Rasheer Fleming▲

PHX · PF

PPG

3.8

RPG

2.1

APG

0.2

L5 PPG

7.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.2

3.8

7.0

RPG+0.7

2.1

2.8

APG-0.2

0.2

0.0

SPG+0.5

0.3

0.8

BPG+1.2

0.4

1.6

OVER 3.8 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

3.8

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 5 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 6 pts

CHA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHA: 16 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 2 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 9 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 1 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 9 pts

SAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAS: 8 pts

MIL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIL: 8 pts

Over 3.8

Under 3.8

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 3.8

58%

REB

OVER 2.5

57%

3PM

OVER 0.5

55%

STL

OVER 0.5

54%

BLK

OVER 0.5

56%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

UNDER 0.5

68%

PRA

OVER 6.5

49%

R+A

OVER 5

48%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.2

5.5

RPG

2.4

4.0

APG

0.3

0.2

vs TOR (H2H)1 games

PPG

9.0

RPG

3.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Payton Pritchard	2	6	50%	-7.2%	low
Pete Nance	2	5	150%	+59.5%	low
Zion Williamson	3	4	100%	+59.5%	medium
Kenrich Williams	2	4	0%

Minutes spike makes Fleming a live role player, but scoring upside stays capped

Rasheer Fleming’s season line is modest at 3.8 PPG, 2.1 RPG, and 10.7 MPG, but his recent role has jumped with 6.8 PPG, 3.5 RPG, and 18.0 MPG over the last 10. The last 5 show more volatility but also stronger defensive production, with 1.5 stocks per game over the last 10 and 2.4 stocks over the last 5. Toronto’s defense data shows a 111.97 defensive rating and negative suppression numbers for scoring and threes, while the only specific opponent absence provided is A.J. Lawson (Out), which is a minor usage boost, not a major shift. Because his recent scoring is above season baseline and his season standard deviation is high, the safer angles are rebounds, threes, and defensive stats rather than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.0(↑ from 3.8)

RPG

2.8(↑ from 2.1)

Stocks

2.4(↑ from 0.7)

3PM

1.8(↑ from 0.8)

Key Matchup

Toronto’s opponent defense data shows a 111.97 defensive rating with negative scoring and three-point suppression values, and the key defender list does not provide a clear individual matchup takeaway. There is no specific defender matchup data to target, so the read is driven more by team context and Fleming’s role than by an on-ball stopper.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Rasheer Fleming▼	Points	3.8	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	11	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	7	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	2	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	3	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗
Rasheer Fleming▼	PRA	6.5	OVER	49%LOW	1/2	90%	19	✓
Rasheer Fleming▼	R+A	5	OVER	48%LOW	1/2	20%	8	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8UNDER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x6/1932%▼

REB4UNDER43%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PM2UNDER68%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 9x2/1911%▼

3PA4UNDER45%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)5/1926%▼

PRA11UNDER20%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

P+R11UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/1953%▼

FTA0.5UNDER1%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Rasheer Fleming

Blocks OVER 0.5MEDIUM

He has 0.4 blocks per game on the season, but that jumps to 1.0 over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 5. With his recent minutes holding near 18 and Toronto not providing a strong specific defender note, the block over offers the cleanest recent-form edge.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
RJ Barrett	2	3	4	40%	40%
Jakob Poeltl	2	2	0	0%	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili	2	2	0	0%	0%
Brandon Ingram	2	2	0	0%	0%
Scottie Barnes	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 3.858%MEDIUM

His recent usage is up, with 6.8 PPG over the last 10 and 7.0 PPG over the last 5 versus 3.8 for the season. The sample is still volatile with a 3.6 season standard deviation, so this is playable but not a high-confidence spot.

reboundsOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He is at 3.5 RPG over the last 10 and 2.8 RPG over the last 5, both above his 2.1 season average. Away splits are stronger at 4.0 RPG, which supports a modest over lean.

threesOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.76 threes per game on the season and 1.6 over the last 10, with 1.8 over the last 5. The volume is real enough to justify a small over lean, though the 0.99 season standard deviation keeps confidence in check.

stealsOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He has 0.3 steals per game on the season, but 0.5 over the last 10 and 0.8 over the last 5. The recent uptick supports a lean, though the season baseline is still low.

blocksOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 blocks on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, with 1.6 over the last 5. That recent shot-blocking spike makes the over attractive even with some volatility.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.69, but he is at 1.5 over the last 10 and 2.4 over the last 5. This is a volatile combo stat, but the recent defensive activity is strong enough to justify a lean over.

turnoversUNDER 0.568%MEDIUM

He is at only 0.6 turnovers on his last 20 and 0.4 over the last 10 and last 5. With limited on-ball responsibility at 10.7 MPG seasonally, the under is the cleaner side.

praOVER 6.549%LOW

His recent production has improved to 6.8 PPG and 3.5 RPG, which pushes his PRA profile upward. Still, combo props are lower-confidence by nature and his season role remains small, so this stays conservative.

raOVER 548%LOW

He has combined recent rebound output and a minutes jump to 18.0 MPG, which keeps this within reach. But with only 2.1 RPG on the season, this combo is still fairly thin and variance is high.

timelineOVER 3.8 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Minutes spike makes Fleming a live role player, but scoring upside stays capped

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 3.8 PTS