LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

LAC

LA Clippers

34-34 | L10: 7-3

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

23-46 | L10: 6-4

2026-03-18

Key Defensive Matchups

LAC Players

Kris Dunn

Herbert Jones4g · 6m+0.0%79% eFGmedium

Jeremiah Fears4g · 6m+0.0%50% eFGmedium

Dejounte Murray2g · 5m+0.0%63% eFGlow

Darius Garland

Jeremiah Fears2g · 8m+0.0%70% eFGlow

Herbert Jones1g · 3m+0.0%125% eFGlow

The Clippers come in at 34-34 after going 7-3 in their last 10, while the Pelicans are 23-46 despite also going 6-4 over their last 10. Both teams are on 2 days rest and neither is on a back-to-back, so the spotlight is on form: LA’s top-end creators are producing at a high level, and New Orleans has multiple starters carrying heavy recent usage.

Team Comparison

LACNOP

Key Players

Kawhi Leonard—Questionable

LAC · SF

PPG

28.4

RPG

6.3

APG

3.7

L5 PPG

32.2

He is averaging 32.2 PPG over his last 5 compared to 28.4 PPG for the season, and his recent scoring has consistently cleared his season baseline. Against New Orleans, he has 24.5 PPG in 12 games, and the matchup data shows no historical defender matchup data available beyond the listed key defenders.

Darius Garland▲Questionable

Garland is hot, with 23.0 PPG over his last 5 and 7.2 APG, both above his season marks of 18.4 PPG and 6.8 APG. His assists prop is interesting because the line is 7.5 in multiple books, while his recent mean is 6.7 and his season mean is 6.85, so the scoring surge is stronger than the passing profile.

John Collins—

LAC · PF

PPG

13.7

RPG

5.2

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

11.8

His recent scoring has slipped to 11.8 PPG over the last 5 from 13.7 PPG on the season, and his minutes are down to 23.8 in that span. The rebounding profile is still solid at 6.4 RPG over his last 10, making his board-related props more attractive than points in this matchup.

Lopez has been trending down, with 6.6 PPG over his last 5 versus 7.6 PPG for the season and only 20.5 MPG season-long. His recent block spike is real at 2.2 BPG over the last 5, but the points line is aggressive relative to his lower recent scoring output.

Dejounte Murray▲Questionable

Murray is trending up with 22.2 PPG over his last 5, up from 19.8 PPG on the season, and he has hit 35, 27, and 19 points in his last three games. His assists line is tougher to trust because his last 5 APG is 5.0 and the available sportsbook lines are mostly 5.5 or 6.5, above his season mean of 5.25.

Murphy’s scoring is slightly down at 21.0 PPG over his last 5 versus 21.9 PPG for the season, but he’s still playing heavy minutes at 34.8 MPG recently. His assists have quietly climbed to 5.0 APG over the last 5, which stands above his season average of 3.9 and gives some value on combo-style props.

Herbert Jones—

NOP · C

PPG

9.0

RPG

3.6

APG

2.8

L5 PPG

10.4

Jones has 10.4 PPG over his last 5 and 2.4 blocks per game? no, the provided data shows 0.6 BPG and 2.4 stocks over the last 5, so his defensive production is the angle. The scoring line is modest, but his recent stocks trend and steady minutes around 29.6 MPG make his defensive props the cleaner look.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Kawhi Leonard▼ LAC	Points	28.5fanduel	OVER	76%HIGH	—	—	—
Darius Garland▼ LAC	Points	20.5fanduel	OVER	66%MEDIUM	70%	13	✗
Dejounte Murray▼ NOP	Points	17.5fanduel	OVER	63%MEDIUM	40%	17	✗
Trey Murphy III▼ NOP	Points	21.5stake	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	70%	23	✗
Herbert Jones▼ NOP	STL+BLK	1.5Proj	OVER	74%HIGH	—	—	—

Model Comparison

9 models · 15 props compared

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Props Shown

15 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Kawhi Leonard

Points OVER 28.5HIGH

Kawhi’s last 5 scoring at 32.2 PPG is above the 28.5 line, and his season average of 28.4 is already right at the number. New Orleans has also seen him for 24.5 PPG in 12 games, but the current form is stronger than the head-to-head mean.

Herbert Jones

Stocks OVER 1.5HIGH

Jones is averaging 2.13 stocks for the season and 2.4 over the last 5, both above the line. With a relatively low 1.73 season standard deviation, the defensive production is one of the steadiest angles on the board.

Dejounte Murray

Points OVER 17.5MEDIUM

Murray’s last 5 scoring is 22.2 PPG and his two highest recent games were 35 and 27 points, giving him a clear cushion above 17.5. The only caution is the questionable injury tag, which is why this is below the top-tier confidence plays.

Parlay of the Game

Kawhi Leonard — Points OVER 28.5Leg 1

Herbert Jones — Stocks OVER 1.5Leg 2

Darius Garland — Points OVER 20.5Leg 3

This combines the Clippers’ primary scorer, a Pelicans defensive-stats play, and Garland’s recent scoring surge. The legs are not overly dependent on one another and all three are supported by recent form above the listed lines.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Kawhi Leonard, Dejounte Murray, and Zion Williamson all have injury statuses that are not straightforward from the provided data, with Kawhi and Murray listed as Questionable and Zion listed as Available. Assume lineup risk for any prop tied to those players until official confirmation.

Player Deep Dives

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.