Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

37-32 | L10: 4-6

SAC

Sacramento Kings

18-52 | L10: 5-5

2026-03-19

ML Game Intelligence

HIGH

PHI95%

5%SAC

PHI81-80SAC

Key Factors

*76ers without Joel Embiid (26.4 PPG) - doubtful ()
*Kings without Domantas Sabonis (15.8 PPG) - out (Knee)
*Kings without Keegan Murray (14.0 PPG) - out (Ankle)
*76ers without Paul George (16.2 PPG) - out ()
*Kings without Nique Clifford (7.8 PPG) - questionable (Hamstring)

Key Matchup

76ers has matchup advantages

SAC Advantages

+ Positional advantages

PHI Advantages

Key Defensive Matchups

PHI Players

Quentin Grimes

Daeqwon Plowden1g · 3m+0.0%125% eFGlow

Doug McDermott1g · 2m+0.0%0% eFGlow

DeMar DeRozan1g · 2m+0.0%100% eFGlow

Dominick Barlow

Precious Achiuwa2g · 7m+0.0%57% eFGlow

Maxime Raynaud2g · 7m+0.0%33% eFGlow

Philadelphia enters at 37-32 but has dropped 6 of its last 10, while Sacramento sits at 18-52 and is 5-5 over its last 10 despite a current -1 streak. Both teams are on 2 days rest, and with the Kings at home there’s motivation to stay competitive, but the 76ers’ deeper season profile still makes them the more stable side in this matchup.

Team Comparison

PHISAC

Key Players

He’s coming off a massive 41-point game in his last 5, but that sits well above his 18.6 season PPG and comes with volatility: his last 5 also includes 2 points on 1-of-4 shooting. The matchup is still workable, but his points line should be treated cautiously because the recent spike is a clear regression candidate.

ProjectedPTS: 12.7-19.3-25.9REB: 0-2.8-5.8AST: 2.1-4.5-6.9

Maxime Raynaud▲Unknown

He’s in the middle of a strong scoring run with 17.0 PPG over his last 5 and 18.1 over his last 10, both above his 11.4 season mark. His rebound work is also steady at 8.6 over the last 5, so his combo props deserve more attention than his season baseline alone.

ProjectedPTS: 6-12.6-19.2REB: 4.8-7.8-10.8AST: 0-1.6-4

He’s running hot with 15.0 PPG and 9.2 RPG over his last 5 versus season averages of 9.2 and 6.3. That gap is large enough to warn of some regression, but his minutes are also up to 30.0 over the last 5, which keeps his rebound and stocks props live.

ProjectedPTS: 4.1-10.7-17.3REB: 4.5-7.5-10.5AST: 0-1.3-3.7

His scoring has ticked up to 15.0 PPG over the last 5 from 12.6 on the season, but his recent game log is uneven with 4 points in 11 minutes followed by 30 points in 31 minutes. That minutes volatility lowers confidence, especially on the over side of his scoring props.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Edge	Actual	Result
DeMar DeRozan▼ SAC	Points	19.5draftkings	UNDER	82%HIGH	70%	+12.7%	13	✓
Quentin Grimes▼ PHI	Points	21.5draftkings	UNDER	80%HIGH	60%	+21.7%	27	✗
Justin Edwards▼ PHI	Points	11.5betmgm	UNDER	78%HIGH	60%	+7.9%	32	✗
Precious Achiuwa▼ SAC	Rebounds	5.5draftkings	OVER	64%MEDIUM	100%	+8.1%	7	✓
Russell Westbrook▼ SAC	Assists	4.5draftkings	OVER	63%MEDIUM	80%	+1.9%	8	✓

Model Comparison

2 models · 6 props compared

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Props Shown

6 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Quentin Grimes

Points UNDER 21.5HIGH

The strongest value on the slate comes from the 21.7% edge and 42.49 EV per $100. His recent 21.6 PPG is inflated versus his 13.7 season average, making the under the better number despite the hot streak.

DeMar DeRozan

Points UNDER 19.5HIGH

The model sits at 18.5 adjusted mean and the under carries a 12.7% edge with 24.64 EV per $100. His last-5 spike is driven by one huge game, and his recent 2-point outing supports a conservative stance.

Precious Achiuwa

Rebounds OVER 5.5MEDIUM

He’s at 9.2 RPG over the last 5 and 6.3 on the season, with a 8.1% edge and 13.39 EV per $100. The minutes increase to 30.0 MPG gives the over real support, but the recent production bump still warrants only medium confidence.

Parlay of the Game

Quentin Grimes — Points UNDER 21.5Leg 1

DeMar DeRozan — Points UNDER 19.5Leg 2

Precious Achiuwa — Rebounds OVER 5.5Leg 3

The two scoring unders both lean on regression from recent hot streaks, while Achiuwa’s rebound over is supported by a minutes-driven role increase. Together they combine a conservative under-tilted scoring angle with one positive volume rebound spot.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Nique Clifford is Out with Injury/Illness-LeftHamstring. The rest of the listed key players are marked Available, while Maxime Raynaud’s injury status is Unknown and should be monitored.