Bones Hyland▲

MIN · SG

PPG

8.0

RPG

1.6

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

14.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.2

8.0

14.2

RPG-0.4

1.6

1.2

APG-0.6

2.6

2.0

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 3 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 9 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 11 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 10 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 11 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 22 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 18 pts

POR

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs POR: 17 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5BETONLINEAG

82%

REB

UNDER 1.5BETONLINEAG

70%

AST

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

64%

3PM

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

83%

STL

UNDER 0.5

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

68%

UNDER 2

61%

PRA

UNDER 22

66%

P+A

UNDER 13

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.6

9.8

RPG

1.8

1.5

APG

2.2

2.6

vs BOS (H2H)7 games

PPG

7.4

RPG

1.6

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaylen Wells	3	7	67%	+10.0%	medium
Jeremiah Fears	1	7	0%	-45.6%	low
Scoot Henderson	3	6	30%	-15.6%	medium
Will Richard	3	6	0%

Bones Hyland’s scoring role is elevated, but the market still prices him too high

Bones Hyland’s recent form is clearly up, with 14.2 PPG over his last 5 compared to 8.0 for the season, and his minutes have also climbed to 20.0 in that span. The big swing factor is Anthony Edwards being out, which should keep Hyland in a larger usage role than his season baseline, but his matchup history vs Boston is still modest at 7.43 PPG and 14.86 MPG across 7 games. Boston also brings a low-paced, slightly suppressive environment, and the value data points strongly to the under on his scoring and threes at current prices.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.2(↑ from 8.0)

APG

2.0(↓ from 2.6)

3PM

2.2(↑ from 1.5)

MPG

20.0(↑ from 15.6)

Key Matchup

Boston’s defense profile is slightly suppressive, with a 107.03 defensive rating and -1.892 scoring suppression. The provided key defender list does not give a clear one-on-one assignment, so there is no specific defender matchup data.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Bones Hyland▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	70%	23	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Rebounds	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	3	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✗
Bones Hyland▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	83%HIGH	1/2	60%	3	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✗
Bones Hyland▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Bones Hyland▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✓
Bones Hyland▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Bones Hyland▼	PRA	22	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	29	✗
Bones Hyland▼	P+A	13	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	26	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA19.5UNDER19%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x6/2030%+18.1% edge▼

PTS13.5UNDER13%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x7/2035%+11.7% edge▼

FTA0.5OVER5%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

REB2.5UNDER4%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x6/2030%+12.4% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted +0.319▼

3PA6UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

AST3.5UNDER24%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%+13.1% edge▼

FTM0.5UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

P+A14UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

3PM2.5UNDER7%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Bones Hyland

Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

This is the strongest value on the card, with a 0.229 best edge and 0.752 projected probability on the under. Even though his last 5 have been hotter than his season average, the broader sample, head-to-head history versus Boston, and the suppressive game environment all point to fewer than 13 points.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Payton Pritchard	1	4	5	50%	63%
Baylor Scheierman	1	3	0	0%	0%
Sam Hauser	1	2	0	0%	0%
Hugo González	1	1	0	0%	0%
Derrick White	1	1	4	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 12.582%HIGH

Season mean is 7.98 PPG, and even with the recent surge to 14.2, the value data shows a 0.229 best edge on the under with a 0.752 probability. Boston has also held him to 7.43 PPG in 7 career games versus this opponent.

reboundsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

He averages just 1.63 rebounds per game on the season and 0.9 over his last 5, with the under carrying a 0.118 best edge. His recent rebound output is well below the line and his role does not suggest heavy rebounding volume.

assistsUNDER 2.564%MEDIUM

Hyland’s season assist average is 2.58, but the recent mean is 2.1 and the under has a 0.076 best edge. The line is right near his typical output, so the slight lean is to the under.

threesUNDER 2.583%HIGH

He averages 1.5 made threes on the season and 2.2 over the last 5, but the value model gives the under a 0.207 best edge and 0.758 probability. Boston’s three suppression is also slightly negative at -0.162, which supports a cautious under.

stealsUNDER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals on the season and 0.6 over the last 5, but that still leaves this around a coin flip profile. With no clear edge data provided here, the under is the safer side on a low-volume category.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

His season block average is 0.2 and recent mean is 0.4, both below a typical 0.5 expectation. That makes the under the more reasonable lean given his profile.

stocksUNDER 1.568%MEDIUM

He averages 0.77 stocks on the season and 0.7 over the last 5, which is well short of a 1.5 line. Combo variance is a concern, but the baseline production is too low to justify an over.

turnoversUNDER 261%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.5 over the last 10, which is below a 2.0 line. Recent usage has been elevated, but not enough to project him consistently over 2 turnovers.

praUNDER 2266%MEDIUM

His season averages sum to a modest profile, and combo props are high-variance by nature. Given the clear edge on the under for points and threes, the under on PRA is the safer composite angle.

paUNDER 1363%MEDIUM

He averages 10.6 points plus assists on the season, and his recent point spike is not matched by a major assist jump. With the assist line itself leaning under, PA also trends under.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS