AI Model:

Donte DiVincenzo—

MIN · PG

PPG

12.3

RPG

4.4

APG

4.1

L5 PPG

9.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.3

12.3

9.0

RPG+0.2

4.4

4.6

APG-1.3

4.1

2.8

SPG-0.5

1.3

0.8

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 7 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 16 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 0 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 6 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 16 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 0 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 9 pts

POR

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs POR: 13 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

84%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

UNDER 3.5BETMGM

73%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

80%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

70%

OVER 1.5

62%

P+A

UNDER 16.5FANDUEL

66%

P+R

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.1

13.2

RPG

3.8

4.6

APG

4.2

3.0

vs BOS (H2H)15 games

PPG

9.2

RPG

3.5

APG

2.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tim Hardaway Jr.	4	21	100%	+37.2%	medium
Kris Dunn	4	17	19%	-28.1%	medium
Amen Thompson	2	16	80%	+39.4%	low
Collin Gillespie	3	14	65%

DiVincenzo’s scoring looks capped, but the minutes and peripherals remain playable

Donte DiVincenzo comes in with a season line of 12.3 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 4.1 APG across 30.8 MPG, but his recent scoring has dipped to 9.0 PPG over the last 5 and 8.2 over the last 10. The biggest swing factor is Anthony Edwards being Out, which should help stabilize his usage, but the recent game logs still show volatile shot-making with two 0-point outings in the last 10. Boston’s profile is not a soft landing spot either, with opponent scoring suppression at -1.892 and his head-to-head average against this opponent sitting at 9.2 PPG in 15 games.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.0(↓ from 12.3)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.4)

APG

2.8(↓ from 4.1)

3PM

2.2(↓ from 3.0)

Key Matchup

Boston’s opponent defense numbers point to a tougher scoring environment, with a defensive rating context that includes -1.892 scoring suppression and -0.162 three-point suppression. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the safest read is that the overall team environment is slightly unfavorable for efficient scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	2/2	80%	8	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	2	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	2	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	1/2	80%	2	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	1	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	90%	1	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	20%	2	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	10	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	P+R	17.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	10	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS10.5UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

PRA17.5UNDER32%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A14OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB3.5UNDER37%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 7x7/2035%▼

AST3.5UNDER68%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 8x6/2030%+12.0% edge▼

3PA7UNDER32%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER24%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%▼

3PM2.5UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 8x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Donte DiVincenzo

Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

This is the strongest angle because the season average is 12.3 PPG, the last 5 is only 9.0, and his 15-game history vs this opponent is 9.2 PPG. Anthony Edwards being Out helps usage, but not enough to offset the recent production drop and the tougher Boston scoring environment.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derrick White	2	8	2	0%	0%
Payton Pritchard	2	6	0	0%	0%
Sam Hauser	2	4	4	100%	100%
Baylor Scheierman	2	2	3	100%	150%
Jaylen Brown	2	2	6	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 13.584%HIGH

His season mean is 12.3 PPG, while his last 5 is only 9.0 and his vs-opponent average is 9.2 PPG across 15 games. With Boston suppressing scoring and his recent form well below the market line, the under is the cleaner side.

reboundsOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

He averages 4.4 RPG on the season and 4.3 RPG over the last 10, so 3.5 is below his typical output. The main concern is variance, but the baseline rebound profile still points slightly over.

assistsUNDER 3.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 4.1 APG, but recent form has slid to 2.8 over the last 5 and 3.0 over the last 10. With only 2.6 APG in 15 games vs this opponent, the under is supported despite the modest line.

threesUNDER 3.573%HIGH

He averages 2.96 made threes on the season, but only 1.9 over the last 10 and 2.2 over the last 5. The 3.5 line is above his recent production and his opponent split history does not suggest a strong over case.

stealsUNDER 1.565%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.3 steals, and the last 10 sits at 1.0. A 1.5 line requires a strong defensive event game, which is not the median outcome here.

blocksUNDER 0.580%HIGH

He averages just 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. This is a low-volume block profile, making the under the more likely result.

stocksUNDER 2.570%HIGH

His season stocks average is 1.73 and recent stocks are 1.3, both well below a 2.5 threshold. Combo defensive production is too volatile to trust the over at this number.

turnoversOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

He is at 1.4 turnovers per game on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, which sits close to the line. With increased ball-handling opportunity due to Anthony Edwards being Out, a slight lean over is reasonable.

paUNDER 16.566%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists baseline is 16.4 using 12.3 PPG and 4.1 APG, but recent form is down to 12.0 on last 5 scoring plus assists. The market line is right in the danger zone, but the recent downturn favors the under.

prUNDER 17.568%MEDIUM

He averages 16.7 points plus rebounds on the season and 13.6 over the last 5 based on the provided splits, leaving limited cushion against 17.5. The recent scoring dip is the main reason to fade the over.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS