Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

TOR

Toronto Raptors

38-29 | L10: 4-6

CHI

Chicago Bulls

28-40 | L10: 4-6

2026-03-18

Key Defensive Matchups

TOR Players

Brandon Ingram

Patrick Williams2g · 7m+0.0%67% eFGlow

Isaac Okoro1g · 6m+0.0%117% eFGlow

Leonard Miller1g · 3m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Scottie Barnes

Josh Giddey2g · 6m+0.0%67% eFGlow

Matas Buzelis2g · 4m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Toronto enters at 38-29 with a 2-game streak, while Chicago is 28-40 and has dropped to a 1-game streak; both teams are 4-6 in their last 10. Toronto also has the slight rest edge with 3 days since its last game vs. Chicago’s 2, and the matchup sets up around Toronto’s higher-end rotation pieces carrying the offense against a Bulls team leaning on boosted roles from its starters.

Team Comparison

TORCHI

Key Players

Leonard Miller is averaging 11.2 PPG over his last 5 compared to 4.8 PPG for the season, with his minutes jumping to 26.8 from a season 10.7 MPG. His last 5 also include 7.0 RPG and 1.4 stocks, but the variance is high and Toronto’s edge in rest can limit fourth-quarter run if Chicago falls behind.

Buzelis has spiked to 26.0 PPG over his last 5 and 35.2 MPG, far above his 16.2 season PPG, so regression risk is real even with the heavy usage. His last 10 at 22.8 PPG still supports a strong scoring role, but his prop profile is harder to trust at elevated lines because his recent burst has been far above season norms.

Jalen Smith is steady-to-up, with 11.0 PPG and 25.8 MPG over his last 5 versus 10.2 PPG on the season. His last 5 boards sit at 5.8, slightly below his 6.9 season average, and Toronto’s interior matchup is one where his rebound line matters more than his scoring.

Tre Jones is carrying a clear uptick, posting 18.0 PPG, 4.6 APG and 31.0 MPG over his last 5 compared to 12.9 PPG and 5.4 APG for the season. His recent scoring is well above his season baseline, so the better angle is to respect the minutes and playmaking while being careful with inflated point expectations.

Giddey is near his season baseline at 19.8 PPG, 11.8 RPG and 13.0 APG over his last 5, with the workload peaking at 38.0 MPG. The last-5 production is strong, but his turnover burden is also elevated at 3.6 TO over that same span, which adds risk to combo props.

Jakob Poeltl—

TOR · C

PPG

10.1

RPG

7.7

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

12.0

Poeltl is holding steady with 12.0 PPG, 9.2 RPG and 29.2 MPG over his last 5, above his season averages across the board. He also just posted 21 points and 18 rebounds against DET, but his broader season line still keeps this in a more conservative range for projection and prop confidence.

RJ Barrett▼

TOR · SF

PPG

19.0

RPG

5.5

APG

3.3

L5 PPG

24.2

Barrett’s last 5 show 24.2 PPG, but that’s coming off a 19.0 season PPG, so the recent scoring surge is the key question rather than the season average. He’s logging 33.6 MPG over the last 5 and has a strong scoring ceiling, but the data points to a player whose line needs to be respected rather than chased higher.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Matas Buzelis▼ CHI	Points	19.5stake	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	30%	19	✓
Tre Jones▼ CHI	Assists	5.5fanduel	OVER	63%MEDIUM	20%	5	✗
Immanuel Quickley▼ TOR	Points	17.5fanduel	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	—	—
Scottie Barnes▼ TOR	Points	20.5stake	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	90%	18	✓
Jakob Poeltl▼ TOR	Rebounds	8.5fanduel	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	—	—

Model Comparison

8 models · 14 props compared

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Props Shown

14 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Matas Buzelis

Points UNDER 19.5MEDIUM

His season average is 16.2 PPG, which sits 3.3 points below the line, and the last-5 surge to 26.0 PPG is a major regression flag rather than a stable baseline.

Immanuel Quickley

Points UNDER 17.5MEDIUM

Quickley’s last 5 are 14.0 PPG, under the line, and his season mean is only 17.1 PPG. The recent dip lines up better with the under than the over.

Scottie Barnes

Points UNDER 20.5MEDIUM

Barnes is at 18.7 PPG on the season and 15.6 PPG over his last 5, so both the long sample and recent form point below 20.5.

Parlay of the Game

Matas Buzelis — Points UNDER 19.5Leg 1

Immanuel Quickley — Points UNDER 17.5Leg 2

Tre Jones — Assists OVER 5.5Leg 3

The two under legs are supported by season averages sitting below the posted numbers, while Tre Jones’ assist over is backed by a current minutes spike and a season APG mark that is close to the line. The legs come from different categories, so they combine cleanly without relying on one player’s stat overlap.

Injury & Lineup Notes

All listed players are marked Available. Toronto has 3 days since its last game versus Chicago’s 2, and both teams have played 4-6 over the last 10, so there is no injury-driven edge in the provided data.

Player Deep Dives

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.