---
document: NBA scouting report, site edition
schema: scouting-team/1
game_id: 0022600208
season: 2026-27
date: 2026-11-09
matchup: DEN @ HOU
tip_utc: 2026-11-10T01:30:00Z (Mon Nov 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET)
scouted_team: DEN (Denver Nuggets)
side: Scouting DEN · from Houston's side
built_at_utc: 2026-11-10T00:19:11Z
baseline_window: 2025-26 regular season, 82 games (2025-10-23 to 2026-04-12)
recent_window: 2026-27 regular season to date, 8 games (2026-10-22 to 2026-11-07)
---

# Scouting DEN · from Houston's side: DEN @ HOU, Mon Nov 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET

How to read this file: every list below is the report's own list, in the report's order (the same selection code draws its PDF). Quoted text is the report's wording; the brackets after it hold the numbers behind its words. Percentages are of attempts unless named otherwise. League percentiles run 1st-99th among the qualified players named in the pool (higher = better for the player; for turnovers, higher = fewer). Last season = the baseline window, this season = the recent window. '-' = no value or too small a sample to grade.

This report is gameplay analysis computed by NightlyHoops from play-by-play and box scores. The cards come from the last game: Starters are the players who started it. The injury report's statuses are given as listed, with the report's date and the time it was read, never with a reason.

## Injury report, statuses as listed

- Official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC; no reasons. A player who is not listed is not named.

### DEN

- Julian Strawther: Out
- Aaron Gordon: Probable
- Cameron Johnson: Probable
- Christian Braun: Probable
- DeMar DeRozan: Probable
- Jamal Murray: Probable
- Nikola Jokić: Probable

### HOU

- Clint Capela: Out
- Julian Phillips: Out
- Oscar Tshiebwe: Out
- Quadir Copeland: Out
- Steven Adams: Out

## Schedule

- DEN: 1 day(s) of rest; second night of a back-to-back: no; third game in four nights: no (2 games in the last 4 days); games in the last 7 days: 3; game 9 of the season. Previous game 2026-11-07 @ IND. Next: @ MEM on 2026-11-11 (2 days later).

## In ten seconds (verbatim)

1. "Last season: 9th-worst offensive rebounding (28.6%), fewest turnovers forced (11.9/100), 2nd-fewest turnovers (13.1/100), 4th-worst rim protection (69%). Through 8 games the profile has moved: shooting-foul share 54% → 40% (151 trials; each clears the flag rule)."
2. "Scoring last season: N. Jokić 27.7/g (22.9 so far), J. Murray 25.4/g (24.2 so far), D. DeRozan 18.4/g (10.7 so far)."

## Team keys (verbatim) and the league numbers behind them

- "Also moved through 8 games (151 trials): shooting-foul share 54% → 40%. Small sample, but each clears the flag rule."
- "Soft rim protection: opponents shoot 69% at the rim (4th worst) and get 28% of their shots there (7th fewest). Get downhill; finish at the rim."
- "Efficient: eFG% 57.7% (best in the league)."
- "They don't force turnovers: 11.9 per 100 (fewest in the league). Move the ball freely."
- "They take care of the ball: 13.1 TO per 100 (2nd fewest). Don't gamble for steals."
- "They close possessions: DREB% 71.7% (3rd best)."

| metric (2025-26 regular season) | DEN | league mean | rank of 30 (1 = highest value) | higher is better |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| possessions per game (pace proxy) | 98.6 | 98.6 | 18 | descriptive |
| points per 100 possessions | 123.8 | 117.2 | 1 | yes |
| opponent points per 100 possessions | 118.6 | 117.2 | 10 | no (lower is better) |
| eFG% | 57.7% | 54.6% | 1 | yes |
| 3PA share of FGA | 40.8% | 41.5% | 17 | descriptive |
| 3P% | 39.6% | 35.9% | 1 | yes |
| paint-attempt share of FGA | 47.5% | 48.4% | 19 | descriptive |
| restricted-area share of FGA | 28.7% | 30.0% | 20 | descriptive |
| restricted-area FG% | 66.7% | 66.1% | 12 | yes |
| fastbreak share of FGA | 11.4% | 11.5% | 16 | descriptive |
| second-chance share of FGA | 11.5% | 12.8% | 25 | descriptive |
| FTA per FGA | 0.294 | 0.264 | 4 | yes |
| turnovers per 100 possessions | 13.1 | 14.7 | 29 | no (lower is better) |
| offensive rebound % | 28.6% | 30.5% | 22 | yes |
| defensive rebound % | 71.7% | 69.5% | 3 | yes |
| assisted share of made FGs | 66.5% | 63.7% | 9 | descriptive |
| fouls committed per game | 19.1 | 19.9 | 20 | no (lower is better) |
| shooting-foul share of fouls | 53.9% | 52.5% | 11 | no (lower is better) |
| opponent FG% allowed at the rim | 68.8% | 65.9% | 4 | no (lower is better) |
| opponent rim-attempt share allowed | 27.8% | 30.0% | 24 | no (lower is better) |
| opponent 3PA share allowed | 42.9% | 41.5% | 8 | descriptive |
| opponent 3P% allowed | 34.9% | 35.9% | 27 | no (lower is better) |
| opponent turnovers forced per 100 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 30 | yes |

Team changes this season (flag rule passed): shooting-foul share of non-technical fouls committed down 53.9% -> 40.4% on 151 trials (z -3.33).

Flag note (verbatim): "3 player rates flagged as changed from last season (bullets starting 'New this season'); 1 team-level (under Team keys)."

## Game plan boxes

### Foul him late (FT), worst free-throw shooter first

- M. Bagley III (#3): "66% FT (142 FTA, 9th pct)" [FT 65.5%, 93 of 142; 9th percentile (bad) among 258 qualified shooters]
- Don't foul (good free-throw shooters), the report's top 5, best first: J. Murray (#27): "89% FT" [FT 88.7%, 346 of 390; 92nd percentile (elite) among 258 qualified shooters; 55/66 in the clutch]; D. DeRozan (#10): "87% FT" [FT 86.8%, 374 of 431; 85th percentile (excellent) among 258 qualified shooters; 37/41 in the clutch]; C. Johnson (#23): "84% FT" [FT 83.9%, 94 of 112; 75th percentile (good) among 258 qualified shooters]; N. Jokić (#15): "83% FT" [FT 83.1%, 399 of 480; 72nd percentile (good) among 258 qualified shooters; 59/72 in the clutch].

### Foul trouble

- "Nobody over 4.5 fouls per 36 last season."

## Starters (started last game), in the report's order

### #27 Jamal Murray (J. Murray), personId 1627750

- Card: G · 6-4 · age 29 · 10 yrs · tags: started last game.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 8 GP and 8 starts this season, 36.6 MPG (292.7 minutes); last season 35.4 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (75 GP): 25.4 pts, 4.4 reb, 7.1 ast, 2.3 tov, 1.8 PF; FG 48.3% (657/1360); 3P 43.5% (245/563, 7.5 3PA/g); FT 88.7% (346/390, 5.2 FTA/g); rim FG 62.1% (159/256); eFG 57.3%, TS 62.2%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 24.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 6.1 ast, 2.6 tov, 1.8 PF; FG 47.3% (61/129); 3P 49.2% (31/63, 7.9 3PA/g); FT 83.7% (41/49, 6.1 FTA/g); rim FG 66.7% (18/27); eFG 59.3%, TS 64.4%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% elite, Rim FG% below average, FT% elite, Ball security excellent, Gets to line good.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 43.5% | 563 3PA | 98th (307) | elite |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 62.1% | 256 restricted-area FGA | 26th (248) | below average |
| FT% | 88.7% | 390 FTA | 92nd (258) | elite |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.287 | 1360 FGA | 65th (284) | good |
| turnovers per usage event | 10.0% | 1703 usage events | 75th (330) | excellent |
| 3PA share of FGA | 41.4% | 1360 FGA | 47th (284) | average |
| rim share of FGA | 18.8% | 1360 FGA | 24th (284) | bad |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.222 | 1360 FGA | 54th (284) | above average |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 29.9% | 1360 FGA | 58th (284) | above average |
| pull-up share of FGA | 40.0% | 1360 FGA | 95th (284) | elite |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 18.1; 3PA share 41.4%; 3P 43.5%; restricted-area share 18.8% at 62.1%; FT 88.7%; pull-up share 40.0%; drive share 29.9%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 33.4%; assisted share 42.5%; TO per 100 usage 10.0; FTA/FGA 0.29; PF per 36 1.8; fouls drawn per game 4.0; change flags 1.
- Changes this season (flag rule passed): assisted share of made FGs up 42.5% -> 55.7% on 61 trials (z 2.10).
- Card says: "New this season: assisted share of made FGs up, 42% -> 56% (61 trials 2026-27 regular season to date; 2025-26 regular season baseline)."
- Card says: "Knockdown 3: 43.5% on 7.5/g (98th pct). No help off him; run him off the line."
- Card says: "Corner specialist: 53% from the corners (64 att), 42% above the break (499). No help off the corners; help off him on top."
- In the game-plan boxes: don't foul.

### #15 Nikola Jokić (N. Jokić), personId 203999

- Card: C · 6-11 · age 31 · 11 yrs · tags: started last game.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 8 GP and 8 starts this season, 36.0 MPG (287.8 minutes); last season 34.9 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (65 GP): 27.7 pts, 12.9 reb, 10.7 ast, 3.7 tov, 2.7 PF; FG 56.9% (644/1132); 3P 38.0% (112/295, 4.5 3PA/g); FT 83.1% (399/480, 7.4 FTA/g); rim FG 72.3% (251/347); eFG 61.8%, TS 67.0%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 22.9 pts, 10.1 reb, 9.1 ast, 3.2 tov, 2.8 PF; FG 48.3% (71/147); 3P 22.9% (8/35, 4.4 3PA/g); FT 89.2% (33/37, 4.6 FTA/g); rim FG 70.6% (24/34); eFG 51.0%, TS 56.0%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% good, Rim FG% excellent, FT% good, Ball security bad, Gets to line elite.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 38.0% | 295 3PA | 70th (307) | good |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 72.3% | 347 restricted-area FGA | 84th (248) | excellent |
| FT% | 83.1% | 480 FTA | 72nd (258) | good |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.424 | 1132 FGA | 91st (284) | elite |
| turnovers per usage event | 15.3% | 1586 usage events | 15th (330) | bad |
| 3PA share of FGA | 26.1% | 1132 FGA | 17th (284) | bad |
| rim share of FGA | 30.7% | 1132 FGA | 60th (284) | good |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.383 | 1132 FGA | 96th (284) | elite |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 23.7% | 1132 FGA | 36th (284) | below average |
| pull-up share of FGA | 7.4% | 1132 FGA | 27th (284) | below average |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 17.4; 3PA share 26.1%; 3P 38.0%; restricted-area share 30.7% at 72.3%; FT 83.1%; pull-up share 7.4%; drive share 23.7%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 79.0%; assisted share 60.6%; TO per 100 usage 15.3; FTA/FGA 0.42; PF per 36 2.7; fouls drawn per game 6.7; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Lives at the line: 0.42 FTA per FGA (elite, 91st pct), 6.7 fouls drawn/g, 83% FT. Verticality, hands back, no reach."
- Card says: "Pressure him: 15.3 TO per 100 usage (bad, 15th pct), 45% of them bad passes; 26 TO in 8 games so far. Hands in the lanes; 10.7 AST/g, so stay home on shooters when he drives."
- Card says: "Elite finisher: 72% at the rim (84th pct) on 347 attempts, 31% of his shots. No free runs; build the wall early."
- In the game-plan boxes: don't foul.

### #0 Christian Braun (C. Braun), personId 1631128

- Card: G · 6-6 · age 25 · 4 yrs · tags: started last game.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 8 GP and 8 starts this season, 34.3 MPG (274.5 minutes); last season 31.8 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (44 GP): 11.9 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast, 1.0 tov, 2.3 PF; FG 51.9% (202/389); 3P 30.1% (43/143, 3.2 3PA/g); FT 78.2% (79/101, 2.3 FTA/g); rim FG 70.3% (135/192); eFG 57.5%, TS 60.7%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 13.5 pts, 3.9 reb, 2.1 ast, 1.4 tov, 3.0 PF; FG 51.9% (41/79); 3P 37.8% (14/37, 4.6 3PA/g); FT 85.7% (12/14, 1.8 FTA/g); rim FG 72.4% (21/29); eFG 60.8%, TS 63.4%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% bad, Rim FG% excellent, FT% average, Ball security excellent, Gets to line above average.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 30.1% | 143 3PA | 9th (307) | bad |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 70.3% | 192 restricted-area FGA | 78th (248) | excellent |
| FT% | 78.2% | 101 FTA | 45th (258) | average |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.260 | 389 FGA | 56th (284) | above average |
| turnovers per usage event | 9.0% | 476 usage events | 84th (330) | excellent |
| 3PA share of FGA | 36.8% | 389 FGA | 37th (284) | below average |
| rim share of FGA | 49.4% | 389 FGA | 88th (284) | excellent |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.190 | 389 FGA | 42nd (284) | average |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 30.8% | 389 FGA | 63rd (284) | good |
| pull-up share of FGA | 8.2% | 389 FGA | 29th (284) | below average |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 8.8; 3PA share 36.8%; 3P 30.1%; restricted-area share 49.4% at 70.3%; FT 78.2%; pull-up share 8.2%; drive share 30.8%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 82.5%; assisted share 84.7%; TO per 100 usage 9.0; FTA/FGA 0.26; PF per 36 2.7; fouls drawn per game 1.7; change flags 2.
- Changes this season (flag rule passed): share of FGA from Restricted Area down 49.4% -> 36.7% on 79 trials (z -2.25); catch-and-shoot-3 proxy share of FGA up 30.3% -> 41.8% on 79 trials (z 2.21).
- Card says: "New this season: share of FGA from Restricted Area down, 49% -> 37% (79 trials 2026-27 regular season to date; 2025-26 regular season baseline)."
- Card says: "Doesn't turn it over: 9.0 TO per 100 usage (84th pct). Don't gamble for steals; play him straight up."
- Card says: "Volume 3s at 30.1%, 3.2/g (9th pct): make him shoot contested, no fly-bys."

### #32 Aaron Gordon (A. Gordon), personId 203932

- Card: F · 6-8 · age 31 · 12 yrs · tags: started last game.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 8 GP and 8 starts this season, 29.2 MPG (233.8 minutes); last season 27.9 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (37 GP): 15.7 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.6 ast, 1.0 tov, 1.7 PF; FG 49.7% (198/398); 3P 38.9% (61/157, 4.2 3PA/g); FT 76.7% (125/163, 4.4 FTA/g); rim FG 70.8% (97/137); eFG 57.4%, TS 62.0%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 12.2 pts, 5.2 reb, 2.1 ast, 1.2 tov, 2.4 PF; FG 41.3% (31/75); 3P 29.4% (10/34, 4.2 3PA/g); FT 81.2% (26/32, 4.0 FTA/g); rim FG 65.2% (15/23); eFG 48.0%, TS 55.0%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% excellent, Rim FG% excellent, FT% below average, Ball security elite, Gets to line elite.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 38.9% | 157 3PA | 79th (307) | excellent |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 70.8% | 137 restricted-area FGA | 79th (248) | excellent |
| FT% | 76.7% | 163 FTA | 38th (258) | below average |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.410 | 398 FGA | 90th (284) | elite |
| turnovers per usage event | 7.5% | 508 usage events | 96th (330) | elite |
| 3PA share of FGA | 39.4% | 398 FGA | 42nd (284) | average |
| rim share of FGA | 34.4% | 398 FGA | 69th (284) | good |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.304 | 398 FGA | 85th (284) | excellent |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 16.1% | 398 FGA | 17th (284) | bad |
| pull-up share of FGA | 16.1% | 398 FGA | 50th (284) | above average |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 10.8; 3PA share 39.4%; 3P 38.9%; restricted-area share 34.4% at 70.8%; FT 76.7%; pull-up share 16.1%; drive share 16.1%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 63.7%; assisted share 70.7%; TO per 100 usage 7.5; FTA/FGA 0.41; PF per 36 2.2; fouls drawn per game 3.3; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Doesn't turn it over: 7.5 TO per 100 usage (96th pct). Don't gamble for steals; play him straight up."
- Card says: "Lives at the line: 0.41 FTA per FGA (elite, 90th pct), 3.3 fouls drawn/g, 77% FT. Verticality, hands back, no reach."
- Card says: "Knockdown 3: 38.9% on 4.2/g (79th pct). No help off him; run him off the line."

### #23 Cameron Johnson (C. Johnson), personId 1629661

- Card: F · 6-8 · age 30 · 7 yrs · tags: started last game.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 5 GP and 5 starts this season, 27.4 MPG (137.0 minutes); last season 30.5 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (54 GP): 12.2 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast, 0.9 tov, 2.3 PF; FG 48.0% (228/475); 3P 43.0% (110/256, 4.7 3PA/g); FT 83.9% (94/112, 2.1 FTA/g); rim FG 68.9% (82/119); eFG 59.6%, TS 62.9%.
- This season per game (5 GP): 10.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.8 ast, 1.4 tov, 1.8 PF; FG 48.8% (21/43); 3P 40.0% (10/25, 5.0 3PA/g); FT 50.0% (2/4, 0.8 FTA/g); rim FG 66.7% (6/9); eFG 60.5%, TS 60.3%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% elite, Rim FG% good, FT% good, Ball security elite, Gets to line average.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 43.0% | 256 3PA | 97th (307) | elite |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 68.9% | 119 restricted-area FGA | 68th (248) | good |
| FT% | 83.9% | 112 FTA | 75th (258) | good |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.236 | 475 FGA | 46th (284) | average |
| turnovers per usage event | 8.2% | 571 usage events | 91st (330) | elite |
| 3PA share of FGA | 53.9% | 475 FGA | 75th (284) | excellent |
| rim share of FGA | 25.1% | 475 FGA | 42nd (284) | average |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.185 | 475 FGA | 40th (284) | below average |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 26.3% | 475 FGA | 46th (284) | average |
| pull-up share of FGA | 15.6% | 475 FGA | 49th (284) | average |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 8.8; 3PA share 53.9%; 3P 43.0%; restricted-area share 25.1% at 68.9%; FT 83.9%; pull-up share 15.6%; drive share 26.3%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 74.6%; assisted share 82.5%; TO per 100 usage 8.2; FTA/FGA 0.24; PF per 36 2.7; fouls drawn per game 1.6; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Doesn't turn it over: 8.2 TO per 100 usage (91st pct). Don't gamble for steals; play him straight up."
- Card says: "Knockdown 3: 43.0% on 4.7/g (97th pct). No help off him; run him off the line."
- In the game-plan boxes: don't foul.

## Bench, in the report's order

### #10 DeMar DeRozan (D. DeRozan), personId 201942

- Card: G-F · 6-6 · age 37 · 17 yrs · tags: new · SAC last season.
- Listed on the official injury report of 2026-11-09, read 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC: Probable
- Role: 7 GP and 0 starts this season, 24.6 MPG (172.2 minutes); last season 31.2 MPG with SAC.
- Last season per game (77 GP): 18.4 pts, 2.9 reb, 4.1 ast, 1.2 tov, 1.9 PF; FG 49.7% (499/1005); 3P 32.0% (47/147, 1.9 3PA/g); FT 86.8% (374/431, 5.6 FTA/g); rim FG 72.5% (95/131); eFG 52.0%, TS 59.4%.
- This season per game (7 GP): 10.7 pts, 1.9 reb, 3.0 ast, 1.3 tov, 2.3 PF; FG 42.6% (26/61); 3P 18.2% (2/11, 1.6 3PA/g); FT 80.8% (21/26, 3.7 FTA/g); rim FG 50.0% (3/6); eFG 44.3%, TS 51.8%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% bad, Rim FG% excellent, FT% excellent, Ball security elite, Gets to line elite.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 32.0% | 147 3PA | 18th (307) | bad |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 72.5% | 131 restricted-area FGA | 84th (248) | excellent |
| FT% | 86.8% | 431 FTA | 85th (258) | excellent |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.429 | 1005 FGA | 92nd (284) | elite |
| turnovers per usage event | 7.4% | 1291 usage events | 96th (330) | elite |
| 3PA share of FGA | 14.6% | 1005 FGA | 9th (284) | bad |
| rim share of FGA | 13.0% | 1005 FGA | 10th (284) | bad |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.306 | 1005 FGA | 86th (284) | excellent |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 18.6% | 1005 FGA | 23rd (284) | bad |
| pull-up share of FGA | 36.0% | 1005 FGA | 90th (284) | elite |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 13.1; 3PA share 14.6%; 3P 32.0%; restricted-area share 13.0% at 72.5%; FT 86.8%; pull-up share 36.0%; drive share 18.6%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 76.9%; assisted share 46.5%; TO per 100 usage 7.4; FTA/FGA 0.43; PF per 36 2.2; fouls drawn per game 4.0; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Doesn't turn it over: 7.4 TO per 100 usage (96th pct). Don't gamble for steals; play him straight up."
- Card says: "Lives at the line: 0.43 FTA per FGA (elite, 92nd pct), 4.0 fouls drawn/g, 87% FT. Verticality, hands back, no reach."
- Card says: "Low-volume, 32.0% from 3 (1.9/g): help off him in the gaps."
- In the game-plan boxes: don't foul.

### #7 Trevon Brazile (T. Brazile), personId 1642350

- Card: F · 6-10 · age 23 · rookie · tags: started 1 of 8.
- Role: 8 GP and 1 starts this season, 21.1 MPG (169.1 minutes); last season - MPG.
- This season per game (8 GP): 7.4 pts, 6.1 reb, 0.6 ast, 0.8 tov, 2.0 PF; FG 53.5% (23/43); 3P 33.3% (7/21, 2.6 3PA/g); FT 54.5% (6/11, 1.4 FTA/g); rim FG 82.4% (14/17); eFG 61.6%, TS 61.7%.
- Grade chips on the card: none qualified.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | - | 0 3PA (needs 100) | - | - |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | - | 0 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | - | 0 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | - | 0 usage events (needs 300) | - | - |
| 3PA share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g -; 3PA share -; 3P -; restricted-area share - at -; FT -; pull-up share -; drive share -; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA -; assisted share -; TO per 100 usage -; FTA/FGA -; PF per 36 -; fouls drawn per game -; change flags 0.

### #3 Marvin Bagley III (M. Bagley III), personId 1628963

- Card: F · 6-10 · age 27 · 8 yrs · tags: new · DAL/WAS last season.
- Role: 8 GP and 0 starts this season, 12.3 MPG (98.6 minutes); last season 20.2 MPG with DAL/WAS.
- Last season per game (59 GP): 10.6 pts, 6.1 reb, 1.4 ast, 1.0 tov, 2.1 PF; FG 62.4% (254/407); 3P 46.2% (24/52, 0.9 3PA/g); FT 65.5% (93/142, 2.4 FTA/g); rim FG 72.1% (189/262); eFG 65.4%, TS 66.6%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 6.0 pts, 3.5 reb, 0.5 ast, 0.6 tov, 1.2 PF; FG 54.8% (17/31); 3P 0.0% (0/4, 0.5 3PA/g); FT 77.8% (14/18, 2.2 FTA/g); rim FG 63.2% (12/19); eFG 54.8%, TS 61.7%.
- Grade chips on the card: Rim FG% excellent, FT% bad, Ball security above average, Gets to line excellent.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 46.2% | 52 3PA (needs 100) | - | - |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 72.1% | 262 restricted-area FGA | 83rd (248) | excellent |
| FT% | 65.5% | 142 FTA | 9th (258) | bad |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.349 | 407 FGA | 82nd (284) | excellent |
| turnovers per usage event | 11.5% | 530 usage events | 56th (330) | above average |
| 3PA share of FGA | 12.8% | 407 FGA | 9th (284) | bad |
| rim share of FGA | 64.4% | 407 FGA | 96th (284) | elite |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.292 | 407 FGA | 81st (284) | excellent |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 21.6% | 407 FGA | 30th (284) | below average |
| pull-up share of FGA | 1.0% | 407 FGA | 6th (284) | bad |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 6.9; 3PA share 12.8%; 3P 46.2%; restricted-area share 64.4% at 72.1%; FT 65.5%; pull-up share 1.0%; drive share 21.6%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 96.2%; assisted share 65.4%; TO per 100 usage 11.5; FTA/FGA 0.35; PF per 36 3.7; fouls drawn per game 2.0; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Elite finisher: 72% at the rim (83rd pct) on 262 attempts, 64% of his shots. No free runs; build the wall early."
- Card says: "Lives at the line: 0.35 FTA per FGA (excellent, 82nd pct), 2.0 fouls drawn/g, 66% FT. Verticality, hands back, no reach."
- Card says: "Non-shooter (0.9 3PA/g): sag off him and help from him; no closeouts needed."
- In the game-plan boxes: foul him late.

### #13 Bryce Hopkins (B. Hopkins), personId 1643624

- Card: F · 6-7 · age 24 · rookie · tags: started 2 of 6.
- Role: 6 GP and 2 starts this season, 16.1 MPG (96.4 minutes); last season - MPG.
- This season per game (6 GP): 6.0 pts, 2.2 reb, 0.5 ast, 0.8 tov, 1.7 PF; FG 65.0% (13/20); 3P 40.0% (2/5, 0.8 3PA/g); FT 72.7% (8/11, 1.8 FTA/g); rim FG 72.7% (8/11); eFG 70.0%, TS 72.5%.
- Grade chips on the card: none qualified.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | - | 0 3PA (needs 100) | - | - |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | - | 0 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | - | 0 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | - | 0 usage events (needs 300) | - | - |
| 3PA share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g -; 3PA share -; 3P -; restricted-area share - at -; FT -; pull-up share -; drive share -; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA -; assisted share -; TO per 100 usage -; FTA/FGA -; PF per 36 -; fouls drawn per game -; change flags 0.

### #5 Tyus Jones (T. Jones), personId 1626145

- Card: G · 6-1 · age 30 · 11 yrs.
- Role: 8 GP and 0 starts this season, 11.2 MPG (89.2 minutes); last season 14.6 MPG with DAL/DEN/ORL.
- Last season per game (67 GP): 3.0 pts, 1.1 reb, 2.4 ast, 0.4 tov, 0.5 PF; FG 34.7% (76/219); 3P 29.2% (40/137, 2.0 3PA/g); FT 77.8% (7/9, 0.1 FTA/g); rim FG 45.0% (9/20); eFG 43.8%, TS 44.6%.
- This season per game (8 GP): 2.9 pts, 0.6 reb, 2.0 ast, 0.4 tov, 0.2 PF; FG 40.0% (8/20); 3P 30.0% (3/10, 1.2 3PA/g); FT 100.0% (4/4, 0.5 FTA/g); rim FG 50.0% (2/4); eFG 47.5%, TS 52.8%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% bad.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 29.2% | 137 3PA | 6th (307) | bad |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 45.0% | 20 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | 77.8% | 9 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.041 | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | 9.7% | 247 usage events (needs 300) | - | - |
| 3PA share of FGA | 62.6% | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | 9.1% | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.068 | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 27.9% | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | 21.0% | 219 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 3.3; 3PA share 62.6%; 3P 29.2%; restricted-area share 9.1% at 45.0%; FT 77.8%; pull-up share 21.0%; drive share 27.9%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 69.3%; assisted share 69.7%; TO per 100 usage 9.7; FTA/FGA 0.04; PF per 36 1.1; fouls drawn per game 0.2; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Low-volume, 29.2% from 3 (2.0/g): help off him in the gaps."

### #11 Alpha Diallo (A. Diallo), personId 1643813

- Card: G · 6-7 · age 29 · rookie · tags: did not play last game.
- Role: 3 GP and 0 starts this season, 10.5 MPG (31.6 minutes); last season - MPG.
- This season per game (3 GP): 1.3 pts, 1.0 reb, 1.0 ast, 1.0 tov, 1.3 PF; FG 33.3% (2/6); 3P 0.0% (0/3, 1.0 3PA/g); FT - (-, 0.0 FTA/g); rim FG 66.7% (2/3); eFG 33.3%, TS 33.3%.
- Grade chips on the card: none qualified.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | - | 0 3PA (needs 100) | - | - |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | - | 0 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | - | 0 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | - | 0 usage events (needs 300) | - | - |
| 3PA share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | - | 0 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g -; 3PA share -; 3P -; restricted-area share - at -; FT -; pull-up share -; drive share -; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA -; assisted share -; TO per 100 usage -; FTA/FGA -; PF per 36 -; fouls drawn per game -; change flags 0.

### #21 Spencer Jones (S. Jones), personId 1642461

- Card: F · 6-7 · age 25 · 2 yrs.
- Role: 1 GP and 0 starts this season, 21.2 MPG (21.2 minutes); last season 22.1 MPG with DEN.
- Last season per game (64 GP): 5.5 pts, 3.3 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.5 tov, 2.7 PF; FG 50.4% (132/262); 3P 39.6% (57/144, 2.2 3PA/g); FT 60.8% (31/51, 0.8 FTA/g); rim FG 67.1% (57/85); eFG 61.3%, TS 61.9%.
- This season per game (1 GP): 13.0 pts, 6.0 reb, 0.0 ast, 0.0 tov, 1.0 PF; FG 83.3% (5/6); 3P 100.0% (3/3, 3.0 3PA/g); FT - (-, 0.0 FTA/g); rim FG 100.0% (1/1); eFG 108.3%, TS 108.3%.
- Grade chips on the card: 3P% excellent, Ball security excellent.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 39.6% | 144 3PA | 84th (307) | excellent |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 67.1% | 85 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | 60.8% | 51 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.195 | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | 9.8% | 315 usage events | 76th (330) | excellent |
| 3PA share of FGA | 55.0% | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | 32.4% | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.187 | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 14.9% | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | 2.3% | 262 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 4.1; 3PA share 55.0%; 3P 39.6%; restricted-area share 32.4% at 67.1%; FT 60.8%; pull-up share 2.3%; drive share 14.9%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 89.6%; assisted share 84.8%; TO per 100 usage 9.8; FTA/FGA 0.20; PF per 36 4.4; fouls drawn per game 0.8; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Takes 2.2 3s/g at 39.6% (84th pct): respect it, closeout."

### #00 Cam Whitmore (C. Whitmore), personId 1641715

- Card: F · 6-6 · age 22 · 3 yrs · tags: did not play last game · new · WAS last season.
- Role: 2 GP and 0 starts this season, 7.4 MPG (14.8 minutes); last season 17.5 MPG with WAS.
- Last season per game (20 GP): 9.7 pts, 2.9 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.8 tov, 1.2 PF; FG 45.8% (77/168); 3P 28.6% (16/56, 2.8 3PA/g); FT 74.2% (23/31, 1.6 FTA/g); rim FG 68.9% (51/74); eFG 50.6%, TS 53.1%.
- This season per game (2 GP): 4.0 pts, 1.0 reb, 0.5 ast, 0.5 tov, 0.5 PF; FG 57.1% (4/7); 3P 0.0% (0/2, 1.0 3PA/g); FT 0.0% (0/1, 0.5 FTA/g); rim FG 75.0% (3/4); eFG 57.1%, TS 53.8%.
- Grade chips on the card: none qualified.

| grade, last season | value | sample | league percentile (pool) | word |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3P% | 28.6% | 56 3PA (needs 100) | - | - |
| rim FG% (restricted area) | 68.9% | 74 restricted-area FGA (needs 100) | - | - |
| FT% | 74.2% | 31 FTA (needs 75) | - | - |
| free-throw rate (FTA/FGA) | 0.185 | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| turnovers per usage event | 8.6% | 199 usage events (needs 300) | - | - |
| 3PA share of FGA | 33.3% | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| rim share of FGA | 44.0% | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| fouls drawn per FGA | 0.125 | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| 2-pt drive share of FGA (descriptor driving/running) | 35.1% | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |
| pull-up share of FGA | 26.8% | 168 FGA (needs 300) | - | - |

- Rates last season: FGA/g 8.4; 3PA share 33.3%; 3P 28.6%; restricted-area share 44.0% at 68.9%; FT 74.2%; pull-up share 26.8%; drive share 35.1%; catch-and-shoot share of 3PA 26.8%; assisted share 59.7%; TO per 100 usage 8.6; FTA/FGA 0.18; PF per 36 2.5; fouls drawn per game 1.1; change flags 0.
- Card says: "Low-volume, 28.6% from 3 (2.8/g): help off him in the gaps."

## Also seen and not seen yet

- Also seen (under 10 minutes this season, no card): R. Nembhard (#9 G, 9.6 min) [last season 60 GP, 19.5 MPG, 6.6 pts]; D. Holmes II (#14 F, 9.0 min) [last season 25 GP, 8.4 MPG, 3.7 pts]; Z. Nnaji (#22 F-C, 7.3 min) [last season 52 GP, 12.0 MPG, 3.6 pts].
- On the roster with no minutes this season: J. Strawther (#1 G, DEN 15.1 MPG last season).

## Definitions

- windows: baseline = the prior full regular season (2025-26 regular season); recent = the current regular season to date (2026-27 regular season to date). The windows are disjoint.
- grades (shooting / ball security): league percentile of the player's 2025-26 regular season rate among qualified players, computed from the play-by-play file (qualification: 3P% >= 100 3PA, rim FG% >= 100 restricted-area FGA, FT% >= 75 FTA, rates per FGA >= 300 FGA, turnover rate >= 300 usage events). Words as in 'grade words'; for turnover rate a HIGH percentile means FEW turnovers.
- team league context: every team's 2025-26 regular season value from one pass over the baseline file (same definitions as the team stats except that live team rebounds are approximated as rebounds without the 'deadball' qualifier). rank_desc: 1 = highest value among 30 teams.
- rotation: players ordered by total minutes in the recent window's box scores; Starters = the players who started the team's last game (its box score); a player under 10 minutes over the recent window is listed (Also seen), not carded.
- per-36: baseline per-36 uses each player's total minutes over the baseline season, every team he played for included; recent per-36 uses the box-score minutes.
- clutch: FGA/FG% (and FTA) on shots taken with period >= 4 (includes overtime), game clock <= 5:00 remaining, and |scoreHome - scoreAway| <= 5 BEFORE the shot (score taken from the latest preceding row of the game that carries a score; shots with no prior score are not clutch). The 2025-26 file has no shot rows with empty scores.
- possessions_est: FGA + 0.44*FTA - OREB + TOV, all team-level counts over the window, where OREB = player offensive rebounds + team offensive rebounds that are live (qualifier 'team' without 'deadball', and not immediately following an end-of-period heave) and TOV = all turnover rows for the team including team turnovers (shot clock, etc.). possessions_pg = /games.
- usage_events: FGA + 0.44*FTA + TOV for the player (or team). This is the denominator of to_rate; it is a fractional trial count because of the FT weight.
- availability (context): statuses as the league's official injury report lists them, with that report's date and the time it was read, never a reason; a player who is not listed is not named. A carded player listed at either of the two most serious statuses keeps his card but leaves the free-throw and foul boxes.
- grade words: league percentile words: elite 90th and up, excellent 75th-89th, good 60th-74th, above average 50th-59th, average 40th-49th, below average 25th-39th, bad under the 25th.
- change flags: For each rate, shrink the recent proportion toward the baseline with a Beta prior of strength m (empirical-Bayes flavour): p1_shrunk = (k1 + m*p0)/(n1 + m), with m = 60 for shot-diet / zone / assisted shares, m = 250 for FG%-type rates (rim FG%, 3P%; 3P% needs ~750 attempts to stabilize, so a 10-game 3P% is almost never flaggable by design), m = 60 for turnover rate. FLAG when |p1_shrunk - p0| >= 0.06 AND |z| >= 2.0 where z = (k1/n1 - p0)/sqrt(p0*(1-p0)/n1) (raw recent proportion against the baseline proportion, SE from p0) AND n1 >= 15 recent trials. Here the windows are disjoint.

## Provenance

- Computed by NightlyHoops from play-by-play and box scores of regular-season games, and the league's official injury report (statuses only).
- Data collected 2026-11-10; report built 2026-11-10T00:19:11Z; this file is the site edition (agent_edition.py v3).