AI Model:

Malik Monk▼

SAC · PG

PPG

12.4

RPG

1.9

APG

2.7

L5 PPG

13.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.4

12.4

13.8

RPG-0.1

1.9

1.8

APG+1.1

2.7

3.8

SPG-0.6

0.6

0.0

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

SAS

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs SAS: 19 pts

MEM

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs MEM: 10 pts

HOU

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs HOU: 7 pts

DAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs DAL: 8 pts

LAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAL: 10 pts

PHX

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHX: 13 pts

NOP

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs NOP: 18 pts

CHI

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHI: 30 pts

IND

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs IND: 4 pts

PHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs PHI: 4 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

REB

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

72%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

3PM

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

STL

UNDER 0.5

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

78%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

73%

OVER 1.5

61%

P+A

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

57%

P+R

UNDER 15.5FANDUEL

64%

UNDER 0.5

85%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

11.7

RPG

1.6

1.8

APG

3.1

3.3

vs BKN (H2H)7 games

PPG

16.7

RPG

4.0

APG

5.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tim Hardaway Jr.	3	10	63%	+6.5%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	9	71%	+13.6%	medium
Aaron Holiday	3	9	38%	-18.5%	medium
Gabe Vincent	3	8	0%

Kings usage boost, but Monk’s scoring line still leans under

Malik Monk is coming in with a season average of 12.4 PPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.9 RPG, while his last 10 sits nearly identical at 12.3 PPG but with a modest assist bump to 3.4 APG. The context is favorable for minutes and touches with Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, and Russell Westbrook all out, and Monk has also produced better at home at 15.6 PPG versus 11.7 away. Still, the market has him at 13.5 points and his recent game log includes several low-minute, low-output outings, so the safer read is that his scoring sits closer to his season baseline than a breakout spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.8(↑ from 12.4)

APG

3.8(↑ from 2.7)

RPG

1.8(→ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent profile shows a 115.34 defensive rating, pace of 100, and no specific defender matchup data, so the main read comes from team context and Monk’s own home/away splits rather than a named individual matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Malik Monk▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	32	✗
Malik Monk▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	70%	2	✓
Malik Monk▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	6	✗
Malik Monk▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	7	✓
Malik Monk▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Malik Monk▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	80%	1	✗
Malik Monk▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	—	90%	1	✓
Malik Monk▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	30%	4	✓
Malik Monk▼	P+A	17.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	38	✗
Malik Monk▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	34	✗
Malik Monk▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

P+R14.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A17UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A6UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Malik Monk

Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

This is the strongest value position in the data: DraftKings shows a 6.6% edge on the under, and the season mean is 12.4 PPG versus a 13.5 line. His recent 13.8 PPG is not enough to override the broader sample, especially with his minutes still clustered around 21-22 MPG.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	FG%	eFG%
Ben Saraf	1	2	0%	0%
Drake Powell	1	1	0%	0%
Chaney Johnson	1	0	0%	0%
Danny Wolf	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.566%MEDIUM

Season scoring is 12.4 PPG and the value data shows UNDER as the best side at this line, with a 6.6% edge at DraftKings. His last 5 at 13.8 PPG is only slightly above the season mark, and the recent sample is volatile enough to keep confidence moderate.

reboundsUNDER 2.572%HIGH

He averages just 1.9 RPG on the season and 1.6 RPG over the last 10, well below 2.5. The available value data also points to UNDER, and his rebound role has not expanded meaningfully.

assistsUNDER 3.560%MEDIUM

Monk’s season APG is 2.7 and his last 10 is 3.4, which is close to the 3.5 line but not enough to justify an aggressive over. The recent assist uptick is real, but the high variance and over-bias caution make the under the cleaner lean.

threesOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.98 threes made per game on the season and 2.34 at home, with last 20 at 2.4 and home volume clearly stronger than away. The recent trend is a bit below that, but the market line of 2.5 is reachable if his normal home shot volume holds.

stealsUNDER 0.570%HIGH

His season steals average is only 0.6, and the last 10 falls to 0.3. With no strong recent steal production and no specific defender matchup data, the under is the safer side.

blocksUNDER 0.578%HIGH

He averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.2 over the last 5 and last 10. That keeps him below the 0.5 line more often than not.

stocksUNDER 1.573%HIGH

His season stocks average is 0.93 and the last 10 is 0.5, both well below 1.5. This is a high bar for a low-volume defensive production profile.

turnoversOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

He’s at 1.4 turnovers over the last 5 and 1.5 over the last 20, so a 1.5 line is very live. If his minutes and usage rise with the teammate absences, turnovers can tick up with it.

paUNDER 17.557%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is 15.1 by the raw averages, while the recent assist bump has not been enough to fully offset a middling scoring baseline. The line is close, but the under remains slightly more attractive.

prUNDER 15.564%MEDIUM

Using season means, points plus rebounds is 14.3, which is below the 15.5 line. His rebound output is too small to provide much cushion.

double_doubleUNDER 0.585%HIGH

He is not close to double-double territory based on season production: 12.4 PPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.9 RPG. There is no strong evidence of two categories getting near double digits in this role.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Kings usage boost, but Monk’s scoring line still leans under

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 13.5 PTS