Jordan Goodwin▲

PHX · PF

PPG

8.6

RPG

4.8

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

6.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.0

8.6

6.6

RPG+1.6

4.8

6.4

APG0.0

2.2

SPG+0.1

1.5

1.6

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

OKC

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs OKC: 12 pts

SAS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs SAS: 10 pts

ORL

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs ORL: 17 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 6 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 8 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 6 pts

MIN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIN: 3 pts

SAS

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAS: 5 pts

MIL

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIL: 11 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

56%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

57%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

60%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

64%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

55%

UNDER 0.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 14.5STAKE

58%

P+A

UNDER 11.5STAKE

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.9

6.9

RPG

4.9

5.1

APG

2.2

2.0

vs TOR (H2H)5 games

PPG

7.6

RPG

4.4

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
De'Aaron Fox	3	11	33%	-7.7%	medium
Anthony Edwards	2	11	64%	+16.1%	low
Cade Cunningham	2	9	33%	-7.7%	low
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	3	8	54%

Goodwin’s defensive stats carry more stability than his scoring

Jordan Goodwin’s season line of 8.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 2.2 APG is supported by consistent minutes at 22.5 MPG, with the last 20 showing 8.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.1 APG. His recent form is mixed on points but solid on rebounds and stocks, and the home split is slightly better than away at 8.9 PPG vs 6.9 PPG. Toronto’s defense profile is not especially imposing, but the opponent context also shows only 5 career games at 7.6 PPG and 18.8 MPG, which keeps his scoring projection modest. With the Suns on a back-to-back, volume could be steady, but his low-variance defensive production is the cleaner angle than chasing an over on points.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.6(↓ from 8.6)

RPG

6.4(↑ from 4.8)

APG

2.2(→ from 2.2)

Stocks

1.6(→ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

Toronto has a team defensive rating of 111.97 with pace at 100, and the opponent profile does not strongly boost Goodwin’s scoring ceiling. The key defender list is present, but the data does not provide a clear one-on-one matchup edge to target, so there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jordan Goodwin▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	14	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	7	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✓
Jordan Goodwin▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	60%	4	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	21	✗
Jordan Goodwin▼	P+A	11.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER6%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%Odds moved materially▼

REB5.5UNDER22%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

PRA14.5UNDER9%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

P+R13.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+A10UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

AST1.5UNDER6%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER3%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

R+A7UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Jordan Goodwin

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle in the card because his season average is only 0.2 blocks and his last-10 is 0.1. A 0.5 line is well above his typical output, making the under the most stable option.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Ingram	2	5	0	0%	0%
Scottie Barnes	2	3	2	50%	50%
RJ Barrett	2	2	2	100%	100%
Jamal Shead	2	2	0	0%	0%
Immanuel Quickley	2	2	5	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 8.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.6 PPG and last-10 is 8.4, so the market is close to fair. The last 5 at 6.6 PPG and his 7.6 PPG vs this opponent suggest a slight lean under rather than pushing an over.

reboundsUNDER 5.556%MEDIUM

He is at 4.8 RPG for the season and 5.1 RPG over the last 10, which sits below the 5.5 line. Even with 6.4 RPG in the last 5, the season baseline and moderate variance keep the under viable.

assistsUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.2 APG and last-10 is 1.9 APG, both below 2.5. The last 5 at 2.2 APG does not create enough separation to justify an over.

threesUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.51 threes seasonally and 1.4 over the last 10, but the last-5 is only 1.0. With the line at 1.5 and no stronger recent spike, the under is the safer side.

stealsUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

Although his season steals average is 1.5, the last-10 is 1.2 and the last-20 is 1.5, while the 1.5 line is still demanding. The standard deviation profile and recent consistency point to the under being slightly more likely.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages just 0.2 BPG on the season and 0.1 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a high bar. The under is the clear side based on role and production.

stocksOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.66 stocks on the season and 1.7 over the last 20, which is right in range for a 1.5 line. Recent games show multiple 2+ stock outings, so this is one of his steadier upside props.

turnoversUNDER 0.570%HIGH

His recent turnover rates are very low at 0.4 in the last 5 and 0.4 in the last 10. That makes an under on a half-turnover line the more reliable play.

prUNDER 14.558%MEDIUM

He averages 13.4 points plus rebounds on the season and 13.5 over the last 10, both just under this line. The recent rebound bump helps, but not enough to make the over attractive.

paUNDER 11.561%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists average is 10.8, and the last-10 sits at 10.3, which is below 11.5. He would need an efficient scoring spike to clear this number.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS