebound production has been stable, but not near this line.

assistsOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.9 APG and last 5 is 1.8 APG, both above 1.5. The away split is also stronger at 2.3 APG, which supports the over slightly.

threesUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.33 made threes per game on the season but only 0.9 over the last 10 and 0.9 over the last 5, so 1.5 is a tough ask. The recent downward shooting volume also supports the under.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, so 0.5 is reachable. The volatility is moderate, but the baseline is above the line.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 0.5 blocks on the season, but only 0.2 over the last 5 and 0.3 over the last 10. That recent dip makes the under the more conservative side.

stocksUNDER 1.559%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.28 and recent form is 1.1 over the last 10, both below 1.5. Combined defensive events are still too inconsistent to trust the over.

turnoversUNDER 263%MEDIUM

He is at 0.8 turnovers over the last 20 and 0.9 over the last 10, well below 2.0. Even with a bit more usage, this line would be a stretch.

prUNDER 16.558%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-rebounds is 15.55 using 10.7 PPG and 4.8 RPG, so 16.5 is slightly above his baseline. Recent scoring softness makes the under the better side.

paUNDER 11.561%MEDIUM

He averages 12.6 P+A on the season, but that includes 10.7 points and 1.9 assists, while recent points have slipped. This line is close, but the current scoring trend leans under on a conservative read.

raUNDER 8.568%MEDIUM

His season rebounds plus assists total is 6.7, and even his last 10 is only 6.2. A line of 8.5 is well above both his season and recent production.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS