Ryan Dunn▲

PHX · SF

PPG

5.8

RPG

4.2

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

5.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG0.0

5.8

RPG+0.2

4.2

4.4

APG-0.2

1.4

1.2

SPG0.0

0.8

BPG0.0

0.4

OVER 4.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

4.5

LAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAL: 10 pts

SAC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAC: 2 pts

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 6 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 3 pts

CHA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHA: 3 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 5 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 7 pts

SAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAS: 5 pts

MIL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIL: 12 pts

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 4.5STAKE

58%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

69%

AST

OVER 0.5STAKE

63%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

66%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

62%

UNDER 0.5

74%

P+R

OVER 7.5STAKE

55%

P+A

OVER 5.5STAKE

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.5

3.9

RPG

4.4

2.9

APG

1.2

0.6

vs TOR (H2H)2 games

PPG

8.5

RPG

3.5

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Luka Dončić	3	9	73%	+16.3%	medium
James Harden	2	8	67%	+21.5%	low
LeBron James	4	7	67%	+21.5%	medium
Stephen Curry	3	7	15%

Ryan Dunn’s low-usage profile points to unders, with rebounds the safest path

Ryan Dunn is sitting at 5.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and 1.4 APG on the season, and his recent scoring has not separated from that baseline with 5.8 PPG over the last 5 and 5.3 over the last 10. The home split is slightly better than away, but even at home he’s only at 5.5 PPG and 4.4 RPG, which keeps most of his counting props in a tight, modest range. Toronto’s defense context is not especially friendly for a big scoring spike, and Dunn’s own variance is moderate-to-high, so the stronger angle is to stay conservative. His best path is rebounds and defensive stats, while points and combo props lean under unless minutes jump materially.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.8(→ from 5.8)

RPG

4.4(↑ from 4.2)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.4)

Stocks

1.2(→ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

Key defender matchup data is available: Scottie Barnes has 2.6 minutes logged, Immanuel Quickley 1.2, and RJ Barrett 0.9, so there is no clear single defender workload to anchor on. Toronto’s opponent profile shows a 111.97 defensive rating with a scoring suppression of -0.765 and three suppression of -0.721, which is a slight drag on upside.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ryan Dunn▼	Points	4.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	12	✓
Ryan Dunn▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✓
Ryan Dunn▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	2	✓
Ryan Dunn▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	70%	3	✓
Ryan Dunn▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✗
Ryan Dunn▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	80%	4	✗
Ryan Dunn▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	80%	1	✗
Ryan Dunn▼	P+R	7.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	15	✓
Ryan Dunn▼	P+A	5.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	14	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA13UNDER4%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x9/1850%▼

PTS5.5UNDER11%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x9/1850%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PA3UNDER42%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x4/1822%▼

P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x8/1844%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/1844%▼

P+R11OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 5x9/1850%▼

REB4UNDER6%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/1844%▼

AST1OVER24%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x7/1839%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Ryan Dunn

Rebounds OVER 2.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because Dunn averages 4.2 rebounds for the season, 4.4 over the last 5, and 4.4 at home. The 2.5 line leaves substantial margin even if his minutes stay near his recent 17- to 19-minute range.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Ingram	1	3	0	0%	0%
Jamal Shead	1	2	0	0%	0%
Scottie Barnes	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jamison Battle	1	1	2	100%	100%
Ja'Kobe Walter	1	1	3	50%	75%

pointsOVER 4.558%MEDIUM

He averages 5.8 points on the season and 5.8 over the last 5, so 4.5 is a modest bar. The confidence stays moderate because his last 10 is only 5.3 and his away scoring is 3.9.

reboundsOVER 2.569%MEDIUM

Dunn averages 4.2 rebounds on the season and 4.4 over the last 5, with a 4.4 home split. That gives him clear cushion over 2.5 even with normal minute fluctuation.

assistsOVER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 1.4 and his home mean is 1.67, so 0.5 is reachable even in a modest role. The recent mean is lower at 0.9, which keeps this from being a top-confidence play.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 5. The floor is decent, but defensive stats can swing quickly, so confidence is limited.

blocksUNDER 0.566%MEDIUM

Dunn is at only 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. That makes 0.5 a tougher number to clear consistently.

stocksUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

His combined steals and blocks average is 1.24 on the season and 1.1 over the last 10. With variance in both categories, 1.5 is a slightly aggressive threshold.

turnoversUNDER 0.574%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 turnovers over the last 5 and 0.2 over the last 10. His low-usage role keeps mistake volume very low.

prOVER 7.555%MEDIUM

Season averages put him at 10.0 points + rebounds, and his last 5 is 10.2. The line is reachable, but this combo prop carries more variance than the single-stat plays.

paOVER 5.557%MEDIUM

He averages 7.2 points + assists on the season, which is above the line. The recent assist dip adds some caution, but the number is still manageable.

timelineOVER 4.5 PTS